外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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解读理由

I waited with this bet until last moment because I wanted to see the most possible line ups for today's match up.

I believe Melbourne have really good chances to make win in today's match up. They won 4:1 last match between both teams at this stadium so why not today?

McArthur scored 9 goals in current season, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 6.1. Today they will start without best scorer Rose and best assistant Noone so I see big problems with goalscoring for them today.

On the other hand McArthur have the worst defensive formation in whole league according to the expected goals conceded model. They should concede 14.3 goals in 6 matches. Melbourne will start with their best offensive players like Brimmer, Ikonomidis or D'Agostino so they should be able to create a lot of chances to score.

On those circumstances I see good value on away side.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

我一直等到最后一刻才下注,因为我想看看今天比赛最有可能出现的阵容。

我相信墨尔本有很大的机会在今天的比赛中获胜。他们在上一场比赛中以4:1的比分赢了两队,为什么今天不赢呢?

麦克阿瑟本赛季进了9球,但根据预期进球数模型,他们应该只进6.1球。今天他们将在没有最佳射手罗斯和最佳助教诺内的情况下首发,所以我认为他们今天在进球方面有很大的问题。

另一方面,根据预期失球模型,麦克阿瑟的防守阵型是全联赛最差的。他们应该在6场比赛中丢14.3球。墨尔本将以他们最好的进攻球员开始,比如布里默,伊科诺米迪斯或达戈斯蒂诺,所以他们应该能够创造很多得分机会。

在这种情况下,我认为客场很有价值。


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