30 Days record VERY SOLID: 62中45 73% $$$
2024-07-24
分享比赛
Riga FC VS Slask Wroclaw
Riga FC host Slask Wroclaw for this UEFA Conference League Qualification round 2 first leg battle at Skonto stadions Riga very early Thursday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of relatively good quality by this competition's 2nd round standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! I have already posted two excellent picks on the Champions League Qualification! The hosts come from Latvia, the visitors are a Polish team. Riga finished in 2nd place in the Latvian Virsliga last season with 88 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was "only" 81.45. RFS won the league with 89 points. Auda, 3rd place, took only 58 points. Indeed, there were only two strong teams in the Virsliga. As a whole, the level of this league is poor, hugely worse than the Polish Ekstraklasa! This means that Riga FC and RFS do not get to play enough high-level games - with a decent tempo. This hurts their chances in UEFA's club competitions significantly! Moreover, Latvia does not have a strong football culture. Ice-hockey, on the other hand, is very popular in this small Baltic country.. For example, in their last home game there were only some 900 spectators at Skonto stadions! This is even lower than in almost any Finnish Veikkausliiga game.. Poland, on the other hand, is a country with a great football culture! The Ekstraklasa is a very competitive and balanced league. I want to highlight once again - that it is - on average - light years better than the Virsliga! There are no very easy games in the Ekstraklasa. Indeed, almost all matches in this league are of a much higher level than any game in the Virsliga. Slask were excellent - ending up in 2nd place last season. They took a great 63 points, the same number as Jagiellonia, the reigning champions. Slask had a strong score difference of 50:31. The 31 goals allowed was clearly the lowest number in this league! Their defence has no obvious weaknesses and Riga FC will surely struggle to create good scoring chances here.. I would also like to mention that a decent number of Slask fans will surely travel to Riga to cheer for their team – the distance from Wroclaw to Riga is not very long.. We must realize that the home advantage is much smaller than on average in UEFA's international club games.. The bookies probably fail to fully understand this.. Almost all big bookmakers see the hosts as the favourites here – offering them odds of around 2.45-2.50 to win! This is hugely too low! Based on my sophisticated expert analysis Slask have a 45% chance to win! We will take the +0.5 goals handicap option.
Slask have faced much better opponents than Riga FC recently but have lost only one of their last 10 games! In their last game they played a 1-1 draw at home with Lechia Gdansk. The score is very misleading though! Indeed, Slask had 60% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (19-3), shots on goal, shots off target (14-1), corner kicks (12-1), total passes, completed passes, attacks and dangerous attacks – 86-44. The expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.43-0.19! Before this they played another 1-1 draw against a pretty dangerous team from Czechia, Mlada Boleslav. Slask made a total of nine substitutions in this friendly match. Before this they easily beat Opava, another Czech team, 2-0 in another friendly match. Riga FC have slightly declined from last season and are in 2nd place in the Virsliga, four points behind RFS. Valmieira, 3rd place, have taken 44 points..
In their last game Riga FC beat Jelgava 6-1 at home as massive favourites, priced below 1.10 to win by the bookies. Yes, they were the much better team on the pitch but had "only" seven shots on goal.. The final score flatters them. Jelgava played even worse than usual in this match.. Before Riga FC they defeated JFK Ventspils 3-0 on the road in a Latvian Cup 1/8-final clash. The Ventspils play in the 2nd tier and are a very lowly team! Riga FC were priced around 1.05-1.07 to win in the 90 minutes of play at the time of kickoff. These wins over weak opponents do not really excite my ahead of this huge challenge against Slask Wroclaw.. Let's also not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Slask are the much bigger team here - by a substantial margin.. Indeed, their players are valued at over 20 million euros. This is still clearly too low though! Four of their players are undervalued 26-27 million would be a more realistic number. The Riga FC squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about 10.50 million. This is, in my expert opinion, clearly too high.. Around 7.50-8.00 million would be a more accurate number..
GOOD LUCK!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
里加FC VS斯拉克弗罗茨瓦夫
北京时间周四凌晨，里加足球俱乐部主场迎战斯拉夫克·弗罗茨瓦夫，他们将在里加斯克托球场进行欧足联预选赛第二轮首回合比赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场相对高质量的比赛，以本届比赛的第二轮标准来看。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我已经发布了两个关于欧冠资格赛的优秀选择!东道主来自拉脱维亚，客队是波兰队。里加队上赛季以88分排名拉脱维亚联赛第二。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)“只有”81.45。RFS以89分夺得联赛冠军。第三名Auda只得到58分。事实上，弗吉尼亚只有两支强队。总的来说，这个联赛的水平很差，比波兰的Ekstraklasa差得多!这意味着里加FC和RFS没有足够的高水平比赛——有一个像样的节奏。这大大损害了他们在欧足联俱乐部比赛中的机会!此外，拉脱维亚没有浓厚的足球文化。另一方面，冰球在这个波罗的海的小国很受欢迎。例如，在他们的最后一场主场比赛中，Skonto体育场只有大约900名观众!这甚至比任何芬兰足球比赛都要低。另一方面，波兰是一个有着伟大足球文化的国家!Ekstraklasa是一个非常有竞争力和平衡的联赛。我想再强调一次——它——平均来说——比Virsliga好几光年!在Ekstraklasa没有很容易的比赛。事实上，这个联赛几乎所有的比赛都比弗吉尼亚联赛的任何一场比赛都要高得多。斯拉斯克非常出色，上赛季获得了第二名。他们拿到了63分，和卫冕冠军雅盖隆尼亚一样多。斯拉斯克有50:31的巨大比分差距。31个失球显然是联赛中最少的!他们的防守没有明显的弱点，里加足球俱乐部肯定会努力在这里创造好的得分机会。我还想提一下，相当数量的Slask球迷肯定会前往里加为他们的球队加油——从弗罗茨瓦夫到里加的距离不是很长。我们必须意识到主场优势比欧足联国际俱乐部比赛的平均优势要小得多。博彩公司可能没有完全理解这一点。几乎所有的大型博彩公司都认为东道主是最受欢迎的，他们提供的赔率约为2.45-2.50。这太低了!根据我老练的专家分析，斯拉克有45%的机会赢!我们将采用+0.5个目标障碍选项。
斯拉斯克最近面对的对手比里加FC强得多，但他们最近10场比赛只输了一场!在上一场比赛中，他们在主场1-1战平格但斯克。这个分数很容易误导人!事实上，斯拉克有60%的控球率，并且有更多的进球次数(19胜3负)、射正、射偏(14胜1负)、角球(12胜1负)、总传球次数、完成传球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数(86胜44负)。预期目标(xG)数字是2.43-0.19!在此之前，他们又1-1战平了来自捷克的一支相当危险的球队——姆拉达·博尔斯拉夫。在这场友谊赛中，斯拉斯克一共换下了9人。在此之前，他们在另一场友谊赛中以2比0轻松击败了另一支捷克球队奥帕瓦。里加足球俱乐部与上赛季相比略有下降，目前在联赛中排名第二，落后RFS 4分。第三名Valmieira拿到了44分。
在上一场比赛中，里加在主场以6-1击败耶尔加瓦队，成为夺冠热门，博彩公司开出的赔率低于1.10。是的，他们在球场上的表现要好得多，但他们“只有”7次射门。最后的比分使他们感到高兴。耶尔加瓦在这场比赛中比平时打得更差。在里加足球俱乐部之前，他们在拉脱维亚杯1/8决赛中客场3-0击败了文茨皮尔斯。文茨皮尔斯在第二梯队打球，是一支非常低级的球队!里加队在开球时90分钟的比赛中获胜的价格在1.05-1.07左右。在面对斯拉斯克·弗罗茨瓦夫的巨大挑战之前，这些战胜弱对手的胜利并没有真正让我兴奋。我们也不要忘记，根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站Transfermarkt.com, Slask在这里是更大的球队-以相当大的差距。事实上，他们的球员价值超过2000万欧元。这显然还是太低了!他们有四名球员被低估了，2600万到2700万是更现实的数字。另一方面，里加FC队的价值仅为10.5英镑
000万年。依我的专业意见，这显然太高了。750万到800万是更准确的数字。好运！
