芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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This is the shortest route to any title now for Barcelona after the unlucky late action in the final of the Supercup, and as this season has been doomed to be a poor one for Barcelona there is no question of them taking this seriously. They do, and the local papers are showing pictures of Barca practising penalties in case of a shoot-out.

This is naturally not a league game, but as it is one leg only we can almost treat it as one. The difference is that if is still at a draw in the late minutes there will be less risk-taking.

So let us take a look boths form in the league next. The last 7 games with result and expected goals:


这是巴萨在超级杯决赛中不幸的输球之后,最接近夺冠的赛事,由于这个赛季注定是巴萨的一个糟糕的赛季,因此毫无疑问他们会认真对待这项赛事。当地报纸报道了巴萨练习点球的照片,防止在比赛中出现这种情况。

这当然不是一场联赛,但因为这是一回合的比赛,我们几乎可以把它当作是一场联赛。不同的是,如果在最后几分钟仍处于平局,双方可能会减少冒险。

接下来让我们看看双方在联赛中的表现。最后7场比赛的结果和预期进球:

Granada have lost 3 times lately with this handicap, and apart from those matches their schedule has been relatively easy. Also at Villarreal they lost the performance by 2 goals. I previewed the last game vs Celta if you want to took a look at that one too. It is three weeks since Barca visited Granada last time, Messi and Griezmann both scored twice and cruised into one of their easiest wins of the season with a similar lineup that is expected today.

I have discussed Barca several times recently as they are better than what the media let us think in the first part of the season. There have been the defensive injuries which caused a lot of problems and the injuries are still there, but the difference is that the replacements have now been fully integrated and there is no reason to be afraid for Araujo,Mingeza or Umtiti as all of them are up to this level in a big picture. Yes, there is still something to hope for Mingueza as a full-back as he is not one by his training, but the good news is that tonight Sergio Roberto will take over this position.

A look at Barca results:


格拉纳达最近输掉了3个这样让步的比赛,除了这些比赛,他们的赛程相对轻松。同样在比利亚雷亚尔,他们以2球的劣势输掉了比赛。我还分析了上一场对阵塞尔塔的比赛。自从巴萨上一次造访格拉纳达已经过去三周了,梅西和格里兹曼都进了两个球,并且今天的阵容可能会非常相似。

我们最近已经讨论过巴萨好几次了,因为他们比媒体所说的要表现的好。防守的伤病已经造成了很多问题,伤病仍然存在,但不同的是,现在的替补已经完全整合,没有理由担心阿劳霍、明格扎或乌姆蒂蒂,因为他们都达到了这个水平。是的,作为一名边后卫,明古埃扎还是有希望的,因为他在训练中不是一名边后卫,但好消息是今晚塞尔吉奥·罗伯托将接手这个位置。

看看巴萨的赛果:

I see no point in making this more difficult as it is. Barcelona will win the expected goals by 2-3 goals everytime vs these teams out of top-6, and they also have the individual scorers who can make fun of the xG-numbers. There is also improvement for midfield as Busquets returns to midfield to pair De Jong whose team play with Pjanic last time was no so smooth. Personally I hope there is Araujo pairing Umtiti, hope Koeman listens!

As I have said Granada are not in my papers a top-10 team but they have been one of the luckiest in La Liga, and most if not all data companies can confirm that they have 7-10 points too many in the bag.

There are also some worrying absentees at Granada which will force Diego Martinez into some experiments as Milla, Gonalons and Herrera, all midfielders, will miss the game.

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我认为没有必要把这件事弄得更困难。巴塞罗那将赢得指数,每次与前6名以外的球队交手他们都可以净胜2-3个球,他们也有个人能力很强的球员。中场也有进步,布斯克茨回到中场与德容搭档,德容上一次和帕贾尼奇的比赛并不顺利。我个人认为阿劳乔配对乌姆蒂蒂,希望科曼能够如此安排!

正如我所说,格拉纳达在我看来并不是一支前十强球队,但他们是西甲最幸运的球队之一,他们的积分比预期多了7-10分。

格拉纳达也有一些缺席,这将迫使迭戈·马丁内斯进行一些阵容的调整,米拉、戈纳隆斯和埃雷拉都是中场球员,都将缺席比赛。

比分参考1-4



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