Profit from England? 英足总杯伯明翰VS布莱克本
2023-01-31
分享比赛
Birmingham VS Blackburn Rovers
Birmingham and Blackburn lock horns in this 1/16-finals replay clash at St. Andrew's Stadium early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Both teams play in the Championship, the second tier of English football. The level of this league is quite good by European standards and we can expect a somewhat entertaining match. Seeing both managers do some squad rotation would not be a surprise at all as FA - despite being the most prestigious cup competition in England – is not either team's main priority this season. My fans and I have done well betting on English football and this game is yet another lucrative betting opportunity! The biggest, mostly rather sharp bookmakers that offer the largest betting limits see the hosts as favorites offering them odds of around 2.50 to win during the 90 minutes of football – at least at the time of writing this analysis Tuesday evening Beijing time. I do expect the odds on Blackburn to probably go down though as smart money is expected to pile up on them. I simply cannot agree with the bookies' estimation/odds at all. Based on my sophisticated in-depth analysis Blackburn are narrow favorites. The teams met three days ago at Ewood Park and it was a 2-2 draw after an entertaining and somewhat open game. Blackburn would have deserved a win though after having 62% ball possession and recording many more goal attempts, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 67-42.
Birmingham, a team in long-term decline, are having yet another disappointing season and are in the 19th place standings with 32 points to their account in the Championship where a total of 24 teams compete. They have netted the ball 30 times so far and have conceded 35 goals. Furthermore, they have lost five in a row allowing a whopping 13 goals in these games! Their performance in most games was disappointing. Their defense seems to lack individual skill and especially structure. The defenders and midfielders have also made too many silly mistakes recently. They did beat Forest Green 2-1 in a FA Cup battle away from home on the 17th of this month as clear favorites according to the betting market. However, in reality the match was a balanced one and could easily have gone either way. Indeed, the hosts had 52% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts (8-6) and dangerous attacks – 44-33. Blackburn, on the other hand, are having another good season. They are currently in 6th place with 44 points in the pocket. Last season they finished in 8th place with 69 points – Birmingham ended up in 20th place with just 47 points and an abysmal score difference of 50:75. They have lost just one of their latest five games. The defeat came on the 14th of January away from home against Rotherham 0-4 despite having a close to 80% ball possession. Indeed, the final score is very misleading. The visitors have an edge in all areas of the game and also have a better manager!
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
伯明翰VS布莱克本
北京时间周三凌晨，伯明翰和布莱克本在1/16决赛重赛中交锋。两支球队都参加英冠联赛，这是英国足球的二级联赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平相当不错，我们可以期待一场有点娱乐性的比赛。看到两位教练轮换阵容一点也不奇怪，因为英足总(尽管是英格兰最负盛名的杯赛)并不是任何一支球队本赛季的主要任务。我和我的球迷在英格兰足球上赌得很好，这场比赛是另一个有利可图的赌球机会!最大的博彩公司(大多相当精明)开出了最高的投注限额，他们认为东道主是夺冠热门，在90分钟的比赛中开出了2.50左右的赔率——至少在北京时间周二晚上撰写本文时是这样。我确实认为布莱克本的赔率可能会下降，尽管聪明的钱预计会堆积在他们身上。我根本不能同意博彩公司的估计/赔率。根据我的深入分析，布莱克本夺冠的可能性很小。这两支球队三天前在埃伍德公园相遇，在一场有趣且有些开放的比赛后，双方以2-2战平。布莱克本拥有62%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻——67-42，他们理应获得一场胜利。
伯明翰，这支长期走下坡路的球队，又经历了一个令人失望的赛季，在共有24支球队参赛的英冠联赛中，他们以32分的成绩排在第19位。到目前为止，他们已经破门30次，丢了35个球。此外，他们在这些比赛中连输五场，丢了13个球!他们在大多数比赛中的表现令人失望。他们的防守似乎缺乏个人技术，尤其是结构。后卫和中场球员最近也犯了太多愚蠢的错误。本月17日，他们在客场的足总杯比赛中以2-1击败了森林格林队，据博彩市场显示，他们是最受欢迎的球队。然而，实际上这场比赛是一场势均力敌的比赛，双方都有可能获胜。事实上，东道主拥有52%的控球率，记录了更多的进球尝试(8-6)和危险的进攻(44-33)。另一方面，布莱克本又迎来了一个不错的赛季。他们目前以44分的优势排在第6位。上赛季他们以69分排名第8，而伯明翰以47分排名第20，比分差了50:75。他们在最近的五场比赛中只输了一场。在1月14日客场0-4击败罗瑟勒姆的比赛中，尽管球队的控球率接近80%。事实上，最终的分数非常具有误导性。客队在比赛的各个方面都有优势，也有一个更好的教练!
