4/5 last WON in this league! $$$,“Tapio”老师体育赛事分享,体育直播吧老师分享

Legia Warszawa VS Brondby IF

Legia and Brondy for this UEFA Europa Conference League Qualification round 3 second leg clash at Stadion Wojska Polskiego in Warsaw very early Thursday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind - can expect a game of better average quality by this competition's 3rd round standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! My fans and I have won four of the last five picks/bets in this league! The visitors come from Denmark, the hosts are a Polish team. Legia finished in 3rd place in the Polish Ekstraklasa last season. Jagiallonia and Slask Wroclaw – smaller teams than Legia in terms of overall financial resources and players' estimated total market value – both took 63 points. Legia have not started the season overly well. They took wins in rounds 1 and 2 but lost in round 3 and played a draw against Puszcza away from home in round 4, their most recent game. Legia were priced around 1.80 to win by the bookies. However, it was a 2-2 draw. The hosts recorded more goal attempts, (14-11), shots on goal, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Moreover, the expected goals (xG) numbers were 2.55-0.87 in the hosts' favour. In round 3 Piast Gliwice, the clear underdogs, beat Legia at Stadion Wojska Polskiego 2-1. The visitors generated more in xG – 1.23-0.66 to be precise.

Yes, Legia, very surprisingly, won the first leg 3-2 in Denmark last week. They played better than usual – Brondby, on the other hand, were far from their best. Even so, the Danes had 64% ball possession and recorded more goal attempts, attacks and dangerous attacks. I am positive that they still believe in their chances to qualify for the final round of Qualification. I expect them to be aggressive right from the kickoff! They, of course, need to win and taking this factor into account they deserve to be solid favourites. At the time of posting this analysis – after Brondby's odds dropping from starting odds – some bookies see the hosts as favourites – some offer Brondby slightly lower odds.. The hosts will surely not want to just enter the pitch and try to play cautious, risk-free football – ie. aim at a draw but there is long-term data reflecting that in reality this very often impossible to avoid.. In most football matches the team trailing – by a margin of one or two goals - has a higher goal expectancy than they would have if the score were level.. Moreover, Legia are not at their best when defending - against formidable opponents like Brondy.. I expect money especially from betting syndicates and independent sports bettors to come for Brondby before kickoff. The Brondby win is the more lucrative – and of course riskier option – than the +0.5 goals handicap option.

Legia crushed an extremely weak Welsh team, Caernarfon, in the last round of qualification 11-0 on aggregate. They were priced around 1.02-1.04 by the bookies in the first leg at the time of kickoff.. They won 6-0 and of course were hugely the better team. Even so, they recorded "only" nine shots on goal. The visitors also recorded a respectable eight goal attempts. The final score in both legs flatters Legia and the massive wins possible affect the odds even against Brondby. I do not give crushing Caernarfon, who were even worse than expected, much emphasis! Brondby swept past KF Llapi 8-2 on aggregate in the 2nd round of qualification. This team from Kosovo was not great but still much better than Caernarfon!

Brondby were very strong last season, taking 62 points in the Superliga – just one point less than Midtjylland, the reigning champions. Brondby took three more points than FC Copenhagen who even qualified for the UEFA Champions League Playoffs last season, but were eliminated by Manchester City, a top-2 team on the planet. I expect another very strong season for Brodby! They did lose to a pretty dangerous team, Aarhus, in their last game 0-1 at home. Brondby did record more goal attempts (16-9), shots on goal, shots off target, attacks and dangerous attacks. Before losing to Legia, Brondby took a fine 2-0 win over Lyngby on the road. They defended well, allowing the hosts only a few shots on goal. Let's also remember that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Brondby are the bigger team here - by a significant margin.. Indeed, their players are valued at an estimated around 48 million euros. This is still a little too low though. The Legia squad, on the other hand, is valued at only about 28 million, which is a bit too high. Some 24 million would be a more accurate number..

该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:

莱吉亚华沙VS布隆德比

北京时间周四凌晨，莱吉亚和勃朗迪将在华沙沃伊斯卡波兰球场进行欧联杯资格赛第三轮次回合的比赛。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者——考虑到长期的利润——可以期待一场比第三轮比赛平均质量更好的比赛。最重要的是，我们还有另一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我和我的球迷在这个联盟中赢得了过去五次选秀/赌注中的四次!客队来自丹麦，东道主是波兰队。莱吉亚上赛季在波兰Ekstraklasa联赛中获得第三名。贾加隆尼亚和斯拉克·弗罗茨瓦夫这两支球队在财政资源和球员总市值方面都不及莱吉亚，但他们都得到了63分。莱吉亚本赛季开局不太好。他们在第1轮和第2轮取得了胜利，但在第3轮输掉了比赛，并在第4轮客场战平了普什查，这是他们最近的一场比赛。博彩公司对莱吉亚的赔率定在1.8英镑左右。然而，双方以2比2战平。东道主的进球次数(14胜11负)、射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻都有所增加。此外，预期进球数(xG)为2.55-0.87，对东道主有利。在第三轮比赛中，明显处于劣势的皮亚斯特-格利维斯在波兰球场以2-1击败莱吉亚。访问者在xG - 1.23-0.66中产生了更多的数据。

是的，莱吉亚，非常令人惊讶，上周在丹麦以3-2赢得了首回合。他们踢得比平时好，而布隆德比却远没有达到最佳状态。即便如此，丹麦人有64%的控球率，并且记录了更多的进球、进攻和危险进攻。我很肯定他们仍然相信自己有机会进入最后一轮资格赛。我希望他们从开球开始就有侵略性!当然，他们需要赢球，考虑到这一点，他们理应成为夺冠热门。在布隆德比的赔率从开始的赔率下降之后，在发布这篇分析的时候，一些博彩公司认为东道主是最受欢迎的，一些博彩公司给布隆德比的赔率略低。东道主肯定不愿意一上场就小心翼翼地踢无风险的足球。以平局为目标，但长期数据表明，在现实中，这通常是不可能避免的。在大多数足球比赛中，落后一到两个球的球队比比分持平时的进球预期要高。此外，莱吉亚在面对像布朗迪这样强大的对手时，防守状态也不佳。我希望在开球前，赌博集团和独立体育投注者会为布隆德比下注。赢得布隆德比是比+0.5个进球障碍选项更有利可图——当然也更有风险的选项。

莱吉亚在预选赛的最后一轮以总比分11比0击败了实力非常弱的威尔士球队卡那封。在第一回合开球时，他们的价格在1.02-1.04左右。他们以6比0获胜，当然，他们是一支更好的球队。即便如此，他们“只”记录了9次射门。客队也有8次进球。两回合的最终比分对莱吉亚来说都是一种恭维，即使对阵布隆德比，大胜也可能影响赔率。我并没有对卡那封的溃败给予太多的强调，他们比预期的还要糟糕!布隆德比在预选赛第2轮以总比分8-2横扫拉皮。这支来自科索沃的球队不是很出色，但仍然比卡纳芬强得多!

布隆德比上赛季非常强大，在超级联赛中得到62分，只比卫冕冠军米特荷兰少1分。布隆德比比上赛季进入欧冠联赛季后赛的哥本哈根队多拿了3分，但却被世界排名第二的曼城队淘汰。我期待布罗德比又一个非常强劲的赛季!他们在上一场主场0-1输给了一支相当危险的球队奥胡斯队。布隆德比的进球次数(16-9次)、射正、射偏、进攻和危险进攻都更多。在输给莱吉亚之前，布隆德比在客场以2:0完胜林比。他们防守很好，只给东道主几次射门机会。让我们也记住，根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站，Transfermarkt.com，布隆德比在这里是更大的球队-明显的差距。事实上，他们球员的身价估计在4800万欧元左右。这还是有点太低了。另一方面，莱吉亚队的价值只有2800万欧元，这有点太高了。大约有2400万人会这样做

更准确的数字…