End of season in Ligue1 斯特拉斯vs洛里昂
2021-05-23
分享比赛
After getting extremely unfortunate with the pick on Villarreal win against Real Madrid yesterday (Real equalized in 87’ minute and won the match in 90+2’), I am having a go on another typical end of season case, which should be played out in Strasbourg tonight.
Two teams in danger of being pushed into the relegation play-off zone, Strasbourg and Lorient, will be facing each other and waiting for positive news from Brest. The reigning champion PSG will be attempting to catch Lille and in order to do so, they have to take nothing but 3 points against Brest. Should the latter team lose, then Strasbourg and Lorient automatically get saved with a draw.
This is a very common scenario, when such games, where the outcome and motivation directly depends on the result in a parallel match. They tend to be very slow and short of goals or any action. This is why the goal line was set at 2 by the bookmakers and the draw on 1x2 market collapsed to 2.00 by Saturday evening. It rose to 2.23 in the morning, but obviously the market is expecting a low scoring draw, which should suit both involved parties.
The rules for tie-breakers in Ligue1 changed before this season from head-to-head to a more straightforward goal difference.
As you can see from the table extract below (last 2 columns is goal difference and points) - Strasbourg and Lorient hold a draw, earning a point each, while waiting for news about Brest loss to 100% motivated PSG. 2 teams in the same boat and nobody should start rocking it.
15 Strasbourg 37 11 8 18 48 57 −9 41
16 Brest 37 11 8 18 50 64 −14 41
17 Lorient 37 11 8 18 49 67 −18 41
___________________________________ Relegation play-offs
18 Nantes 37 9 13 15 46 53 −7 40
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
昨天比利亚雷亚尔在对阵皇马的比赛中不幸被选中(皇马在87分钟扳平，并在90+2的比赛中获胜)，我现在要进行另一场典型的赛季末比赛，今晚应该在斯特拉斯堡进行。
两支球队，斯特拉斯堡和洛里昂，有被推入降级区的危险，他们将面对对方，等待来自布雷斯特的好消息。卫冕冠军巴黎圣日耳曼将试图赶上里尔，为了做到这一点，他们必须在对阵布雷斯特时拿下3分。如果后者输了，斯特拉斯堡和洛里昂将自动以平局被挽救。
这是一种非常常见的情况，当这类游戏的结果和动机直接取决于平行比赛的结果时。他们往往非常缓慢，缺乏目标或任何行动。这就是为什么博彩公司把球门线设为2，到周六晚上，1x2市场的平局跌至2.00。该指数早盘升至2.23点，但显然市场预期会出现较低的平局，这对双方都有利。
在本赛季之前，法甲的平局规则从头球对位变成了更直接的净胜球差距。
你可以从下面的表格中看到(最后两栏是净胜球和积分)——斯特拉斯堡和洛里昂都保持平局，各得一分，而布雷斯特输给了巴黎圣日耳曼。两支队伍在同一条船上，没人能动摇它。
