GREAT results in LaLiga! $$$ 西甲塞尔塔VS比利亚雷
2023-01-13
分享比赛
Celta Vigo VS Villarreal
Celta Vigo welcome Villarreal for this Spanish LaLiga round 17 battle at Estadio de Balaído early Saturday morning Beijing time. This the second-best league on the planet after the English Premier League and the football fans have every reason to expect a pretty high-level match.. However, the goal expectancy is not high – the probability for under 2.5 goals to be scored is 63%. This is a higher percentage than the betting market estimates. A draw would certainly surprise no one and would be enough to bring us yet another winner with the +0.5 goals handicap option. Indeed, my fans and I have done extremely well betting on LaLiga and once again we have a very interesting match to bet on! The biggest bookmakers that offer the largest stake limits see the visitors as slim favorites here. This is, in a way, easy to understand as Villarreal are much higher in the standings, in 6th place with 27 points. However, once again I will not let the league table fool me! With today's expected lineups Celta Vigo should be the favorites! The hosts did not have any injury concerns against Elche in their most recent match a week ago and the situation here. The hosts' excellent coach Carvalhal expected to have a full squad to choose from! Celta Vigo deservedly beat Elche 1-0 away from home after recording 1.98 in expected goals (xG). Elche created just 1.02. Elche are a weak team but I still liked Celta Vigo's performance – especially in terms of defensive structure. I expect the hosts' the starting eleven to be similar to the last game - perhaps even identical ( a 5-3-2 formation). Celta's experienced and dangerous striker Aspas,35, is a player to follow closely here. - let's hope he nets the ball! As for Villarreal the situation is far from optimal as Lo Celso and Pedreza are injured. Albiol and Baena are also out because of too many yellow cards. Jackson's situation is unclear at the time of writing this Friday evening Beijing time. Capoue was out against the reigning champions Real Madrid because of muscular fatigue, but is expected to be able to return for this clash but might not be at his best.. Albiol's place will probably be taken by Mandi, who is, of course, not a bad player.
Villarreal have been strong at their stadium and have a very enthusiastic home crowd which played, as expected, a big role when they beat Real 2-1 last Saturday. Away from home Villarreal's level has been much worse despite the quite decent record in LaLiga this season.. Villarral recorded 2.34 in xG, Real's number was 2.32. One cannot say that the win was undeserved but the match could easily have gone either way! Both teams had their strong moments during the game and several chances to score. However, I must say that Villarreal played at their best level for say 75 minutes of the match but Real Madrid, as a whole, were far from their best level.. They were incredibly passive - even lazy - for long periods of time and seemed to be just waiting for Benzema or Vinicius Junior to get the job done.. It seems, as I expected, that the betting market has over-reacted to this fine win over one of the biggest clubs in the world.. Furthermore, last season Villarreal beat mighty Bayern Munich, rulers of German football, in the Champions League Play Offs 1-0 at home and played a draw in Germany in the second leg and made Liverpool work hard despite losing 2-5 on aggregate.. The bookmakers and bettors alike of course remember these fine results which still affects the odds, I presume.. This season Villarreal are not quite at the same level and did not make it to the Champions League for this season anyway.. Let's also remember Villarreal did have luck on their side against Bayern.. Even so, Villarreal are the better team by pure class but with today's lineups the difference in pure class is very narrow. LaLiga has one of the biggest home advantages on average in the long-term in the top-20 leagues in the world and this factor must be given enough emphasis here as well! Celta have historically heavily relied on home games in front of very loyal and loud fans - a massive boost for them! They are having a bad season results-wise and are in the 16th place with 16 points and a score difference of 16:27. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is 23.02! Furthermore, the number of goals conceded 27 surely looks bad and they do have some defensive weaknesses but their number of goals allowed (xGA) is just 18.23! Before the Real Madrid match Villarreal demolished FC Cartagena SAD 5-1 away from home as clear favorites in Copa Del Rey (Spanish Cup) 1/16-finals. The match was, however, more balanced than the final score would reflect.. Before this they deservedly defeated a quite dangerous team, Valencia (11th place) 2-1 at home after creating 2.43 in xG – Valencia's number was 1.08. Villarreal have a solid somewhat defense and have conceded just 11 goals in LaLiga but their xGA is still much bigger - 19.12! Both teams are in fine form. Indeed, Celta Vigo have not lost any of their most recent eight games in regulation time! 10 days ago Espanyol beat them in a cup game 3-1 after extra time though. Villarreal, on the other hand, have lost just one of their latest 10 matches but we must not forget that they had some luck in some of these matches..
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
塞尔塔VS比利亚雷亚尔
维戈塞尔塔欢迎比利亚雷亚尔参加西班牙西甲第17轮比赛Balaído北京时间周六凌晨。这是地球上仅次于英超联赛的第二大联赛，球迷们有充分的理由期待一场相当高水平的比赛。然而，进球期望并不高——2.5球以下进球的概率是63%。这一比例高于博彩市场的估计。一场平局当然不会让任何人感到惊讶，这足以让我们获得另一个获胜者，加上+0.5个进球的障碍选项。事实上，我和我的球迷在西甲联赛上赌得非常好，我们又有一场非常有趣的比赛可以赌了!最大的博彩公司提供最大的赌注限制，认为游客在这里是不太受欢迎的。在某种程度上，这很容易理解，因为比利亚雷亚尔在积分榜上要高得多，排名第6，积27分。然而，再一次，我不会让排名欺骗我!根据今天的预期阵容，维戈塞尔塔应该是最受欢迎的!在一周前与埃尔切的比赛中，主队没有任何伤病问题。东道主出色的教练卡瓦哈尔希望有一个完整的阵容可供选择!维戈塞尔塔在主场1-0击败了埃尔切，他们的预期进球数为1.98。Elche只创造了1.02。埃尔切是一支弱队，但我仍然喜欢维戈塞尔塔的表现——尤其是在防守结构方面。我预计东道主的首发11人将与上一场比赛相似，甚至可能一模一样(5-3-2阵型)。塞尔塔35岁的经验丰富的危险前锋阿斯帕斯在这里是一个值得密切关注的球员。-希望他能把球接住!至于比利亚雷亚尔，由于洛塞尔索和佩德雷萨受伤，情况远非理想。阿尔比奥尔和巴埃纳也因为黄牌过多而缺阵。北京时间本周五晚上，杰克逊的情况还不清楚。由于肌肉疲劳，他缺席了与卫冕冠军皇家马德里队的比赛，但他有望在这场比赛中复出，但可能不是他的最佳状态。阿尔比奥尔的位置可能会被曼迪取代，当然，曼迪并不是一个糟糕的球员。
比利亚雷亚尔在他们的球场上非常强大，而且有非常热情的主场观众，正如预期的那样，他们在上周六2-1击败皇马的比赛中发挥了重要作用。尽管本赛季在西甲联赛中取得了不错的成绩，但比利亚雷亚尔在客场的水平却糟糕得多。比利亚拉尔的xG为2.34，皇马为2.32。我们不能说这场胜利是不应得的，但是这场比赛很容易就会朝着任何一个方向发展!两支球队在比赛中都有各自的强势时刻，并有几次得分的机会。然而，我必须说比利亚雷亚尔在75分钟的比赛中发挥出了他们的最佳水平，而皇马，作为一个整体，远远没有达到他们的最佳水平。在很长一段时间里，他们都是令人难以置信的被动，甚至是懒惰，似乎只是在等待本泽马或维尼修斯来完成这项工作。而且，上赛季比利亚雷亚尔在欧冠附加赛中主场1-0击败了德国足坛的霸主拜仁慕尼黑，次回合又在德国打了一场平局，让利物浦在总比分2-5输掉的情况下依然努力工作。我想，庄家和投注者当然都记得这些仍然影响赔率的好结果。本赛季比利亚雷亚尔没有达到同样的水平，而且本赛季也没有进入欧冠。让我们也记住比利亚雷亚尔在对阵拜仁的比赛中确实有运气。即便如此，比利亚雷亚尔在级别上还是更好的球队，但在今天的阵容中，级别上的差异非常小。在世界排名前20的联赛中，西甲拥有平均最大的主场优势之一，这一因素在这里也必须得到足够的重视!塞尔塔历来严重依赖主场比赛，面对忠实而吵闹的球迷。-对他们来说是一个巨大的提升!他们本赛季的成绩很糟糕，以16分的成绩排在第16位，比分差为16:27。然而，他们的期望点数(xPTS)是23.02!此外，27个失球看起来确实很糟糕，他们确实有一些防守弱点，但他们的失球数(xGA)只有18.23个!在与皇马的比赛之前，比利亚雷亚尔客场5-1大胜卡塔赫纳，成为西班牙国王杯1/16决赛的大热门。然而，这场比赛比最终比分所反映的要平衡得多。在此之前，他们在主场2-1击败了一支相当危险的球队，瓦伦西亚(第11名)，他们在xG中创造了2.43分——瓦伦西亚的数字是1.08分。比利亚雷亚尔的防守相当稳固，在西甲联赛中只丢了11个球，但他们的xGA仍然要大得多——19.12球!两队的状态都很好。事实上，维戈塞尔塔在最近的8场比赛中没有输过任何一场!西班牙人在一场加时赛中3-1击败了他们。另一方面，比利亚雷亚尔在最近的10场比赛中只输了一场。我们不能忘记他们在某些比赛中还算走运。
