A FINE match to bet on! $$$ 欧预赛 捷克VS阿尔巴尼
2023-09-08
分享比赛
Czech Republic vs Albania
Czech Republic, nowadays, in fact, the official name is Czechia, welcome Albania for this EURO 2024 qualification Group E round 5 clash at Fortuna Arena in Prague, the capital of Czechia, early Friday morning Beijing time. However, in reality, both have played three games so far in this group. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of pretty decent level here. I expect the hosts to have around 60% ball possession and control the events on the pitch for the most of the 90 minutes. Albania will most probably have to defend very hard and mainly rely on fast counter attacks to net the ball – these are something they are actually pretty good at. They do have fast and skilled offensive players. The Czechs sometimes attack too aggressively at home in front of their demanding fans.. Perhaps a corner kick, free kick or a penalty might bring the visitors to net the ball. Let’s not forget that the hosts are only in 37th 7th place in the FIFA ranking and have declined clearly from the good level they performed at in the EURO 2020 back in 2021. Even so, the 37th is more or less correct at the moment. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, their squad has a total estimated market value of around 126 million euros. This is definitely too much. I would say that 103-105 million would be a more realistic number. Albania, on the other hand, are in 65th place in this ranking but in my expert opinion even this is way too low.. The Albania squad is valued at approximately 74 million. This is clearly too low! At least four players are undervalued. I would say that 90-92 million would be a more realistic number. However, there is no doubt about the fact that the hosts do have an edge in all areas of the game.
The stakes are high as four teams fight for the first and second place in this group (qualification to the EURO 2024) with a total of five countries. Faroe Islands do not have a realistic chance to qualify. Furthermore, Moldova qualifying would, of course, be a big surprise as well.. Czechia have a total of seven points to their account. In their most recent match in this group they took a convincing 3-0 away win in the Faroe Islands but were also massive favorites – priced around 1.30 to take all three points. Before this – in a group game - they were very disappointing away from home against Moldova as gigantic favorites – priced below 1.20 to win! No goals were scored in this boring game. Yes, the visitors were the better team but their offense lacked speed, creativity and passing accuracy at critical moments. Furthermore, the midfielders were not active enough in attacking. They recorded only 1.28 in expected goals (xG) Yes, they can improve but even that might not guarantee a win here as Albania are a significantly better team than Moldova! Moldova, too, had their chances and recorded six shots on goal and 0.64 in xG. Albania, have taken six points in this group so far comfortably beating Faroe Islands away from home in their latest game 3-1 after generating 2.56 in xG. The hosts managed just 0.38. At home they beat Moldova 2-0 despite being pretty lame offensively. Even so, they had 70% ball possession and also recorded many more goal attempts, shots on goal (5-1), corner kicks, total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks. They defended well – allowing Moldova only 0.24 in xG. Their defensive structure was excellent - a good indicator ahead of today's game. In the opening round they faced Poland away from home as big underdogs and fought well despite losing 0-1. Let's remember that Poland are better by pure class than Czechia. Poland generated 0.78 in xG – Albania managed 0.61. Albania have lost just one of their latest 16 games by a margin of more than one goal. This happened last year against Italy, a strong team, 1-3 at home. They have an over 70% chance to avoid this fate here as well! Czechia are priced around 1.55 to win by the bookies and this is too low. I see them having a 54% chance of winning this probably low-scoring clash.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
捷克vs阿尔巴尼亚
北京时间周五凌晨，在捷克首都布拉格的福图纳竞技场，捷克共和国，实际上，现在的官方名称是捷克，欢迎阿尔巴尼亚参加2024年欧洲杯预选赛E组第5轮比赛。然而，实际上，到目前为止，两人都在这个小组打了三场比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场相当不错的比赛。我预计东道主的控球率将在60%左右，并在90分钟的大部分时间里控制场上的局势。阿尔巴尼亚很可能不得不非常努力地防守，主要依靠快速的反击来把球打进网——这些实际上是他们很擅长的。他们确实有速度快、技术娴熟的进攻球员。捷克人有时在主场面对苛刻的球迷时进攻过于激进。也许一个角球、任意球或点球会让客队把球打进球门。我们不要忘记，东道主在国际足联排名中仅排在第37位，与2021年在2020年欧洲杯上的出色表现相比，他们的表现明显下滑。即便如此，第37条目前或多或少还是正确的。根据德国知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据，这支球队的总市值估计在1.26亿欧元左右。这实在是太过分了。我认为1.03 - 1.05亿是更现实的数字。另一方面，阿尔巴尼亚在这个排名中排名第65位，但在我的专家看来，这个排名太低了。阿尔巴尼亚队的身价约为7400万英镑。这显然太低了!至少有四位球员被低估了。我认为9000万到9200万是更现实的数字。然而，毫无疑问，东道主在比赛的各个方面都有优势。
这一小组共有5个国家，4支球队将争夺第一名和第二名(2024年欧洲杯参赛资格)。法罗群岛没有晋级的现实机会。此外，摩尔多瓦出线当然也会是一个大惊喜。捷克队目前总共积7分。在该组最近的一场比赛中，他们在法罗群岛取得了令人信服的3-0的胜利，但他们也是大热门——价格在1.30左右，可以拿到全部三分。在此之前，在一场小组赛中，他们在客场对阵摩尔多瓦的比赛中表现非常令人失望，他们被认为是最大的热门——胜率低于1.20 !这场无聊的比赛没有进球。是的，客队是一支更好的球队，但他们的进攻缺乏速度、创造力和关键时刻的传球准确性。此外，中场球员在进攻中不够活跃。他们的预期进球数只有1.28个(xG)是的，他们可以提高，但即使这样也不能保证在这里获胜，因为阿尔巴尼亚队比摩尔多瓦队强得多!摩尔多瓦也有机会，他们有6次射正，射门0.64次。阿尔巴尼亚队在上一场比赛中以3比1轻松击败法罗群岛队，目前在小组中已经拿到6分，他们在上一场比赛中取得了2.56分。东道主只拿到了0.38分。在主场，他们以2比0击败了摩尔多瓦，尽管他们的进攻相当差劲。尽管如此，他们有70%的控球率，并且记录了更多的射门次数、射门次数(5-1)、角球次数、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数。他们防守很好，只让摩尔多瓦0.24分。他们的防守结构非常好，这是今天比赛前的一个很好的指标。在首场比赛中，他们在客场面对波兰队，尽管0-1输掉了比赛，但他们表现出色。让我们记住波兰在纯粹的阶级上比捷克要好。波兰队在2010年取得了0.78分，阿尔巴尼亚取得了0.61分。阿尔巴尼亚在最近的16场比赛中只输掉了一场，差距超过一球。这发生在去年对阵意大利的比赛中，意大利是一支强队，主场1胜3负。他们也有超过70%的机会避免这种命运!博彩公司对捷克的赔率定在1.55左右，这个价格太低了。我认为他们有54%的机会赢得这场可能得分很低的比赛。
