外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Thun VS FC Sion


Thun and Sion lock horns in this Swiss Challenge League round 31 battle at Stockhorn Arena early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This league is of mediocre quality high by European standards – for a second tier. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of top-quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have a very lucrative betting opportunity to grab yet another winner here! Sion currently top the standings and are clearly the best team in this league! They have grabbed an impressive 67 points! They have lost only two games in this league. Furthermore, they have netted the ball a whopping 61 times in this league. This is the biggest number in this league – by a wide margin! Their defence has been rock-solid. Indeed, they have allowed only 21 goals – less than any other team. Their defence has no obvious weaknesses. Sion were relegated from the first tier after last season and were, in all honesty, not strong.. However, they were very unlucky in terms of expected points. Let's remember that the first tier is much better than the Challenge League! For this level Sion have a strong squad! According to Transfermarkt.com, a German website, they are the much bigger team here. Their players have an estimated total market value of close to nine million euros – this too low. 11.5-12 million would be a more realistic number. The Thun squad is valued at around 5.70 million which is more or less correct.

Thun cannot match the visitors in any area of the game – despite being the second-best team in this league. They have grabbed 60 points but their number of xPTS is "only" 54.34. They have scored 55 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) is 51.22. Their defence is pretty good but they have still conceded 34 goals. They do not do well against teams that press hard – with many men. Indeed, I expect Sion to do exactly that here. Most of the biggest bookies see this game as a coin toss – a 50/50 without a favourite – offering both teams odds of around 2.70 to win. This is incorrect, Sion have a 43% chance of winning this clash! They have not lost any of their last five games. In their last game they beat Stade Nyonnais at home 1-0. They were, however, very dominant in this match. They recorded a whopping 31 goal attempts and should have scored three goals! They also recorded many more shots on goal (6-0, shots off goal, corner kicks (16-1), attacks and dangerous attacks – 88-21. Before this they crushed Baden 3-0 on the road. Thun have taken three wins and two losses in their last five games. In their last game they were priced around 1.75 to win by the bookies but lost to Aarau 0-3 away from home. They had their chances but were disappointing as a whole. Their defence looked very leaky and the defenders made many silly mistakes – gave too risky passes etc. Before this they beat Bellinzona, a lowly team who are currently in 8th place, 1-0 at home. They were priced around 1.30 to win this game. The visitors' S. Seiler was sent off in the 62th minute which heavily affected the game! The score was still 0-0 at the time of red card.. Thun recorded only two more goal attempts – 5-3 to be precise. Before this they beat Xamax at home 4-0 and deserved to win. However, the final result massively flatters Thun.



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雷霆VS锡安


北京时间周二凌晨,图恩和锡安将在斯托克霍恩竞技场进行瑞士挑战赛第31轮比赛。这个联赛的质量一般,以欧洲的标准来看是高的——作为二级联赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期利润——可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的高质量比赛。最重要的是,我们有一个非常有利可图的投注机会,在这里抓住另一个赢家!锡安目前排名第一,显然是这个联赛中最好的球队!他们拿到了令人印象深刻的67分!他们在这个联赛中只输了两场。此外,他们在这个联盟中有61次进球。这是联盟中最大的数字——遥遥领先!他们的防守坚如磐石。事实上,他们只丢了21个球,比其他任何球队都少。他们的防守没有明显的弱点。上个赛季后,锡安从甲级降级,老实说,他们并不强。然而,就期望得分而言,他们非常不走运。让我们记住,第一梯队比挑战联赛要好得多!对于这个级别,锡安有一个强大的阵容!根据一家德国网站Transfermarkt.com的说法,他们是这里规模更大的球队。他们球员的总市值估计接近900万欧元——这个数字太低了。1150万到1200万是比较现实的数字。图恩队的身价在570万左右,这或多或少是正确的。

尽管是联赛第二好的球队,但在比赛的任何方面都无法与客队匹敌。他们拿到了60分,但他们的得分只有54.34分。虽然打进55球,但预期进球(xG)为51.22球。他们的防守很好,但是他们仍然丢了34个球。他们在面对人多的强队时表现不佳。事实上,我希望锡安在这里做到这一点。大多数最大的博彩公司都把这场比赛看作是抛硬币——五五开,没有最受欢迎的一方——两队的胜率都在2.70左右。这是不正确的,锡安有43%的机会赢得这场比赛!他们最近五场比赛没有输过一场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场1-0击败了尼翁尼斯。然而,他们在这场比赛中占据了统治地位。他们射门次数高达31次,本应该进3球!他们也创造了更多的射门(6胜0负)、射门(16胜1负)、角球(16胜1负)、进攻和危险进攻(88胜21负)的记录。在此之前,他们在客场3-0大胜巴登。在最近的5场比赛中,他们取得了3胜2负的战绩。在上一场比赛中,博彩公司对他们的胜率定价在1.75左右,但他们在客场0-3输给了阿劳。他们有机会,但整体上令人失望。他们的防守看起来漏洞百出,后卫犯了很多愚蠢的错误——传球太危险等等。在此之前,他们主场1-0击败了排名第8的球队贝林佐纳。他们的价格在1.30左右,赢得了这场比赛。客队的塞勒在第62分钟被罚下,这严重影响了比赛!红牌出示时比分还是0-0。图恩只尝试了两次进球——准确地说是5比3。在此之前,他们在主场4-0击败了Xamax,他们理应获胜。然而,最终的结果大大美化了Thun。

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