外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    分享数量

  • 17

    粉丝

解读理由



Gimnasia L.P welcome Barracas Central for this Argentinian Liga Profesional round 5 battle at Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo in La Plata Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the highest level of Argentinian football. The level of this league is quite high by global standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of lower than mediocre level by the league's standards here. However, we have a very promising betting opportunity to increase the good streak of five of the last six picks won betting on this league. Barras Central were very lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS) in the Copa de la Liga Profesional results. This competition came to an end in this April. As most of my fans are probably aware by now I will not let the standings fool me at all. Gimnasia L.P, on the other hand, finished only in 10th place in the Copa de la Liga Profesional Group A standings. They took 16 and did not have a good score difference – 18:23 to be precise. However, they were unlucky in terms of all three – xPTS, expected goals (xG) and expected goals allowed (xGA). They are a much bigger team than the visitors in terms of players' estimated toral market value according to a respectable source, Transfermarkt.com. Indeed, the Gimnasia squad is value at around 23 million euros. This is too low in my expert opinion. Some 27-28 million would be a more realistic number. The Barracas players have an estimated market value of only about 25 million. This is more or less correct.

Gimnasia L.P currently occupy the 7th place in the standinfs with a decent seven points to their account. Barracas are in 21st place with only four points in their pocket. The visitors usually struggle on the road, mainly due to too defensive tactics. A few nice away wins in the Copa de la Liga Profesional do not change this fact. The hosts have a very clear edge over Barracas in all areas of the game and deserve to be big favourites here. They were not great in the last game but took two wine wins (3-0) and (2-1) before that. Barracas have lost two games in a row, both 0-2 and are in decline.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:



北京时间周四上午,在拉普拉塔的胡安·卡梅罗·泽里略球场,Gimnasia l.p.将迎来阿根廷甲级联赛第5轮对阵巴拉卡斯中央的比赛。这是阿根廷足球的最高水平。按照国际标准,这个联赛的水平是相当高的。按照联赛的标准,足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的投注者可以期待一场低于中等水平的比赛。然而,我们有一个非常有希望的投注机会,以增加最近六个选择中的五个在这个联赛中赢得投注的良好势头。巴拉斯中央在西甲联赛的预期积分(xPTS)方面非常幸运。本次比赛于今年4月落下帷幕。正如我的大多数粉丝现在可能意识到的那样,我不会让排名欺骗我。另一方面,Gimnasia l.p.仅在西甲联赛A组排名第10位。他们拿了16分,比分差距不大——准确地说是18:23。然而,他们在这三个方面都很不走运——xPTS、预期进球数(xG)和预期进球数(xGA)。根据Transfermarkt.com的可靠数据,就球员的总市场价值而言,他们比客队要大得多。事实上,吉纳西亚队的价值约为2300万欧元。以我的专业意见,这太低了。2700万到2800万是比较现实的数字。巴萨球员的市场价值估计只有2500万美元。这多少是正确的。

Gimnasia l.p.目前在积分榜上排名第七,他们的账户上有7分。巴萨队排在第21位,只拿到了4分。客队通常在客场挣扎,主要是由于防守战术过于严密。在西甲杯的几场漂亮的客场胜利并不能改变这个事实。东道主在比赛的各个方面都对巴萨有着明显的优势,他们理应成为最受欢迎的球队。他们在上一场比赛中表现不佳,但在那之前取得了两场胜利(3-0)和(2-1)。巴萨已经连输两场,都是0-2,并且处于下滑状态。

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。