What will happen at Abe Lenstra Stadion?
2021-03-19
分享比赛
In my opinion Heerenveen have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
To be honest, I don't agree with these odds at all. I see hosts as a decent favorite. In my eyes Twente not deserved to be priced so low here. Heerenveen likes to play against Twente. They didn't lost against them in last 6 matches in a row. I believe they have all tools to continue that streak today.
Heerenveen without any important absences, on the other hand Twente is without important defender Pleguezuelo and important striker Cerny (6 goals).
As well is hard to see Twente as a team in better form - they are without a win in last 4 matches in a row. In last round they lost badly on away against AZ 1:4 and morale in team must be on very low level.
Heerenveen didn't lost in last 7 home matches in a row and I believe home ground should make a difference today. In last home match they trashed Den Haag 3:0 and for sure they coming back to Abe Lenstra Stadion full of confidence. Twente recorded 6 wins in 13 away matches so far, but their results looks good only on the paper. They had a lot of luck - they scored 24 goals on away, but according to expected goals model they should score only 15.12. It's a huge variance.
I trust for hosts here. I see wrong lines at this market.
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在我看来，在今天的比赛中，海伦芬有很好的机会至少得一分。
老实说，我完全不同意特温特能让球。我认为主队是最受欢迎的。海伦芬喜欢和特温特比赛。他们在过去的6场比赛中都没有输过。我相信他们有所有的工具来继续今天的不败。
赫伦芬没有任何重要的缺阵，另一方面特温特缺少重要的后卫普列格苏埃洛和重要的前锋塞尔尼(6个进球)。
同样，我们也很难看到特温特是一支表现更好的球队——他们在过去四场比赛中都没有赢过一场。上一轮他们在客场1:4惨败于AZ，球队的士气肯定很低。
在过去的7场主场比赛中，她没有输掉比赛，我相信今天的主场比赛会有很大的不同。在上一场主场比赛中，他们以3:0击败了海牙，毫无疑问，他们满怀信心地回到了伦斯特拉球场。特温特在目前为止的13场客场比赛中取得了6胜，但是他们的结果看起来只是纸面上的好。他们很幸运——他们在客场打进了24个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只打进15.12个。这是一个很大的方差。
