What will happen at Elland Road today?
2021-04-19
分享比赛
In my opinion Liverpool have really good chances to make 3 points in today's match up.
Liverpool get eliminated from Champions League in midweek (but they looked good against Real there), so Premier League is last ongoing competition for them. At the moment they are on 5th place and for sure motivation is huge to finish inside top4 and get promotion to Champions League once again. Leeds is on the safe place in the middle of the table and plays for nothing till end of the season.
Liverpool don't have any new injury concerns. On the other hand Leeds is without their captain and key central defender Cooper. This is huge blow for their poor defense (only 5 teams conceded more goals so far). In addition to that important offensive midfielder Rodrigo is unavailable and key winger Raphina is very doubtful.
Liverpool have really good record at Elland Road as they lost here only once in last 11 matches (7 wins in the process). Liverpool don't have any problems wit goalscoring against Leeds as they scored in average more than 2 goals in 25 Premier League matches against them. Liverpool scored at least one goal in 20 of last 21 matches against Leeds and I'm sure they will continue that good streak today.
After horrible period, Liverpool finally bounce back a bit - they won 5 of last 6 away Premier League matches. Today is not long trip for them at all, it's only about 1.5h drive by car. Liverpool looked very creative in last two Premier League matches, expected goals scored number twice above 2.33.
Like I mentioned before, I don't trust for Leeds defensive formation, especially without Cooper. They had a lot of luck in last weeks. They won against Fulham, but they should lose (xGS for Fulham 1.86, for Leeds 1.06), they won against City, but they should lose badly (xGS for City 2.56, for Leeds 0.09!).
In current season only City created more big chances to score than Liverpool. I'm sure they will make a lot of damage against poor Leeds defense today and score more than one goal. That should be enough to grab 3 points at the end of the day.
在我看来，利物浦在今天的比赛中很有机会取得3分。
利物浦在本周中从冠军联赛中被淘汰（对阵皇家队表现不错），因此英超联赛对他们来说是最后一项可以争取的荣誉。目前，他们排名第五，可以肯定的是，进入前4名并再次拿到欧洲冠军联赛资格的动力很大。利兹在积分榜中游的安全区，在赛季结束前没有太多的荣誉。
利物浦没有任何新的伤病隐患。另一方面，利兹缺少队长和关键的中后卫库珀。对于他们糟糕的防守来说，这是巨大的打击（到目前为止，只有5支球队比他们失球多）。除了重要的进攻型中场罗德里戈之外，关键边锋拉菲娜出战存疑。
利物浦在艾兰路球场（Elland Road）的战绩非常出色，他们在过去11场比赛中仅在这里输了一场（有7场胜利）。利物浦对利兹时的进攻没有任何问题，他们在于利兹的25场英超联赛中，平均进球超过2个。利物浦在对阵利兹的最近21场比赛中有20场至少进了一个球，我敢肯定，他们今天将继续保持这种良好的状态。
经历了糟糕的时期后，利物浦终于迎来了反弹-他们赢得了最近6场英超联赛比赛中的5场。今天对他们来说不是长途旅行，到利兹开车仅需1.5小时左右。利物浦在最近的两场英超联赛中看起来都非常有创造力，预期进球数比2.33要高。
就像我之前提到的，我不信任利兹的防守，尤其是没有库珀。过去几周他们很幸运。赢了富勒姆，但是富勒姆队的预期进球为1.86，利兹队为1.06，战胜了曼城队，但是他们应该输得更惨曼城的预期进球2.56，利兹0.09。
在当前赛季，只有曼城比利物浦创造了更多的进球机会。我敢肯定，他们今天对利兹的防守会造成很多威胁，并且进球会超过一球。预测利物浦胜。
