30 Days record VERY SOLID: 62中45 73% $$$
2024-07-24
分享比赛
Jaro VS Mikkelin Palloilijat (MP)
Jaro and MP lock horns in this Ykkösliiga battle at Jakobstads Centralplan Jakobstad very late Wednesday morning Beijing time. First, I want to clarify one thing about my home country's football: Ykkösliiga was known as "Ykkönen" in the past but after some changes Ykkönen is the third-highest level of Finnish football – and Ykkösliiga is second tier. The level of this league is very poor by European standards – even for a second tier. Many players are not even fulltime footballers.. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of quite low quality by the Ykkösliiga standards here. The main reason for this is the fact that there is a massive difference in class between these two teams.. A one-sided clash is in the cards here.. However, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here!
MP have totally collapsed this season! Last season they performed much better – but I need to highlight that they were also extremely lucky in terms of expected points (xPTS). MP's results last season were among the biggest (positive) surprises in Finnish football in several years! Even their coach, the overrated Juha Pasoja, was pretty amazed by his team's performances – reflecting that they were, indeed, massively overperforming.. Now this fairytale has come to a harsh end and things look terrible for MP. They will probably be relegated to Ykkönen after the season.. Indeed, they are the rock-bottom team in this league with a total of 10 clubs. They have a pathetic eight points in their pocket! Yes, they have some potential for improvement, but not significant – and to avoid a defeat in Jakobstad they would have to improve massively – or have a lot of luck on their side.. The bookmakers seemingly give their potential way too much emphasis.. Odds of around 1.54-1.57 are available on the Jaro -1.5 goals handicap option. For my fans and me to win, Jaro will have to win by a margin of at least two goals. Let's remember that we easily won the last pick on Ykkösliiga and here we have a 73.50% chance to make a profit – once again!
MP have scored only eight goals in 16 Ykkösliiga matches. Their offense lacks, in all honesty, everything – individual skill, speed, creativity and passing accuracy at key moments/areas – near the opponent's goal. Moreover, their offensive structure is very far from great. Their defence is not quite as awful as offense but they have still allowed the biggest number of goals in this league – 36 to be precise. After nine matches without a win MP did win a game on the 6th of July. However, the win came on the road over PK-35, 2-1. The three points were very undeserved though.. Despite MP winning PK-35 had 59% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts, shots on target, shots off goal, corner kicks, attacks (94-47) and dangerous attacks – 78-40. In their last game MP took a point from JäPS but Jäps have been in big decline recently, winning only one of their last nine matches. Even so, MP played one of their best games this season. They even recorded more shots on goal than JäPS – 3-1. JäPS recorded many more attacks and dangerous attacks though. However, MP defended well but I still have to mention that JäPS played well below their normal level in this game. Their attacks were too slow and predictable, allowing MP to organize the defence.. I will not react too much to this game! The Jaro offense is much better than JäPS'! Before this MP were abysmal, totally imbalanced - some of their players were also pretty lazy on the pitch.. Indeed, they lost to KäPA 2-6 (!) at home as slim favourites on the betting market. This was yet another example of the bookies overvaluing MP! The final score flatters KäPa, no denying this, but MP were still awful in this game. I need to highlight that KäPA, a young team, are in 2nd-last place in the standings. On the 19th of last, MP were very lucky to get a point against JIPPO away from home. No goals were scored and MP failed to record any shots on target! JIPPO had 67% ball possession and also recorded more goal attempts (7-2) shots off target, corner kicks, attacks (94-47) and dangerous attacks – 60-27. Before this they lost to TPS Turku twice in a row – without scoring a single goal! TPS are a strong team but MP were still useless in these matches.
Jaro have a much bigger players' salary budget than MP and are seriously going after promotion to Veikkausliiga, the first tier. They are in 4th place with a fine 32 points to their account. Their offense is, in all honesty, not quite top-level in Ykkösliiga but they have still scored 27 goals. Moreover, they can improve in this area of the game.. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 30.35. By beating MP they can topple TPS and Jippo, taking 2nd place! JIPPO and TPS have played one more game than Jaro.. Jaro have played in the first tier in the past and the city of Jakobstad has a strong football culture. In their last home game there were almost 1700 spectators at Jakobstads Centralplan. This is a very high number by the Ykkösliiga standards! The distance between Mikkeli and Jakobstad is long and traveling many hours in very warm weather by Finnish standards - by bus according to my sources - lowers MP's chances significantly. Jaro have pretty loud and loyal fans who offer a huge boost to the players! The strong recent performances will surely lure a quite large number of Jaro fans to the Jakobstads Centralplan today! Indeed, Jaro have won four of their last five games. In their last game they lost to PK-35 on the road but would have deserved at least a point.. Indeed, they had 63.80% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts, shots off goal, cotner kicks (12-5), attacks and dangerous attacks. PK-35, however, defended much better than usual and Jaro were not at their best offensively.. However, against the leaky MP defence I expect them to generate at least 2.60 in xG here.. Jaro have lost only one game at Jakobstads Centralplan in Ykkösliiga this season, against TPS – winning 5/8 home matches.. They will surely be very aggressive here, putting big pressure on the shaky MP defence.. Before the unlucky loss to Jaro we were extremely good – crushing KTP 5-2 at home. In this game they prove their big offensive potential.. KTP played in the Veikkausliiga last season and are the best team in Ykkösliiga by pure class. Jaro recorded many more goal attempts (14-8), shots on goal, shots off goal and dangerous attacks. Before this they defeated a pretty dangerous team (this season), SalPa 1-0 away from home. Jaro's offense was not at its best but they defended amazingly well – allowing SalPa only one shot on goal. Jaro recorded 22 touches in the opponent's penalty area, SalPa managed only eight. On the 19th of June Jaro crushed KäPa in Helsinki 3-0 after an impressive performance as a whole!
GOOD LUCK!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
Jaro VS Mikkelin Palloilijat(国会议员)
北京时间周三上午晚些时候，Jaro和MP在jakobads Centralplan jakobad展开了Ykkösliiga之战。首先，我想澄清一件关于我祖国足球的事情:Ykkösliiga过去被称为“Ykkönen”，但经过一些改变后，Ykkönen是芬兰足球的第三高水平，而Ykkösliiga是第二梯队。以欧洲的标准来看，这个联赛的水平很低——即使是二级联赛。许多球员甚至不是全职足球运动员。按照Ykkösliiga的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些严肃的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场质量相当低的比赛。造成这种情况的主要原因是这两支球队之间的阶级差异很大。这里很可能发生一边倒的冲突。然而，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!
MP这个赛季完全崩溃了!上赛季他们的表现要好得多，但我需要强调的是，他们在预期积分方面也非常幸运。上赛季MP的成绩是近几年来芬兰足球界最大的惊喜之一!即使是他们的教练，被高估的尤哈·帕索贾，也对他的球队的表现感到非常惊讶——这反映出他们确实表现得非常出色。现在这个童话故事已经到了一个残酷的结局，MP的情况看起来很糟糕。赛季结束后他们可能会降级到Ykkönen ..事实上，他们是这个联赛中垫底的球队，总共有10个俱乐部。他们的口袋里只有可怜的八分!是的，他们有一些改进的潜力，但不是很大——为了避免在雅各布斯塔德的失利，他们必须大幅改进——或者有很多运气在他们这一边。博彩公司似乎过于强调他们的潜力。在Jaro -1.5进球障碍选项中，赔率约为1.54-1.57。对于我和我的球迷来说，要想赢球，贾罗至少要赢两个球。让我们记住，我们轻松赢得了Ykkösliiga的最后一个选择，在这里我们有73.50%的机会获利-再一次!
MP在16场Ykkösliiga比赛中只进了8球。老实说，他们的进攻缺乏一切——个人技术、速度、创造力和关键时刻/区域的传球准确性——靠近对手的球门。此外，他们的进攻结构也很不完善。他们的防守并不像进攻那么糟糕，但他们仍然是联赛中丢球最多的——准确地说是36个。在9场比赛没有获胜后，MP在7月6日赢得了一场比赛。然而，这场胜利是在客场2-1战胜PK-35的比赛中取得的。这三分是非常不应该得到的。尽管MP获胜，但PK-35的控球率为59%，并且进球次数、射正、射偏、角球、进攻(94胜47负)和危险进攻(78胜40负)也更多。在上一场比赛中，MP从JäPS那里得到了一分，但Jäps最近的表现明显下滑，在过去的九场比赛中只赢了一场。即便如此，黄蜂还是打出了他们本赛季最好的比赛之一。他们的射门次数甚至超过JäPS - 3-1。JäPS记录了更多的攻击和危险的攻击。然而，MP的防守很好，但我仍然要提到JäPS在这场比赛中的表现远远低于他们的正常水平。他们的进攻过于缓慢和可预测，使得MP能够组织防御。我不会对这个游戏有太大的反应!Jaro的进攻比JäPS强多了!在此之前，他们的MP非常糟糕，完全不平衡——他们的一些球员在球场上也很懒…事实上，他们在主场以2比6(!)输给了KäPA，成为了博彩市场上的微弱热门。这是博彩公司高估MP的又一个例子!最后的比分让人欣慰KäPa，不可否认，但MP在这场比赛中仍然很糟糕。我需要强调的是KäPA，一支年轻的球队，在积分榜上排名倒数第二。19日，MP非常幸运地在客场对阵JIPPO的比赛中拿到了一分。没有进球，而且MP没有记录任何射正!JIPPO有67%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数(7-2)、射偏、角球、进攻(94-47)和危险进攻(60-27)。在此之前，他们连续两次输给图尔库，一球未进!TPS是一支强大的队伍，但MP在这些比赛中仍然毫无用处。
Jaro拥有比MP更大的球员工资预算，并且正在认真地争取升级到一级联赛Veikkausliiga。他们以32分的罚款排名第四。他们的进攻，说实话，Ykkösliiga并不是顶级的，但他们仍然打进了27个球。此外，他们可以改善它
在游戏的这个领域…他们的预期进球数(xG)是30.35。通过击败MP，他们可以推翻TPS和Jippo，获得第二名!JIPPO和TPS比Jaro多打了一场…贾罗过去曾在一线队踢球，雅各布斯塔德市有着浓厚的足球文化。在他们的上一场主场比赛中，雅各布中央球场有近1700名观众。按照Ykkösliiga的标准，这是一个非常高的数字!Mikkeli和Jakobstad之间的距离很长，按照芬兰的标准，在非常温暖的天气里旅行很多小时——根据我的消息来源，乘坐公共汽车——大大降低了MP的机会。Jaro有非常响亮和忠诚的粉丝，他们为球员提供了巨大的推动!最近的强劲表现肯定会吸引相当多的Jaro球迷今天到jakobads中央计划!事实上，Jaro在最近的五场比赛中赢了四场。他们上一场客场输给了PK-35，但至少应该得一分。事实上，他们有63.80%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球尝试、射门、搭档射门(12胜5负)、进攻和危险进攻。然而，PK-35的防守比平时好得多，火箭的进攻也没有达到最佳状态。然而，面对漏洞百出的MP防守，我希望他们在xG中至少能产生2.60分。本赛季Jaro在Ykkösliiga主场只输过一场比赛，对阵TPS，主场赢了5/8。他们肯定会非常有侵略性，给中央邦摇摇欲坠的防守带来巨大压力。在不幸输给哈罗之前，我们表现得非常好，在主场5-2击败了KTP。在这场比赛中，他们证明了自己巨大的进攻潜力。KTP上赛季效力于维考斯利甲联赛，是Ykkösliiga联赛中最优秀的球队。他的进球次数更多(14胜8负)，射正、射偏以及危险的进攻。在此之前，他们(本赛季)客场1-0击败了一支相当危险的球队萨尔帕。哈罗的进攻并没有达到最佳状态，但他们的防守非常出色——萨尔帕只有一次射门。贾罗在对方禁区内触球22次，萨尔帕只有8次。6月19日，在赫尔辛基的比赛中，他以3比0的比分击败了KäPa。好运！
