Even more PROFIT? $$$ 欧协联 苏黎世VS舒尔本
2024-07-25
分享比赛
FC Zurich VS Shelbourne
Shelbourne challenge Zurich this UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification round 2 1st leg clash at Letzigrund Stadionl very early Friday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of pretty low quality by this competition's 2nd round standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very interesting betting opportunity! We have won five of the last six picks. Challenge is all I believe Shelbourne are capable of here. Indeed, the main reason to the fact that I do not expect a very high level is the fact that the difference in pure class between the two teams is huge! I expect a one-sided affair. The hosts will surely be aggressive right from the kickoff – putting big pressure on the visitors defence. In their domestic league they have defended well but are not used to facing opponents of Zurich's caliber. The hosts will surely want to win this game by a margin of at least two goals difference as in Ireland Shelbourne will surely a much toucher to beat by fired up – boosted by their fans.. Shelbourne come from Ireland and as many of my fans probably remember from my previous analyses the level of the Irish Premier Division is very low by European standards – even lower than for example the Finnish Veikkausliiga.. Most talented Irish players leave the country to play abroad – especially in England..
Shelbourne finished in 4th place last season with 62 points to their account – 12 points behind Shamrock Rovers, the reigning champions. This season they have been better and currently top the standings with 47 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is much lower! They have scored 28 goals and have allowed only 15 but their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 19.45. We must understand that many of the usual top-teams in Ireland are having a much worse season than usual! We should not be fooled by Shelbourne topping the standings.. Yes, they do fight hard and are a physically fit team but Zurich should have way too much individual skill for the visitors to deal with. The home advantage is also substantial. The Zurich -1.5 goals is the obvious smart bet here. Odds of close to 1.70 are widely available and the chance of winning is high 67.50% to be precise.
Shelbourne had to fight hard to eliminate a very poor team, St. Joseph's from Gibraltar in the previous round of qualification. They won 3-2 on aggregate.. The 2nd lag in Gibraltar was a pretty balanced one as a whole despite Shelbourne being priced around 2.15 to win by the bookies at the time of kickoff. The hosts had 58% ball possession and recorded more attacks. Both teams had 10 goal attempts and Shelbourne recorded more shots on goal. In the first leg Shelbourne deserved to win (2-1) but the odds of around 1.40 were still too low. The Irish had only three shots on goal, the visitors managed only one though.. Shelbourne's offense is simply not good enough against a team of Zurich's caliber..
The Swiss Super League is not if top-6 level in Europe but it is still massively better than the Irish Premier Division! Zurich played very well last season, taking 4th place with a fine 60 points. In their last game they were the much better team on the pitch, beating Yverdon 2-0 away from home. They defended in a very organized way but still recorded a strong 10 goal attempts. For reference, Yverdon are a much better team than Shelbourne! Let's also remember that according to Transfermarkt.com, a well-respected source, the hosts are hugely the bigger team here! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 25 million euros. The lowly Shelbourne squad is value at only about 2.3 million. This is a very low number for a team in the 2nd round of Conference Qualification! Both numbers are slightly too low though..
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苏黎世VS谢尔本
北京时间周五凌晨，雪尔本将在欧联杯资格赛第21轮第1回合对阵苏黎世。以第二轮比赛的标准来看，足球爱好者和我们这些着眼长期利益的严肃投注者可以期待一场质量相当低的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有趣的投注机会!我们赢了最近六次选秀中的五次。挑战是我相信谢尔本所能做到的。事实上，我不期望有一个非常高的水平的主要原因是两支球队在纯粹的等级上的差异是巨大的!我希望是一边倒的恋情。主队肯定会从开球开始就咄咄逼人，给客队的防线带来巨大压力。在他们的国内联赛中，他们的防守很好，但不习惯面对苏黎世这样的对手。东道主肯定希望以至少两球的差距赢得这场比赛，而在爱尔兰的比赛中，谢尔本肯定会被球迷们的热情所鼓舞。谢尔本来自爱尔兰，我的许多球迷可能还记得我之前的分析，按照欧洲的标准，爱尔兰超级联赛的水平非常低，甚至比芬兰的联赛还低。大多数有天赋的爱尔兰球员离开这个国家去国外踢球——尤其是在英国。
谢尔本上赛季以62分排名第四，比卫冕冠军三叶草流浪者落后12分。本赛季他们表现更好，目前以47分排名第一。然而，他们的期望值(xPTS)要低得多!他们进了28球，只丢了15球，但他们的预期失球数(xGA)是19.45个。我们必须明白，爱尔兰的许多顶级球队都有一个比平时糟糕得多的赛季!我们不应该被谢尔本的榜首所愚弄。是的，他们确实很努力，并且是一支身体健康的球队，但是苏黎世应该有太多的个人技术来对付客队。主场优势也很大。苏黎世-1.5球显然是明智的赌注。接近1.70的赔率普遍存在，准确地说，获胜的几率高达67.50%。
谢尔本在上一轮资格赛中不得不努力淘汰了一支非常糟糕的球队——来自直布罗陀的圣约瑟夫队。他们总比分3比2获胜。尽管谢尔本在开球时被博彩公司定价在2.15左右获胜，但在直布罗陀的第2次落后总体上是相当平衡的。主队控球率为58%，进攻次数也更多。两队都有10次射门尝试，谢尔本的射门次数更多。在第一回合，谢尔本理应获胜(2-1)，但1.40左右的赔率仍然太低。爱尔兰队只有三次射门，而客队只射进一球。谢尔本的进攻根本不足以对抗苏黎世这样的球队。
瑞士超级联赛在欧洲算不上前六，但它仍然比爱尔兰超级联赛强得多!苏黎世上赛季表现非常好，以60分的好成绩排名第四。在上一场比赛中，他们在球场上的表现要好得多，在客场以2比0击败了弗登。他们的防守非常有组织，但仍然有10次进球。作为参考，弗登队比谢尔本队强多了!让我们也记住，根据Transfermarkt.com，一个受人尊敬的消息来源，东道主是这里更大的球队!事实上，他们的球员估计总市值约为2500万欧元。落后的谢尔本队的价值只有230万英镑。这是一个非常低的数字，为一支球队在第二轮预选赛!不过这两个数字都有点太低了。
