外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Monza VS Brescia



Monza welcome Brescia for this Coppa Italia (Italian Cup) battle at Brianteo very early Friday morning Beijing time. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors – with a long-term profit in mind – can expect a game of better than average level by this competition's standards here.. Monza play in the Serie A which is the 4th-best league in the world! The visitors play in the Serie B. I want to highlight that the difference between the first tier and second tier is significant, especially in terms of match tempo. Yes, some squad rotation would not be a surprise here but Monza have a deep enough squad.. They have a clear edge over Brescia in all areas of the game and have an over 60% chance of winning in the 90 minutes of play! Odds of around 1.80 are widely available on the betting market. Let's not forget that according to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Monza are the much bigger team here! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 91 million euros! This is too low in my expert opinion. The Brescia squad is valued at around 95 million - which is a bit too high..


Monza did well last season, finishing in 12th place with 45 points in their pocket. This season has been a disappointment and the bookies seem to have overreacted Monza's lame results. However, only five rounds have been played in the Serie A.. Monza have taken three points and have scored four goals – allowing six. Against a Serie A team their mediocre offense should create a decent number in expected goals (xG). Monza's number of expected points (xPTS) is higher than the actual number of three and should finish in the top-14 in Serie A.. A game against a rather lowly opponent is great chance for them to finally start winning. Brescia are currently in 6th place in the Seria B with nine points but have had some luck on their side.. For example in round 34 they beat Sudtirol 1-2 on the road despite the hosts recording 19 goal attempts and many more shots on goal – 7-2..



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蒙扎VS布雷西亚



蒙扎欢迎布雷西亚参加北京时间周五凌晨在布里安特奥的意大利杯之战。足球爱好者和我们认真的投注者-考虑到长期利润-可以期待一场比比赛的平均水平更好的比赛在这里的比赛标准。蒙扎在意甲踢球,这是世界上排名第四的联赛!客队在乙级比赛。我想强调的是,一线队和二线队之间的差异是显著的,尤其是在比赛节奏方面。是的,一些阵容轮换在这里并不令人惊讶,但蒙扎的阵容足够深。他们在比赛的各个方面都比布雷西亚有明显的优势,在90分钟的比赛中有超过60%的获胜机会!在博彩市场上,大约1.80的赔率随处可见。让我们不要忘记,根据一个著名的和受人尊敬的德国网站,Transfermarkt.com,蒙扎是更大的球队在这里!事实上,他们的球员估计总市值约为9100万欧元!以我的专业意见,这太低了。布雷西亚队的价值约为9500万英镑,这有点太高了。


蒙扎上赛季表现不错,以45分的成绩排在第12位。本赛季令人失望,博彩公司似乎对蒙扎蹩脚的成绩反应过度。然而,意甲联赛只进行了5轮。蒙扎已经拿到了3分,进了4球,丢了6球。面对一支意甲球队,他们平庸的进攻应该会创造一个不错的预期进球(xG)。蒙扎的预期积分(xPTS)高于实际的3分,他应该在意甲排名前14。对他们来说,与实力较弱的对手比赛是最终开始获胜的绝佳机会。布雷西亚目前在乙级联赛中以9分排名第6,不过运气不错。例如,在第34轮,他们在客场1-2击败了苏迪罗尔,尽管主队有19次射门和更多的射门——7-2。

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