芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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Both the results and performances of City have been simply crazy and outstanding, they have won 26 of their last 27 games. The sole loss came in the Manchester derby, which is mentally a different type of a game, and also no run can go on forever!

There have been times when City coach Pep Guardiola has been overcoaching when a normal level performance would had been clearly enough, and also today the biggest enemy of City are City themselves. Out of those 26 wins mentioned above 21 of them have been by at least 2 goals. That is about 80%.

So is Dortmund better than average of the opponents in this run? There is Liverpool, Arsenal, Leicester and Chelsea among the casualties who have been beaten by at least two goals, but also a better benchmark in Borussia Mönchengladbach who were beaten twice.

For this game City also have the luxury of a full squad, no injuries, no nothing, and it is not the case that has been recently, they have missed several players throughout the winter.

Dortmund on the other hand are in poor form and miss a lot of important players. They have won only the weak Hertha Berlin in their last 5 games, and even that one was home. They did qualify in the expense of Sevilla to this stage, but were badly outplayed in the 2nd leg and only escaped due the supremacy of Haaland.

Jadon Sancho and Axel Witsel miss the game from the attacking department, and unless Haaland makes a lot of miracles I see City decising this semifinal already in the first leg.

Dortmund are 5th in the Bundesliga table, they are only 7th best away team and the defense has leaked 23 goals in their 14 away games.

Unless Pep Guardiola makes some unexpected moves I see City scoring here at least 3 times, and winning the handicap.

4-1


曼城的成绩和表现都十分出色,他们在过去27场比赛中赢了26场。唯一的失利来自于曼彻斯特德比,从心理上讲这是一场不同类型的比赛,不会影响到球队的势头!

有时候曼城教练瓜迪奥拉(Pep Guardiola)会有更高的要求,正常水平的表现就已经足够了。现在曼城的最大敌人是自己。在上述26场胜利中,有21场至少取得2个进球。大约占了80%。

那么,多特蒙德的实力是否超过了这些对手的平均水平?这些对手包括了利物浦,阿森纳,莱斯特和切尔西,门兴格拉德巴赫足也被击败了两次。

本场比赛,曼城拥有一支完整的阵容,没有伤病,没有任何新增的问题,而且最近情况并非如此,他们在整个比赛中都缺少了一些长期伤停的球员。

另一方面,多特蒙德状态不佳,缺少了很多重要球员。他们在最近的5场比赛中只赢了实力较弱的柏林赫塔,而且还是在主场。他们淘汰了塞维利亚,但在第二回合中表现不佳,仅因哈兰德的表现出色。

Jadon Sancho和Axel Witsel缺席,除非Haaland创造奇迹,否则我认为曼城很可能在第一回合就已经进入到半决赛。

多特蒙德在德甲联赛中排名第5,客场战绩只排在第7名,在14场客场比赛中丢了23个球。

除非瓜迪奥拉(Pep Guardiola)做出一些出乎意料的举动,否则我认为曼城本场至少可以打进3球,并赢下让分。

比分参考4-1

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