Free words, because it is a friendly
2024-06-09
分享比赛
Yet, there is a reason to believe that there might be some value. Let us have a quick look at the teams, especially Italy who will be in Germany Euros next week.
Italy have now their final squad chosen, and considering who were left out, and who already played in the 0-0 draw v Turkey the starting lineup might be this:
Donnarumma; Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Bastoni, Dimarco; Cristante, Jorginho; Raspadori, Pellegrini, Chiesa; Scamacca.
Riccardo Orsolini, Ivan Provedel and Samuele Ricci were the last ones who did not make the team, and as there are a few slightly injured players who will not be risked - keeper Meret and midfielder Barella - are the likeliest to be spared.
The 0-0 was rather deserved result v Turkey according to goal expectation data, and in the latest matches vs the better teams Italy have not been very effective.
It is naturally likely that Italy win, but I am more interested in Bosnia not scoring, and let us see what we can build from there.
Bosnia failed badly in the qualification to EURO 25, and they also lost the playoff v Ukraina. Bosnia had deserved their spot through Nations league. The previous coach Savo Milosevic got fired after 6 months of service, and Bosnia lost 4 out of their 6 matches in that period.
The new coach is Sergej Barbarez, and his first match this week in Newcastle proved that there is a lot to do. They lost 3-0 to England, and even the last two goals by Alexander-Arnold and Harry Kane came late they were never competing seriously in the game. England won the xG by 3.2 v 0.03, and the shout count was 26-2!
Will they get any higher xG tonight in Empoli? I doubt it.
So how many goals can Italy score. Are they better than England? How is the team different today compared to England match?
Likely starting-11: Piric; Radeljic, Katic, Ahmedhodzic, Hadzikadunic, Gazibegovic; Gigovoc, Krunic, Tahirovic, Hajradinovic; Demirovic.
Italy have scored poorly, but as Bosnia just keep on conceding goals we can expect Italy to score at least twice. Or at least 3? Luxembourg scored 4!
Final conclusion? 3-0.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
然而，我们有理由相信，这可能会有一些价值。让我们快速看一下这些球队，特别是下周将参加德国欧洲杯的意大利队。
意大利现在已经选出了最终阵容，考虑到谁被淘汰了，以及谁已经参加了0-0战平土耳其的比赛，首发阵容可能是这样的:
Donnarumma;迪洛伦佐、曼奇尼、巴斯托尼、迪马科;Cristante Jorginho;拉斯多里、佩莱格里尼、基耶萨;Scamacca。
里卡多·奥索里尼，伊万·普罗韦德尔和萨缪勒·里奇是最后几名没有入选球队的球员，还有一些轻微受伤的球员不会冒险，门将梅雷特和中场巴雷拉最有可能幸免。
根据进球预期数据，0-0对土耳其的结果是当之无愧的，而在最近对阵较强球队的比赛中，意大利并没有发挥出很好的效果。
意大利很可能获胜，但我对波斯尼亚不进球更感兴趣，让我们看看我们能从那里建立什么。
波黑在25届欧洲杯预选赛中惨败，并且在与乌克兰的决赛中失利。波斯尼亚理应通过国际联盟获得席位。前任教练萨沃·米洛舍维奇在任职6个月后被解雇，波斯尼亚在此期间输掉了6场比赛中的4场。
新教练是巴巴雷斯，他本周在纽卡斯尔的第一场比赛证明了还有很多事情要做。他们0 - 3不敌英格兰队，甚至最后两个阿诺德和凯恩的进球都来得很晚，他们在比赛中从来没有认真竞争过。英格兰队以3.2比0.03的比分赢得了xG，比分是26比2!
他们今晚在恩波利会得到更高的xG吗?我很怀疑。
那么意大利能进多少球呢?他们比英格兰强吗?与英格兰的比赛相比，今天的球队有什么不同?
可能首发11人:皮里克;拉代里奇、卡蒂奇、艾哈迈德霍季奇、哈兹卡杜尼奇、加齐贝戈维奇;吉戈科夫、克鲁尼奇、塔希洛维奇、哈伊拉迪诺维奇;Demirovic。
意大利的进球很糟糕，但是波斯尼亚一直在丢球，我们可以期待意大利至少进两球。或者至少3个?卢森堡得了4分!
最后的结论?3 - 0。
