A lucrative match in Romania! 罗甲舍佩斯VS沃伦塔利
2022-12-10
分享比赛
Sepsi VS Voluntari
Sepsi welcome Voluntari for this Romania Liga 1 round 20 clash at Stadionul Sepsi in Sfantu Gheorghe. There is no doubt about the fact that the hosts are the favorites here.They have an edge in all areas of the game but definitely smaller than the bookies seem to estimate.. The biggest difference is in offense. Indeed, Sepsi have scored 32 goals so far - Voluntari's number is just 17. However, the 32 is more than their number of expected goals (xG) However, there is not much between the two teams in the standings.. Sepsi have taken 28 points so far – the visitors have 24 points in the pocket. In terms if expected points (xPTS) Sepsi would have deserved more. The same is true for Voluntari as well though! Their xPTS is 26.45. They have a solid defense indeed and have allowed just 18 goals so far. Indeed, they have an over 70% chance to avoid losing by more than one goal's difference - bringing my fans and me the third winner in a row. I expect them to be quite defensive, even cautious here and they would probably be happy with a draw.. The number of expected goals here is lower than the betting market estimate. I would set the number at 2.26. The chance of Sepsi winning is 55%. They did beat Voluntari 4-0 three days ago in a cup match and it seems the betting market give this match too much emphasis here. The final score does flatter Sepsi..
Let's not forget that last season Voluntari finished in 6th place with 47 points. The hosts, on the other hand, had a quite difficult season and finished in 10th place with just 39 points. By players' total market value they are the bigger club with some 13 million euros according to Transfermarkt.com. However, Voluntari's squad is also valued at over 10 million. Both numbers are more or less correct in my opinion. Yes, Sepsi have been in good form lately and have taken all three points in three of their latest five matches in this league. Voluntari's record in Liga 1 is good too though and they have not lost any of their latest three matches. In their most recent league game, they crushed a pretty good team Hermannstadt 3-0 at home allowing the visitors just one shot on goal! Sepsi too won their latest match in Liga 1-4 - away from home over UTA Arad as clear favorites. Yes, they were the better team but the final score is still misleading. UTA Arad even recorded more dangerous attacks despite receiving a red card in the second half. Lastly I want to mention that Sepsi have taken just 10 points in nine home games in this league – not too impressive..
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
Sepsi VS Voluntari
塞西欢迎弗洛塔里参加在斯凡图盖奥赫塞西球场举行的罗马尼亚甲级联赛第20轮比赛。毫无疑问，东道主是最受欢迎的。他们在比赛的各个方面都有优势，但肯定比庄家估计的要小。最大的不同在于进攻。事实上，到目前为止，塞西已经进了32个球，而维沃塔里的数字只有17个。然而，32个进球超过了他们的预期进球数(xG)。然而，两队在积分榜上的差距并不大。到目前为止，赛西已经拿到了28分，而客队已经拿到了24分。如果预期积分(xPTS)，赛西应该得到更多。这同样适用于Voluntari !他们的xPTS是26.45。他们的防守确实很稳固，到目前为止只丢了18个球。事实上，他们有超过70%的机会避免输掉超过一个球的差距——让我的球迷和我连续第三次获胜。我预计他们会防守得很好，甚至在这里会很谨慎，他们可能会很高兴得到平局。这里的预期进球数低于博彩市场的估计。我会把这个数字设置为2.26。Sepsi获胜的几率是55%。他们确实在三天前的一场杯赛中以4:0击败了维沃塔里，似乎博彩市场对这场比赛过于重视了。最终的比分确实让Sepsi高兴。
我们不要忘记上赛季维沃塔里以47分排名第6。另一方面，东道主经历了一个相当艰难的赛季，仅以39分排名第10位。根据Transfermarkt.com的数据，从球员的总市场价值来看，他们是更大的俱乐部，约有1300万欧元。然而，沃罗塔利队的身价也超过了1000万。在我看来，这两个数字或多或少是正确的。是的，塞西最近状态不错，在最近的五场联赛中有三场拿到了三分。不过，福洛塔里在西甲的战绩也不错，他们最近的三场比赛一场未输。在他们最近的联赛中，他们在主场以3-0击败了一支相当不错的Hermannstadt球队，只让客队射正了一球!在最近的一场西甲比赛中，塞西也以1-4的比分在客场战胜了阿拉德。是的，他们是更好的球队，但最终的比分仍然是误导性的。UTA阿拉德队在下半场吃到红牌，但却有更多危险的进攻记录。最后我想说的是，在本联赛的9个主场比赛中，塞西只拿到了10分，这并不令人印象深刻。
