A fine match to bet on!
2022-07-05
分享比赛
Aldosivi vs Rosario Central
Aldosivi host Rosario Central for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 6 clash at Estadio José María Minella in Mar del Plata early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is not a specifically high-level league actually and the differences in terms of financial resources, squads’ total market value and the also on the pitch are unfortunately somewhat big.. This is a battle between two totally out of form teams as the hosts are currently the rock-bottom team in this league with a total of 28 teams. They have just one point to their account at the moment! Rosario Central, on the other hand, are second-last with four points in the bank. The hosts goal difference is abysmal – 1:9 however in terms of expected goals and expected points – both statistic tools commonly used by professional football bettors - they have been unlucky. I do admit that they have been pretty far from their optimal level but will surely improve – especially in terms of offense. The betting market seems to have lost confidence on them now and the bookies offer us way too high odds on Aldosivi offering us a great chance to bet on them with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The odds have already come down a bit unfortunately though.. The chance of my fans and I winning is 66% I do not really see a favorite in this match. Aldosivi do not have the best fans at the stadium, but the home advantage is still there!
We must not forget that the hosts played pretty will in Copa De La Liga Profesional which was played before this league started. Aldosivi, a team we have bet on before at lucrative odds, did very well and finished in as high as 4th place in Group B advancing to play offs! They grabbed 20 points in this competition and had a goal difference of 17:16. They perhaps over-performed a bit as they so not have any real stars in the squad and are a small team by financial resources and the team’s players total market value according to a pretty well-know and respected German website Transfermarkt.com is just about 10 million euros but this number is definitely too low, and three perhaps even four players are under-valued. The visitors’ squad is valued at around 17 million which is more or less correct in my opinion. I also want to highlight that Rosario Central were the rock-bottom team in the same Group B with 14 points and a goal difference of 16:20 and won just four matches.. Moreover, they rarely shine on the road.. The bookies give too much emphasis on the potential they do have but I do not expect a rapid improvement from them.
