外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Finland U21 VS Montenegro U21



Montenegro U21 challenge Finland U21 in this EURO U21 Qualification Group E battle at Tammelan Stadion in Tampere very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the 10th - and last - game for both teams. "Challenge" is all I believe Montenegro are capable of here.. Indeed, Finland have a huge edge over the visitors in all areas of the game! Moreover, they are very motivated here. Montenegro, on the other hand, have nothing to play for.. They will finish in 5th place. Montenegro have grabbed a lame seven points and have a weak score difference of 7:17 If Romania and Switzerland play a draw - and Finland win -  they will win the group and directly qualify for the EURO U21! The win is a must for Finland here to finish in 2nd place, consequently playing in the "extra" qualification with other 2nd-placed teams.. I expect Finland to leave nothing to chance here, pushing hard - relentlessly putting pressure on the leaky Montenegro defence -  right from the kickoff in front of some 4000-5000 home fans. The match will be played on artificial turf which favours Finland hugely!  We will take the Finland -1.5 goals handicap option at the lucrative odds of around 1.70.. Yes, the head coach, Mika "Bana" Lehkosuo is suspended here because of the previous red card and Gert Remmel, an excellent coach, will be in charge – at least on paper.. Bana being out decreases Finland's chances of winning by around 0.5% - much less than some bettors/bookies might think..


Finland have taken a fine 17 points and have the best score difference in this group – 19:7 to be precise. They have an extremely well structured defence and some very talented offensive players, for example the ultra-talented Otso Liimatta, who plays in the Liga Portugal and Casper Terho. Casper plays for Royale Union SG, one of the best teams in Belgium! He is way too good for this level and could well play in the men's team already..  Finland have won three of their last four games and four of home games in a row – all by a margin of at least two goals! In their last game Finland came very close to beating Switzerland away from home - as very clear underdogs on the betting market. They recorded one more goal attempt than the hosts but the Swiss had one more shot on goal. Either team could easily have won the game.. It is very clear that Finland were underrated by the bookies, once again! Switzerland's L. Jaquez scored the 1-1 goal in the injury time.. Before this Finland were excellent, beating Romania 2-0 at home. Thanks to Finland's terrific tactics and balance on the pitch, the Romanians failed to record a single really promising scoring chance! Finland recorded more goal attempts (13-8), shots on goal, shots off target and corner kicks. Let's remember that Romania currently top the standings with 19 points.. On the 6th of last month Finland easily defeated Armenia 3-1 on the road. Liimatta and Jukkola (Ilves, a top-2 teams in 1st tier of Finland) scored in the first twenty minutes, after which Finland mainly concentrated on securing a win.. The hosts' Bashoyan scored the 1-3 goal only in the 90th+2 minute. Finland were clearly the better team in Montenegro in March already, despite winning only 2-1. They had several more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off goal. Moreover, Finland were, as I expected, much better organized than Montenegro as a team. Most of Finland's regular starters are very smart, unselfish players and Finland also have a clearly better coaching staff..


Montenegro have lost three games in a row - and 6/8 their last matches. They must be very low in confidence at the moment.. Last week they were abysmal, losing 2-6 to Romania at home! Romania were, of course, the favourites but were still priced as a high as 1.65 to win.. Indeed, Montenegro were terribly imbalanced on the pitch and some of their players even looked a bit lazy/unmotivated in the 2nd half.. Before this they played better than usual, but still lost to Switzerland 0-2 at home. The Swiss, on the other hand, were far from their best in this game.. On the 6th of September Montenegro recorded just one shot on goal in Romania and were lucky to lose only 0-1.. The Romanians did, after all, have a strong 15 goal attempts and seven shots on target.



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芬兰U21 VS黑山U21



北京时间周三凌晨,在坦佩雷塔梅兰体育场举行的欧洲杯U21预选赛E组比赛中,黑山U21对阵芬兰U21。这是两队的第十场,也是最后一场比赛。“挑战”是我相信黑山能够做到的。的确,芬兰队在比赛的各个方面都比客队有巨大的优势!此外,他们在这里非常有动力。另一方面,黑山没有什么可踢的……他们将获得第五名。黑山只拿到了7分,分差只有7:17,如果罗马尼亚和瑞士打成平局,芬兰队获胜,他们就能小组出线,直接晋级U21欧洲杯!芬兰队要想以第二名出线,就必须赢得这场胜利,然后和其他第二名的球队一起参加“附加赛”。我希望芬兰队在这场比赛中不会有任何懈怠,从开球开始,在4000-5000名主场球迷面前,他们就会不遗余力地向漏洞百出的黑山防线施压。比赛将在人造草坪上进行,这对芬兰非常有利!我们将以1.70左右的有利赔率选择芬兰-1.5个进球障碍。是的,主教练米卡·“巴纳”·莱科索因为之前的红牌被禁赛,而格特·雷梅尔,一位出色的教练,将会执教——至少在纸面上。芭娜出局会使芬兰队获胜的几率降低约0.5%——比一些投注者/博彩公司可能认为的要小得多。


芬兰队取得了17分的好成绩,他们在小组中有着最大的分差——准确地说是19:7。他们有非常好的防守体系和一些非常有天赋的进攻球员,比如在葡萄牙和卡斯珀特霍效力的天才球员奥特索·利马塔。Casper效力于皇家联盟SG,这是比利时最好的球队之一!他太优秀了,不适合这个水平,他已经可以在男队打球了。芬兰队在过去的四场比赛中赢了三场,主场连胜四场,而且都以至少两球的优势取胜!在上一场比赛中,芬兰队几乎在客场击败了瑞士队——在博彩市场上,他们显然处于劣势。他们比东道主多射门一次,但瑞士队多射门一次。任何一个队都可以轻易赢得这场比赛。很明显,芬兰再次被博彩公司低估了!瑞士队的贾克斯在伤停补时阶段打进1比1的进球。在此之前,芬兰队表现出色,在主场2-0击败了罗马尼亚队。多亏了芬兰队出色的战术和球场上的平衡,罗马尼亚人没能创造出一个真正有希望的得分机会!芬兰队的进球次数(13-8次)、射正、射偏和角球次数更多。让我们记住罗马尼亚目前以19分排名第一。上个月6日,芬兰在客场以3-1轻松击败亚美尼亚。利马塔和尤科拉(伊尔维斯,芬兰一级联赛的前两名球队)在开场20分钟就进球了,之后芬兰队集中精力确保胜利。东道主巴索扬在第90 +2分钟才打入1-3的进球。三月份在黑山的比赛中,芬兰队显然已经表现得更好了,尽管他们只赢了2-1。他们又尝试了几次射门,球门内射门和球门外射门。此外,正如我所料,芬兰队的组织比黑山队要好得多。芬兰队的大多数首发球员都非常聪明、无私,而且芬兰队的教练组也明显更好。


黑山已经输掉了三场比赛,他们最近的比赛是6胜8负。他们现在肯定信心很低。上周他们的表现糟透了,在主场以6比2输给了罗马尼亚!罗马尼亚当然是夺冠热门,但获胜的赔率仍高达1.65英镑。确实,黑山在球场上非常不平衡,他们的一些球员在下半场甚至看起来有点懒惰/没有动力。在此之前,他们踢得比平时好,但仍然在主场0比2输给了瑞士。另一方面,瑞士队在这场比赛中远没有达到最佳状态。9月6日,黑山在罗马尼亚的比赛中只有一脚射门,幸运的是只以0-1输掉了比赛。毕竟,罗马尼亚人有15次射门和7次射正。

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