10/11 last won in this league! $$$
2024-08-06
分享比赛
10/11 last won in this league! $$$
2024-08-06
分享比赛
解读理由
Sparta Praha VS Fotbal Club FCSB
Sparta Prague host FCSB for this UEFA Champions League Qualification round 3 first leg battle at epet ARENA very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of somewhat mediocre quality by this competition's 3rd round standards here. Most importantly, we have yet another very promising betting opportunity here.. We have won 10 picks of the last 11picks betting on the UEFA Champions League/ Qualification for the best international club competition on the planet The hosts are a Czech club, the visitors come from Romania. Sparta are the better team in terms of pure class – no questions about that. However, I do not expect a one-sided game at all.. Let's take a closer look and find out what is the professional bettor's recommended betting option here - and the (main) reasons behind the pick..
Sparta Prague eliminated a lowly Irish team, Shamrock Rovers in the last round of qualification.. They were, totally understandably, overwhelming favourites to qualify. Indeed, odds on them to qualify for the 3rd round were around 1.05-1.07 on the betting market – before the first leg. Sparta were the much better team in the first leg in Prague. They had close to 70% and recorded many more goal attempts (13-7), shots on target (9-2), corner kicks (7-1) attacks (201-111) as well as dangerous attacks – 158-66 to be precise. The Czechs also generated much more in expected goals (xG). Sparta had a massive edge over the visitors in all areas of the game.. Their players' individual skill level is from another galaxy compared to that of the Shamrock Rovers players. Against FCSB the situation is completely different.. In the 2nd leg at epet ARENA Sparta Prague took a comfortable 4-2 win as very big favourites, of course. They recorded eight shots on goal – the visitors managed three. Sparta basically did what was expected from them but the opponent was so weak that I will not give these two matches a lot of emphasis.. In fact, Shamrock are having a much worse season than usual and are only in 3rd place in the low-level Irish Premier Division. They have 37 points to their account, Shelbourne, who top the standings, have taken 11 points more. Yes, the best Czech teams, Sparta Prague and Slavia Prague – and in some seasons, Plzen as well – are better than the best Romanian teams, FCSB and Cluj but as a whole the Romanian Liga is only narrowly worse than Czech Fortuna Liga. In Romania the teams outside the top-3 or better on average than in the Fortuna Liga.. This means that FCSB get to play more at least to some extent balanced games throughout the season than Sparta Prague. This favours them in international games. Both leagues started in July and three rounds have been played.
FCSB played very well in the previous round of qualification - eliminating a very dangerous Israeli team, Maccabi Tel Aviv, 2-1 on aggregate. FCSB were the underdogs before the first leg – priced around 2.20-2.35 to qualify by the bookies. Indeed, the bookmakers should respect FCSB more! The first leg in Romania was a 1-1 draw but FCSB were the much better team! Indeed, they recorded more goal attempts (16-7), shots on goal (7-2), shots off target, corner kicks and dangerous attacks. FCSB won the 2nd leg at Bozsik Arena in Budapest 1-0 despite being solid underdogs on the betting market! Israeli teams cannot play international games in Israel because of the hostilities between Israel and Hamas. FCSB played well and deserved to qualify! Let's remember that Tel Aviv made it all the way to the UEFA Conference League 1/8-finals last season, losing to the eventual champions, a big Greek team, Olympiakos, 5-7 on aggregate. Tel Aviv even won the first leg 4-1 in Greece. Between the two games against the Israelis FCSB lost to Otelul 0-2 at home. It was a very unlucky defeat. Indeed, they were the much better team on the pitch, recording 19 goal attempts. They also recorded many more shots on goal and shots off goal - 9-1.
Yes, Sparta have a lot of experience of playing in UEFA's club competitions' group stages. Indeed, last season they even qualified for the UEFA Europa League Playoffs but Liverpool crushed them 11-2 on aggregate – proving that Sparta are still very far from the elite level of European football.. Sparta Prague are the reigning champions of Czechia, formerly known as the Czech Republic. They won the Fortuna Liga with an impressive 87 points last season. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was somewhat lower. They scored 82 goals, clearly the highest number in the Fortuna Liga. Moreover, they conceded only 30 goals. Indeed, the main rationale is not to oppose Sparta Prague, who I believe, or more or less correctly valued on the betting market at the moment. FCSB, on the other hand, have been - and still are – undervalued. We will take the +1.5 goals handicap here. Odds very close to around 1.60 are widely available. We have a 67.50% chance of winning. I expect FCSB to be pretty defensive here – mainly relying on counter attacks. I do not expect them to change their tactics significantly even if they end up trailing by a margin of one goal.. This is a good thing for our handicap bet, of course. Sparta have sometimes been vulnerable to fast counter attacks in the past – both in international and their domestic league matches - even against much weaker teams than FCSB. The goal expectancy here is lower than the bookies estimate. Indeed, the probability of under 2.5 goals to be scored is 54%.
GOOD LUCK!
普拉哈斯巴达VS FCSB足球俱乐部
北京时间周三凌晨,布拉格斯巴达队主场迎战布拉格FCSB队,进行欧冠资格赛第三轮首回合比赛。足球爱好者和我们这些着眼长远利益的严肃的投注者,可以期待一场以第三轮比赛的标准来看质量一般的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有前途的赌博机会……我们在最近11次欧洲冠军联赛/世界上最好的国际俱乐部比赛资格赛中赢得了10次。东道主是捷克俱乐部,客队来自罗马尼亚。就纯粹的阶级而言,斯巴达是更好的球队——这是毫无疑问的。然而,我并不认为这是一场一边倒的比赛。让我们仔细看看,看看专业投注者推荐的投注选项是什么,以及选择背后的(主要)原因。
布拉格斯巴达队在最后一轮资格赛中淘汰了实力不强的爱尔兰球队三叶草流浪者队。完全可以理解,他们是出线的大热门。事实上,在第一回合之前,博彩市场上他们晋级第三轮的赔率约为1.05-1.07。在布拉格的首回合比赛中,斯巴达队表现要好得多。他们的胜率接近70%,并且有更多的进球尝试(13胜7负)、射正(9胜2负)、角球(7胜1负)进攻(201胜111负)以及危险进攻(准确地说是158胜66负)。捷克队也创造了更多的预期进球(xG)。斯巴达队在比赛的各个方面都比客队有巨大的优势。与三叶草流浪者的球员相比,他们球员的个人技术水平来自另一个星系。对于FCSB,情况就完全不同了。在第二回合对阵埃佩特竞技场的比赛中,布拉格以4-2轻松取胜,这当然是大热门。他们射门8次,客队射门3次。斯巴达基本上做到了人们对他们的期望,但是对手太弱了,所以我不会给这两场比赛太多的强调。事实上,三叶草队这个赛季的表现比平时差得多,在爱尔兰低级联赛中只排在第三位。他们有37分,排名第一的谢尔本多拿了11分。是的,最好的捷克球队,布拉格斯巴达和布拉格斯拉维亚——在某些赛季,还有普莱曾——比最好的罗马尼亚球队,FCSB和克鲁日要好,但总的来说,罗马尼亚联赛只比捷克的Fortuna联赛差一点点。在罗马尼亚,排在前三名之外的球队,或者平均水平比西甲更好的球队……这意味着FCSB至少在某种程度上比布拉格斯巴达在整个赛季中打得更加平衡。这有利于他们参加国际比赛。两个联赛都在7月开始,已经进行了三轮比赛。
FCSB在上一轮预选赛中表现非常出色,他们以总比分2-1淘汰了一支非常危险的以色列球队——特拉维夫马卡比。在第一回合之前,FCSB一直处于劣势,博彩公司的价格在2.20-2.35左右。事实上,博彩公司应该更尊重FCSB !与罗马尼亚的首回合是1-1战平,但FCSB是一支更好的球队!事实上,他们的进球次数(16-7次)、射正次数(7-2次)、射偏次数、角球次数和危险进攻次数都更多。FCSB赢得了第二回合在布达佩斯博兹克竞技场1-0,尽管在博彩市场上是坚实的弱者!由于以色列和哈马斯之间的敌对行动,以色列球队不能在以色列参加国际比赛。FCSB踢得很好,应该出线!让我们记住,上个赛季,特拉维夫一路杀入欧足联联赛1/8决赛,却以总比分7比5输给了最终的冠军——希腊强队奥林匹亚科斯。特拉维夫甚至在首回合以4比1战胜希腊。在与以色列人的两场比赛中,FCSB在主场以0比2输给了Otelul。这是一次非常不幸的失败。事实上,他们在球场上的表现要好得多,总共有19次射门。他们也记录了更多的射门和射门——9比1。
是的,斯巴达有很多参加欧足联俱乐部比赛小组赛的经验。事实上,上个赛季他们甚至晋级了欧联杯季后赛,但是利物浦总比分以11比2的比分击败了他们——这证明斯巴达离欧洲足球的精英水平还有很长的路要走。布拉格斯巴达队是捷克的卫冕冠军,前身为捷克共和国。他们上赛季以令人印象深刻的87分赢得了西甲联赛。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)略低。他们进了82个球,显然是最高分
他在西甲联赛中排名第一。此外,他们只丢了30个球。事实上,主要理由不是反对布拉格斯巴达,我相信,在目前的博彩市场上,这支球队的估值或多或少是正确的。另一方面,FCSB一直被低估,现在仍然如此。我们在这里取+1.5球的障碍。赔率非常接近1.60左右。我们有67.50%的机会赢。我预计FCSB在这里会非常防守——主要依靠反击。我不认为他们会改变他们的战术,即使他们最终落后一球。当然,这对我们的残障赌注来说是件好事。在过去的国际和国内联赛中,斯巴达有时会受到快速反击的攻击,即使是面对比FCSB弱得多的球队。这里的预期进球比博彩公司估计的要低。事实上,进不到2.5球的概率是54%。好运!