A GREAT match to bet on! $$$
2024-08-30
分享比赛
RKC Waalwijk VS AZ Alkmaar
Waalwijk challenge AZ Alkmaar in this Eredivisie round 4 battle at Mandemakers Stadion early Saturday morning Beijing time. " Challenge" is all I believe they are capable of.. Indeed, the difference in pure class between the two teams is massive. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of quite average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, we have a very interesting betting opportunity here - once again! This is the highest tier of Dutch football and it's the 6th-best league in Europe as a whole. As this is only the 4th round of play we should take a look at last season's results and statistics to best understand the probabilities. AZ Alkmaar played a strong last season, finishing in 4th place with a fine 65 points in their pocket. They had no obvious weaknesses – or strengths – in their game. Indeed, they scored 70 goals and allowed 39 goals. PSV and Feyenoord were much stronger than Alkmaar but they still took nine points more than a very big team, Ajax! Waalwijk had a poor season and took a lame 29 points. This was the same number that Excelsior, who were relegated, managed to take. The Waalwijk offense was very lame – lacking basically everything needed to do well at this level. They scored only 38 goals and conceded 56. Another difficult season is on the cards for them..
Alkmaar have won six games in a row against the lowly Waalwijk, 5/6 by a margin of more than one goal. Last season they won 3-1 at Mandemakers Stadion despite not being at their best. The teams last locked horns in April, at AFAS Stadion, and Alkmaar won 3-2 after 70% ball possession and 21 goal attempts. The expected goals numbers (xG) were 2.76-0.66. Waalwijk have lost four games in a row now and cannot be high in confidence.. In their most recent game they lost to G.A Eagles 0-2 on the road, recording only two shots on goal. The hosts managed eight. The xG numbers were 2.67-0.37. Before this they were not terrible but lost to Groningen 1-2 at home. The visitors recorded more shots on goal and goal attempts. The xG numbers were 1.53-1.23 in their favour. In round 1 Waalwijk had no chance in Eindhoven, losing 1-5 after 23% ball possession. Alkmaar have been in fine form, not losing any of their last 16 matches! We will take the Alkmaar win at the odds of around 1.40 here! With the expected lineups, this is definitely too high. They have won 2/3 Eredivisie games this season. In their last game they lost two points to Groningen on the road. However, they had hugely more goal attempts (12-2) and also generated more in xG – 1.34-0.37 to be precise. No goals were scored in the end. Before this they allowed Nijmegen only one shot on goal, winning 1-0 at home. The xG numbers were 1.12-0.14. In round 1 Alkmaar defeated Almere City 1-0 on the road in a heated clash with a total of three red cards. The xG numbers were 0.83-0.27 in Alkmaar's favour. Their offense has, in all honesty, not yet been firing on all cylinders but can improve significantly! Alkmaar's defence, on the other hand, has been even better than I would have expected..
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瓦勒维克VS阿尔克马尔
北京时间周六凌晨，瓦勒韦克将在曼德梅克斯球场与阿尔克马尔进行欧甲第四轮激战。“挑战”是我认为他们唯一的能力……事实上，两支球队在纯粹级别上的差异是巨大的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场按照联赛标准相当普通的比赛。最重要的是，我们在这里有一个非常有趣的投注机会——再一次!这是荷兰足球的最高级别联赛，也是整个欧洲排名第六的联赛。由于这只是第四轮比赛，我们应该看看上赛季的结果和数据，以最好地了解概率。阿尔克马尔上赛季表现强劲，以65分的好成绩排名第四。他们在比赛中没有明显的弱点或优势。事实上，他们进了70个球，丢了39个球。埃因霍温和费耶诺德比阿尔克马尔强得多，但他们仍然比阿贾克斯多拿了9分!瓦勒维克本赛季表现不佳，只得了29分。这和降级的精益求精队取得的成绩是一样的。瓦勒维克的进攻很差劲——基本上缺乏在这个水平上取得好成绩所需要的一切。他们只进了38球，丢了56球。他们即将迎来又一个艰难的赛季。
阿尔克马尔已经连续六场战胜了实力较弱的瓦勒维克，5比6领先一个多球。上个赛季，尽管他们没有达到最佳状态，但他们还是在曼德梅克斯球场以3-1获胜。两队上一次交锋是在今年4月的AFAS球场，阿尔克马尔以70%的控球率和21次射门以3比2获胜。预期进球数(xG)为2.76-0.66。瓦勒维克已经输掉了四场比赛，信心不可能很高。在他们最近的一场比赛中，他们客场0-2输给了老鹰队，只有2次射门。东道主做到了8次。xG值为2.67 ~ 0.37。在此之前，他们并不可怕，但在主场1-2输给了格罗宁根。客队的射门和射门次数更多。xG值为1.53-1.23。在第一轮比赛中，瓦勒维克在埃因霍温没有机会，在控球率为23%的情况下以1比5输掉了比赛。阿尔克马尔状态很好，最近16场比赛没有输过一场!我们将以1.40左右的赔率赢得阿尔克马尔!考虑到预期的阵容，这肯定太高了。他们本赛季赢了2/3的荷甲比赛。在上一场比赛中，他们客场输给格罗宁根队，丢了两分。然而，他们有更多的进球尝试(12-2)，也产生了更多的xG(1.34-0.37)。最后没有进球。在此之前，他们只给奈梅亨一次射门机会，最终在主场1-0获胜。xG值为1.12 ~ 0.14。在第一轮比赛中，阿尔克马尔在一场激烈的比赛中以1比0击败了阿尔米尔城，总共吃了三张红牌。xG值为0.83-0.27，对Alkmaar有利。他们的进攻，老实说，还没有火力全开，但可以显著提高!另一方面，阿尔克马尔的防守比我预期的还要好。
