An interesting clash in Mexici
2022-07-04
分享比赛
Santos Laguna VS Monterrey
Santos Laguna host Monterrey at Estadio Corona in Torreón for this Liga MX Apertura Monday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is pretty good - despite the fact that it gets relatively little media attention here in Europe and probably in Asia as well. The differences between the teams in terms of financial resources - and on the pitch as well - are unfortunately relatively big as well. There is no doubt about the fact that the visitors are the better team by pure class. However, they were pretty heavily over-rated by the bookies in many of their matches last season - away from home in particular. The same seems to be true in this game as well. The odds on Monterrey have been coming down in recent hours - something I struggle to understand..Especially in terms of offensive capability I think Monterrey is respected too much by the football media, many football analysts and the bookies as well.Taking a look at the team's player's total market value on a pretty famous and well-respected German website Transfermarkt.com we can see that the difference is not very big..This number reflects the teams' level on the pitch surprisingly well. Monterrey's squad's total value is about 70 million euros. Santos Laguna's players are valued at 61.1 million. This is a bit too high in my opinion - three players are clearly over-valued. As for Monterrey the over-valuation is even bigger as as many as six players are over-valued and I would set the total value at 61-62 million.
The hosts home advantage in Mexico is substantial on average and Santos Laguna are a very strong team at home! Indeed, they have not lost any of their latest six matches at their stadium at home. They have won four of these six games and two of the latest home games were both 1-1 draws against Queretaro and Club Leon in April. Monterrey, on the other hand,are not a particularly strong team on the road and have won just three of their latest 10 away games. Two of the most recent ones they lost without scoring a goal! Indeed, Pachuca crushed them 3-0 and U.N.A.M Pumas defeated them 2-0 in April. In Liga MX Clausura, which was played before this league started, Monterrey finished in the 7th place with 26 points - Santos Laguna grabbed a total of 20 points. To sum up, I do not see a favorite in this match and the recommended bet of +0.5 goals handicap on the hosts has a 65% chance of winning. I see the draw as slightly more probable than the betting market does as teams often struggle with scoring the first rounds which of course lowers the number of expected goals.Let's also remember that the hosts beat Monterrey in a friendly match 1-0 on the 19th of June.
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
北京时间周一上午，桑托斯·拉古纳在Torreón的科罗娜球场迎战蒙特雷。这个联赛的水平相当不错——尽管事实上它在欧洲和亚洲得到的媒体关注相对较少。不幸的是，两支球队在财力和球场上的差异也相对较大。毫无疑问，客队是纯阶级上更好的球队。然而，在上赛季的许多比赛中，他们被博彩公司严重高估了——尤其是客场比赛。这款游戏似乎也是如此。蒙特雷的赔率在最近几个小时下降了，有些事我很难理解，尤其是在进攻能力方面，我认为蒙特雷受到了足球媒体、许多足球分析人士和博彩公司的过度尊重。在一个非常著名和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com上看看球队球员的总市值，我们可以看到差距不是很大，这个数字很好地反映了球队在球场上的水平。蒙特雷的球队总价值约为7000万欧元。桑托斯·拉古纳的球员价值6110万美元。在我看来，这有点太高了——三个球员明显被高估了。至于蒙特雷，估值过高的情况更严重，有6名球员被高估，我认为总价值在6100万到6200万之间。
东道主在墨西哥的主场优势是巨大的，桑托斯·拉古纳在主场是一支非常强大的球队!事实上，在最近的六场主场比赛中，他们没有输掉任何一场比赛。在这6场比赛中，他们赢了4场，最近的两场主场比赛都是在4月份1-1战平克雷塔罗和里昂俱乐部。另一方面，蒙特雷在客场并不是一支特别强大的球队，在最近的10场客场比赛中只赢了3场。最近的两场比赛他们一球未进就输了!事实上，帕楚卡以3比0击败了他们，联合国a.m.美洲狮在四月份以2比0击败了他们。在联赛开始前举行的西甲联赛中，蒙特雷以26分排名第7，桑托斯·拉古纳共获得20分。综上所述，我在这场比赛中没有看到一个最受欢迎的对手，而推荐的东道主+0.5个进球差点的赌注有65%的机会获胜。我认为平局的可能性比博彩市场的可能性要大一些，因为球队往往在首轮就很难进球，这当然会降低预期进球的数量。让我们也记住东道主在6月19日的一场友谊赛中1-0击败蒙特雷。
