外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Kawasaki Frontale VS Sagan Tosu



Kawasaki Frontale host Sagan Tosu for this J1 League at Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium Friday evening Beijing time. The level of this league is rather average by global standards but by Asian standards it is of high quality. A clash of quite average quality by the J1 League standards is on the cards here. Sagan Tosu could not match last season – and cannot match Kawasaki this season in any area of the game. Last season Sagan Tosu were not abysmal at least, ending up in 14th place with 38 points. Their score difference was 43:47. Kawasaki finished in 8th place, scoring 51 goals and allowing 45 goals. This season, however, has been a huge disappointment for Sagan Tosu. They are in 20th (last) place in the standings. Sagan Tosu have grabbed just 24 points and will most probably be relegated to J2 League for next season. The last three teams are relegated.. Shonan Bellmare, in 17th place, have taken eight more points than Sagan Tosu. Yes, they should have some potential for improvement but nothing indicates that they actually will.. They have not won any of their last eight games. Moreover, their score difference is terrible- -21 to be precise. Kawasaki's season has been a disappointment as well; they are in 14th place with 34 points and have a decent goal difference of 42:40. Kawasaki's number of expected points (xPTS) is much higher than 34. Sagan Tosu have been very lame on the road in the J1 League this season, losing 10/14 matches. With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage, Kawasaki have a very big chance of taking all three points.


Sagan Tosu have now lost four consecutive games and 7/8 last matches. In their most recent game Sagan Tosu lost 1-2 to Shonan Bellmare at home, recording only two shots on target. The visitors also recorded more goal attempts (15-11) and shots off target. Before this they fought quite well away from home against Vissel Kobe but still lost 0-2, recording two shots on goal and 10 goal attempts. Kobe, however,  were not even close to their best in this game. Kawasaki played a 1-1 draw on the road against Kofu in their last game. It was a YBC Levain Cup 2nd leg clash. Kawasaki had won the first leg at home 1-0 so the 1-1 away from home was enough to qualify. In the first leg Kawasaki were the much better team on the pitch. Recording many more shots on goal and could have taken a clearer win..



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川崎前锋VS萨根渡



北京时间周五晚上,在川崎龙木体育场举行的J1联赛中,川崎前锋主场迎战萨根东su。以全球标准来看,这个联赛的水平相当平均,但以亚洲标准来看,它的质量很高。以J1联赛的标准来看,这是一场相当普通的比赛。萨根-托苏上赛季无法与川崎媲美,本赛季在比赛的任何领域都无法与川崎媲美。上个赛季,萨根-托苏的表现并不糟糕,至少以38分排名第14位。他们的比分差是43:47。川崎获得第8名,进51球失45球。然而,这个赛季对萨根·托苏来说是一个巨大的失望。他们在积分榜上排名第20(最后)位。萨根-托苏只拿到了24分,很有可能在下赛季降级到J2联赛。最后三支球队降级了。排在第17位的Shonan Bellmare比Sagan Tosu多得了8分。是的,他们应该有一些改进的潜力,但没有迹象表明他们真的会。他们在最近的八场比赛中没有赢过一场。此外,他们的得分差距非常大——准确地说是21分。川崎的赛季也令人失望;他们积34分排在第14位,净胜球为42:40。川崎的期望值(xPTS)远高于34。萨根-托苏本赛季在J1联赛的客场表现非常差劲,输掉了10/14场比赛。有了预期的阵容,有了坚实的主场优势,川崎有很大的机会拿到全部三分。


萨根-托苏目前已经输掉了4场比赛,最近8场比赛输掉了7场。在最近的一场比赛中,萨根·托苏主场1-2不敌韩国秀南·贝尔梅尔,仅有2次射正。客队的进球次数(15比11)和射偏次数也更多。在此之前,他们在客场对阵科比的比赛中打得很好,但仍然以0比2输掉了比赛,只有2次射门和10次射门。然而,科比在这场比赛中甚至没有达到最佳状态。川崎在上一场比赛中客场1-1战平了神府。这是YBC列文杯第二回合的比赛。川崎在首回合主场1-0获胜,因此客场1-1足以晋级。在第一回合的比赛中,川崎队在场上的表现要好得多。记录了更多的射门,本可以取得更明显的胜利。

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