More PROFIT from Finland? 芬甲 EIF埃克纳斯vs科特卡
2022-07-30
分享比赛
Ekenäs IF vs KTP
Ekenäs host KTP for this Finnish Ykkönen battle at Tammisaaren Keskuskenttä in Raseborg late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the second tier of my home country’s Finland’s football. The level is pretty low, and I recommend my fans to watch Veikkausliiga, the first tier, if you want to watch Finnish football.. Luckily the top leagues start next week! However, Ykkönen is lucrative league to bet on and we easily won the latest pick on Wednesday when PEPO defeated MP 2-1.
An extremely balanced clash is expected between these two pretty good teams. I have mentioned a few times earlier this spring/autumn that KTP are the second-best team in this league by raw class and they have now climbed up the standings and currently occupy the 2nd place with 31 points and a very good goal difference of 34:13. They played in Veikkausliiga last season and have genuine chance of being promoted. We have successfully bet on KTP before but now they have become “too hot” in the betting market and today the smart choice is to go with the hosts with the +0.5 goals handicap option. The chance of winning is 65%. Indeed, is no favorite in this clash – it is a coin toss – (50-50%). Odds on the hosts have been going down today as, I presume, smart bettors are betting on the hosts but are still too high though.
I have mentioned before that KTP are very strong team at home in Kotka in front of their enthusiastic fans – by Finnish standards. However, on the road their level is often considerably lower, and this is something the bookies do not seem to fully understand.. Overall, Ykkönen is hardly a main focus for bookies – even the big ones with big resources. We must take advantage of this! KTP have won just one of their latest five matches way from home! On the 17th of this month, they were disappointing in Helsinki against Gnistan and lost 1-2 despite being solid favorites in this match according to the betting market. I believe today’s odds are heavily affected by the fine win KTP took in Turku on the 4th of July 3-1 as clear underdogs. KTP did play well and the result looks (too) impressive for most recreational bettors/ even some bookies.. By raw class TPS are unarguably the best team in this league despite still constantly struggling to find their optimal performance level and quite often being over-valued by the bookies. KTP were effective against TPS and defended with great passion and good structure. However, they were definitely not the better team. TPS had 56% ball possession and recorded hugely more scoring attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks. Ekenäs have been pretty far from the level they played at early season. They played slightly above their true level early on but there is one explanatory factor behind the recent drop in form – and valuation in the betting market. The very dangerous striker, Swedish Adam Larsson,22, left the team to join Ilves that play in Veikkausliiga. Larsson scored 12 goals for Ekenäs before his departure. Even so, Ekenäs do have other talented offensive players too. Historically Ekenäs are a strong team at home and now also have a new coach, Portuguese Pedro Filipe, who is only 35 years old but a promising guy. He joined Ekenäs from top-team Sporting Lisbon’s organization. Pedro should be huge boost for the team and a good number of loyal fans are expected at the stadium today as it a week-end game and the weather is fine.
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
北京时间周六晚，Ekenäs主办KTP在拉斯堡的Tammisaaren Keskuskenttä举办了这场芬兰Ykkönen战役。这是我的祖国芬兰足球的第二梯队。芬兰的足球水平相当低，如果你想看芬兰足球，我建议我的球迷看第一等级的Veikkausliiga。幸运的是，顶级联赛下周就开始了!然而，Ykkönen是一个有利可图的联赛，我们轻松赢得了最新的签在周三PEPO 2-1击败MP。
这两支实力相当的球队将会发生一场势均力敌的冲突。我在今年春季/秋季早些时候提到过几次，KTP是这个联赛的第二好球队，他们现在已经爬上了排名，目前以31分和34:13的净胜球占据了第二名。他们上赛季在维考斯利加踢过球，有真正的机会晋级。我们之前已经成功地押注了KTP，但现在他们在博彩市场上变得“太热”了，今天明智的选择是选择有+0.5个进球障碍的东道主。获胜的几率是65%。事实上，在这场冲突中没有人喜欢-这是一个硬币投掷-(50% -50%)。今天东道主的赔率一直在下降，我想，聪明的赌徒都在赌东道主，但仍然太高了。
我之前提到过，以芬兰的标准，KTP在家乡科特卡的热情球迷面前是一支非常强大的球队。然而，在道路上，他们的水平往往相当低，这是一些赌徒似乎不完全理解的东西。总的来说，Ykkönen很难成为博彩公司关注的焦点——即使是那些拥有大量资源的大公司。我们必须利用这一点!KTP在离家很远的地方赢得了最近五场比赛中的一场!本月17日，他们在赫尔辛基对尼斯坦的比赛中表现令人失望，1比2输掉了比赛，尽管根据博彩市场，他们是这场比赛的热门。我相信今天的赔率很大程度上受到KTP在7月4日3-1在图尔库取得的一场胜利的影响。KTP打得很好，结果看起来(太)令人印象深刻的大多数娱乐投注者/甚至一些赌注。从原始的角度来看，TPS无疑是这个联盟中最好的球队，尽管他们仍在不断努力寻找自己的最佳表现水平，而且经常被赌徒们高估。KTP对TPS很有效，防守很有激情，结构很好。然而，他们绝对不是更好的球队。TPS有56%的控球率，记录了更多的得分尝试、进攻和危险的进攻。Ekenäs已经远远没有他们赛季初的水平了。他们早期的表现略高于真实水平，但近期博彩市场的形式和估值下跌背后有一个解释因素。22岁的瑞典前锋亚当·拉尔森(Adam Larsson)是一名非常危险的球员，他离开了球队，加盟了在维考斯利加效力的伊尔维斯(Ilves)。拉尔森在离开前为Ekenäs打进了12球。即便如此，Ekenäs也有其他有天赋的进攻球员。历史上Ekenäs在主场是一支强队，现在也有了一个新教练，葡萄牙人佩德罗·菲利佩，他只有35岁，但很有前途。他从顶级球队里斯本竞技加盟Ekenäs。佩德罗应该会给球队带来巨大的鼓舞，很多忠实的球迷会在今天来到球场，因为这是周末的比赛，天气很好。
