Free bet for my followers 墨美洲vs圣路易斯
2022-09-07
分享比赛
It's late call from me, but odds on +1.5 San Luis raised up by 0.10 from opening lines and now I see excellent value here.
Is more about numbers.
San Luis didn't lost any of last 9 matches against America by more than one goal so on those circumstances such line today look very valuable.
Obviously, America is in hot form - they won last 7 matches in a row, but they had a lot of luck in current season. So far they scored 26 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score 16.7 - it's big difference!
San Luis is solid team - they didn't lost in 8 of last 10 matches. Guests are very solid at the back. The best defensive formation in whole league is Tigres (7 clean sheets) - San Luis have only two clean sheets less.
All in all, I see really good chances for guests to avoid big loss today.
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
虽然我说得有点晚，但圣路易斯的赔率比开盘时提高了0.10，现在我看到了极好的价值。
更多的是关于数字。
在过去9场对墨美洲的比赛中，圣路易斯没有输过一球以上，所以在这样的情况下，这样的线在今天看来是很有价值的。
显然，墨美洲处于火热状态——他们在最近7场比赛中取得了胜利，但他们在本赛季运气很好。到目前为止，他们进了26球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该进16.7球——差距太大了!
圣路易斯是一支很稳定的球队——他们在过去的10场比赛中有8场没有输。客人们的后腰都很结实。整个联盟最好的防守阵型是老虎队(7场零封)——圣路易斯只少两场零封。
总而言之，我认为今天的客队很有可能避免大败。
