A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-07-25
分享比赛
Sheriff Tiraspol VS Elfsborg
Sheriff Tiraspol host Elfsborg for this UEFA Europa League Qualification round 2 1st leg clash at Sheriff Arena in Tiraspol very early Friday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of pretty good quality by this competition's 2nd round standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity! We have won four of the last five picks on the Europa League/ EL Qualification. The hosts come from Moldova, the visitors are a Swedish team. Elfsborg are the better team in terms of pure class, there is no question about that. However, the odds of around 2.30 on the away win offered by the biggest bookies - who accept the biggest bets from customers - are clearly too low! The home advantage is very often substantial in UEFA's international club competitions. It is often even bigger than the bookies and recreational bettors seem to believe.. This is the case here as well! With the expected lineups – taking the substantial home advantage into account – I see this match as a coin toss – without an actual favourite. This means that the Sheriff +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here. I expect a pretty cautious game – the goal expectancy here is lower than the bookies estimate. Indeed, the probability of under 2.5 total goals to be scored is 56%. Sheriff have a lot of experience of playing in UEFA's club competitions. Last season they qualified for the Europa League group stage! They have been very strong in the Moldovan Super Liga for many years but last season they finished only in 2nd place, behind Petroclub. Sheriff were, however, unlucky in terms of expected points (xPTS).
In the previous round of Europa League Qualification, Sheriff defeated Zira, a team from Azerbaijan. They were, however, in all honesty, not at their best and Zira played better than I would have expected.. Even so, the Moldovan team were the better team on the pitch as a whole in both legs. Most importantly, they can, and will have to, improve to eliminate Elfsborg.. In Sweden Elfsborg are, of course, solid favourites.. In the opening leg at Sheriff Arena Sheriff lost 0-1 despite recording many more goal attempts, shots on goal, shots off goal, attacks and dangerous attacks. I will not react to this defeat too much.. They got the job done at Dalga Arena in the second leg after recording more goal attempts, shots on goal, corner kicks, attacks and dangerous attacks. They were the underdogs according to the bookies at the time of kickoff in this game. The bookmakers, once again, undervalued Sheriff!
Elfsborg took 2nd place in the Swedish Allsvenskan last season with a fine 64 points. However, their number of xPTS was lower.. They have declined this season and are currently in 4th place with 25 points after 16 games. Hammarby and GAIS, too, have taken 25 points and have played only 15 matches.. In their last game they played well, beating Mjälby 3-1 at home. However, Mjälby were far from their best in this match. In the previous round of qualification the Swedes beat a team from Cyprus, Paphos, 8-2 on aggregate. Yes, they were, of course, the better team but the bookies have seemingly overreacted to the two wins! Paphos had their player sent off in both legs – in the 57th minute in the 1st leg and in the 15th minute in the 2nd leg. These red cards of course had a big effect! Even so, Paphos were a very poorly organized team, especially defensively, Sheriff are not! Between the two legs Elfsborg beat Häcken 5-3 on the road but the final score is misleading.. Elfsborg had just one more shot on target and the hosts recorded many more attacks. Elfsborg had more goal attempts though.. Both teams had four big scoring chances and the xG numbers were 2.36-2.37.
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警长蒂拉斯波尔VS埃尔夫斯堡
北京时间周五凌晨，蒂拉斯波尔警长体育馆将迎来欧联杯资格赛第21轮主场迎战埃尔夫斯堡。球迷和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃投注者，可以期待一场质量相当不错的比赛，以本届比赛第二轮的标准来看。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!我们在最近的5次欧联杯/联赛预选赛中赢得了4次。东道主来自摩尔多瓦，客队是瑞典队。就纯粹的水平而言，埃尔夫斯堡是一支更好的球队，这是毫无疑问的。然而，最大的博彩公司(他们接受客户的最大赌注)提供的客场胜利赔率约为2.30，这显然太低了!在欧足联的国际俱乐部比赛中，主场优势是非常明显的。它往往比赌徒和娱乐赌徒所认为的还要大。这里的情况也是如此!考虑到预期的阵容——考虑到主场的巨大优势——我认为这场比赛就像抛硬币一样——没有一个真正的宠儿。这意味着警长+0.5个进球的不利条件显然是明智的选择。我期待一场相当谨慎的比赛——这里的进球预期比博彩公司估计的要低。事实上，总进球数少于2.5个的概率是56%。警长有很多参加欧足联俱乐部比赛的经验。上个赛季他们晋级了欧联杯小组赛!多年来，他们在摩尔多瓦超级联赛中一直非常强大，但上个赛季他们只排在第二位，仅次于石油俱乐部。然而，警长在期望分数(xPTS)方面不太走运。
在上一轮的欧联杯资格赛中，警长队击败了来自阿塞拜疆的齐拉队。然而，老实说，他们并没有发挥出最好的状态，而齐拉的表现比我预期的要好。即便如此，摩尔多瓦队在两回合比赛中整体表现更好。最重要的是，他们可以，也必须改进，以消除Elfsborg。在瑞典，Elfsborg当然是最受欢迎的。在警长竞技场的首回合比赛中，警长队以0比1输掉了比赛，尽管他有更多的进球尝试、射正、射偏、攻击和危险攻击。我不会对这次失败反应过度。在第二回合的比赛中，他们在达尔加球场完成了任务，他们的进球次数、射门次数、角球次数、进攻次数和危险进攻次数都有所增加。在这场比赛开球时，根据博彩公司的说法，他们是不被看好的。庄家又一次低估了警长的价值!
埃尔夫斯堡上赛季以64分的优异成绩获得瑞典阿尔斯温斯坎第二名。然而，他们的xPTS数量较低。本赛季他们的表现有所下滑，在16场比赛后以25分排名第四。Hammarby和GAIS也只踢了15场比赛就拿到了25分。在上一场比赛中，他们打得很好，在主场3-1击败了Mjälby。然而，Mjälby在这场比赛中远远没有达到最佳状态。在上一轮预选赛中，瑞典队以总比分8-2击败了来自塞浦路斯的帕福斯队。是的，他们当然是更好的球队，但博彩公司似乎对这两场胜利反应过度了!帕福斯在两回合比赛中分别在第一回合57分钟和第二回合15分钟被罚下。这些红牌当然有很大的影响!即便如此，帕福斯是一支组织很差的球队，尤其是防守，警长不是!在两回合比赛中，埃尔夫斯堡客场5-3击败Häcken，但最终比分令人误解。埃尔夫斯堡只多了一次射门，而东道主的进攻次数更多。尽管埃尔夫斯堡有更多的进球尝试…两队都有4次大的得分机会，xG值为2.36-2.37。
