外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Gil Vicente VS FC Arouca


Gil Vicente and Arouca lock horn in this Liga Portugal round 31 battle at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos in Barcelos early Saturday morning Beijing time. A total of 34 rounds will be played. This is the first tier of Portuguese football. The level of this league is rather high by European standards. However, here we can expect a match of only average quality by this league's standards. Luckily we have a strong chance to get yet another winner! Gil Vicente are currently in 12th place in the league table with 31 points to their account. Their season has been a slight disappointment, at least results-wise. Their number of expected points (xPTS) is 33.45. Both their offense ans defence are mediocre – without major strenghts or weaknesses. They have scored 37 goals and have not really been either lucky or unlucky in terms of expected goals (xG). They have conceded 48 goals but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is lower – 43.67 to be precise. They have only three points more to their account than Portimonense, currently in 16th place. The teams who finish 17th or 18th place will be relegated directly. The team that ends up in 16th place will face a team from the second tier to decide which team gets to play in the first tier next season.

Gil Vicente will surely desire taking all the three points here – securing their place in this league for the next season. If points are tied at the end of the competition, head-to-head matches will be the tie-breaker. Arouca are in 6th place with 44 points and have nothing to play for. Their score difference is 51:40 but in terms of pure class I see them only as narrowly the better team of the two.. Taking the substantial home advantage and the motivation factor into account Gil Vicente are solid favourites here. However, the bookies seem to give the standings too much emphasis – and offer both teams odds of around 2.65 to win.. Gil Vicente's latest results as a whole are not impressive. Indeed, they recently lost four games in a row. However, they would have deserved 2 or 3 points from these games. In their last game they played well and beat Moreirense 1-0 away from home as solid underdogs according to the bookies. The xG numbers were 0.43-0.56.



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吉尔·维森特VS阿鲁卡FC


北京时间周六凌晨,吉尔·维森特和阿鲁卡将在西甲第31轮对阵Estádio巴塞罗那城的比赛中交手。比赛共进行34轮。这是葡萄牙足球的第一梯队。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是相当高的。然而,在这里,我们可以期待一场比赛的平均质量,以这个联盟的标准。幸运的是,我们有很大的机会找到另一个赢家!吉尔·维森特目前以31分排在联赛积分榜的第12位。他们的赛季有点令人失望,至少在成绩方面是这样。它们的期望值(xPTS)为33.45。他们的进攻和防守都很平庸——没有主要的优势或弱点。他们已经进了37个球,从预期进球的角度来看,他们既不幸运也不不幸。他们丢了48个球,但是他们的预期失球数(xGA)更低,准确地说是43.67个。他们只比目前排名第16位的Portimonense多3分。第17名或第18名的球队将直接降级。排在第16位的球队将面对一支来自第二梯队的球队,以决定下赛季哪支球队能进入第一梯队。

吉尔·维森特肯定希望拿到所有的三分,以确保他们下赛季在联赛中的位置。如果在比赛结束时得分相等,则进行肉搏赛。阿鲁卡以44分排名第6,没有什么可踢的。他们的比分差距是51:40,但从纯粹的水平来看,我认为他们只是两支球队中稍微好一点。考虑到巨大的主场优势和动力因素,吉尔·维森特在这里是最受欢迎的。然而,博彩公司似乎过于重视排名,并提供两队获胜的赔率约为2.65。吉尔·维森特(Gil Vicente)的最新研究结果总体上并不令人印象深刻。事实上,他们最近连输了四场比赛。然而,他们本应该从这些比赛中得到2到3分。在他们的上一场比赛中,他们打得很好,在客场1-0击败了莫雷伦斯,根据博彩公司的说法,他们是绝对的弱者。xG值为0.43 ~ 0.56。

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