外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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San Lorenzo VS Atletico Mineiro



San Lorenzo welcome Atletico MG for this Copa Libertadores 1/8-finals first leg clash at Estadio Pedro Bidegain in Buenos Aires Wednesday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a match of somewhat mediocre quality by this competition's (Playoffs) standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have done very well betting on Argentinian football recently. The visitors come from Brazil, the hosts are an Argentinian team. Firstly I want to mention that the Brazilian Serie A and Argentinian Liga Profesional are clearly the best league in South America. Neither San Lorenzo nor Atletico Mineiro are among the biggest teams in their respective domestic leagues.. Atletico MG did finish in 3rd place in the Serie A though with 66 points to their account. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was lower. This season has been a disappointment for them. They currently occupy the 9th place in this league with 29 points in their pocket- 14 points less than the current leaders, Botafogo. The visitors' score difference is not great 29:29. They have no obvious strengths or weaknesses in their game.. They have been poor on the road, failing to win any of their last five away games – losing 2/5. In their last game they took a 0-0 draw away from home against Cruzeiro. They defended well but lacked speed, passing accuracy and creativity in offense.. Indeed, they generated only 0.56 in expected goals (xG). Before this they were comfortable. beat a Serie B team, CRB, 3-0 at home in a Copa do Brasil clash. On the fourth of August Atletico MG lost to a pretty lowly team, Criciuma, 1-2 on the road. It was a very disappointing performance from the visitors.. They were priced around 2.00 to win the game at the time of kickoff. They had 69% ball possession but the hosts still recorded more shots on goal – as well as generated 1.34 in xG. The visitors managed only 0.63.


No, San Lorenzo have, in all honesty, not had a good season either but did take third place last season, finishing much higher up in the standings than for example a much bigger club, Boca Juniors! Lorenzo took a total of 46 points. In 2022 they ended up in 6th place. They have grabbed seven points in nine domestic league games. However, their number of xPTS is 12.34. They can improve in all areas of the game! Their offense has been surprisingly lame.. The offensive structure is okay and there is some individual skill in their offense but their attacks have often been too slow and predictable.. Even so, they have lost only two of their last seven games.. In their last game they were the better team on the pitch bit lost to Atl. Tucuman 0-1 at home. San Lorenzo recorded more shots on goal, had 62% ball possession. They also had many more attacks and dangerous attacks. Yes, by pure class the visitors are slightly better but with the substantial home advantage San Lorenzo deserve to be narrow favourites. The bookies - rather weirdly - disagree – offering odds of only around 2.60 on the home win. We will take the hosts +0.5 goals handicap option! A cautious and very low-scoring battle is on the cards here..



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

圣洛伦佐VS米内罗竞技



北京时间周三上午,圣洛伦索队将在布宜诺斯艾利斯佩德罗比德甘球场迎来阿根廷马竞在解放者杯1/8决赛首回合的交锋。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场以这个比赛(季后赛)的标准来看质量有些平庸的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们最近对阿根廷足球的投注非常成功。客队来自巴西,东道主是阿根廷队。首先我想说的是,巴西的意甲联赛和阿根廷的职业联赛显然是南美洲最好的联赛。圣洛伦佐和米内罗竞技都不是各自国内联赛中最大的球队。马竞在意甲联赛中以66分排名第三。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)较低。这个赛季对他们来说是令人失望的。他们目前以29分的积分排在联赛第9位,比目前的领头羊博塔弗戈少14分。客队的比分差距不大,29:29。他们在比赛中没有明显的优势或劣势。他们在客场表现不佳,最近5场客场比赛一场都没赢,5胜2负。在上一场比赛中,他们客场0-0战平克鲁塞罗。他们防守很好,但缺乏速度、传球准确性和进攻创造力。事实上,他们只产生了0.56的预期目标(xG)。在此之前,他们过得很舒服。在巴西杯主场3-0击败乙级球队CRB。8月4日,马竞客场1-2输给了一支实力相当不强的球队克里丘马。客队的表现令人非常失望。在开球时,他们的价格约为2美元,以赢得比赛。他们有69%的控球率,但主队的射门次数仍然更多,全场射门次数为1.34次。游客们只做到了0.63。


不,说实话,圣洛伦佐这个赛季也不是很好,但上赛季确实获得了第三名,比一个更大的俱乐部博卡青年队要高得多!洛伦佐总共得到46分。2022年,他们最终排在第六位。他们在9场国内联赛中拿到了7分。但是,它们的xPTS数量为12.34。他们可以在游戏的所有领域提高!他们的进攻出人意料地差劲…他们的进攻结构还不错,进攻中有一些个人技巧,但他们的进攻往往太慢,太容易预测。即便如此,他们在过去的七场比赛中只输了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们在球场上表现得更好,但输给了阿联。图库曼主场0-1。圣洛伦佐的射门次数更多,控球率为62%。他们也有更多的攻击和危险的攻击。是的,从纯粹的级别上来说,客队稍好一些,但由于主场优势巨大,圣洛伦佐理应以微弱优势夺冠。奇怪的是,博彩公司不同意这一观点,他们对主场获胜的赔率只有2.60左右。我们将采取东道主+0.5个进球的不利选项!一场谨慎且得分极低的战斗即将上演。

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