外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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KAA Gent VS Molde



Molde challenge Gent in this UEFA Europa Conference League league phase round 2 battle at Planet Group Arena very early Friday morning Beijing time. This is the third-highest of UEFA's three international club competitions. The hosts are a Belgian team, the visitors come from Norway. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a match of better than average quality by this league's standards here. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very interesting opportunity to extend the good streak of 4/5 last picks/bets won betting on this league! I will post many more high-quality analyses on UEFA's international leagues today! I want to highlight that Gent definitely have a clear edge over the visitors in all areas of the game! They finished in 7th place in the Belgian Jupiler Pro League A after the regular season 2023-2024 with a pretty good 47 points in their pocket. Their number of expected points (xPTS) was bigger though.. I want to emphasize that the The Jupiler Pro League is significantly better than the Norwegian Eliteserien. Molde, on the other hand, finished only in 5th place last season with 51 points - behind three smaller teams in terms of players estimated total market value – Brann, Tromso and Viking. Bodo/Glimt won the championship - once again. Yes, this season they have played better, but not significantly...They are in 3rd place with 44 points to their account – 10 points less than Bodo have grabbed. Molde sometimes upset big teams in Norway but on the road they very rarely do well against bigger teams, such as Gent.. According to a well-known and respected German website, Transfermarkt.com, Gent are the bigger team here - by a very clear margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 68 million euros, which is still too low! The Molde squad is valued at around 33 million - which is more or less correct. I would be somewhat surprised if Molde were to win this match.. The bookies have made yet another mistake and strongly disagree with me  -  offering Gent odds of slightly over 2.00 to send Bodo home empty-handed here.. Based on my strongly data-based expert analysis Gent deserve to be clear favourites here with a 57% chance of winning!


Gent have started the domestic season well and are currently in 3rd place with a fine 18 points. They have netted the ball 18 times and have allowed 10 goals. They do not have any huge strengths – or weaknesses in their game. Yes, Molde are a well-organized team but so are Gent and the Belgians have a clear edge in terms of individual skill. In their last game they performed well, taking a point from a strong team, Royale Union SG, away from home as big underdogs, priced around 6.00 to win. No goals were scored. Gent had 55% ball possession but the hosts had one more shot on goal. The xG numbers were 1.02-0.77. In the Conference League opening round they lost to Chelsea, in London, 2-4 as huge underdogs. Chelsea are, after all, a top-6 team in the best league on the planet. Chelsea definitely deserved to win but Gent's performance, especially offensively, was okay. They recorded nine goal attempts and a decent 1.36 in xG. In the Conference League opening round Molde were priced around 1.10 to beat Larne, a team from Northern Ireland, and took a comfortable 3-0 win. Larne, however, were far from their best in this match. Molde's xG was 1.99 in this match – Larne managed only 0.21. In their last game Molde were very disappointing, losing to Sandefjord 0-1 at home, priced around 1.25 to win by the bookies! Molde had many more goal attempts but Sandefjord recorded one more shot on goal. Before this Molde beat Lillestrom 2-1, the rock-bottom team, in a NM Cup clash on the road, but failed to impress me as a whole.. They were, of course, clear favourites on the betting market, but Lillestrom even had two more goal attempts - 8-6!



GOOD LUCK!




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Gent VS Molde



北京时间周五凌晨,莫尔德将在欧联杯联赛第二轮比赛中挑战根特。这是欧足联三场国际俱乐部比赛中第三高的比赛。东道主是比利时队,客队来自挪威。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平更好的比赛。最重要的是,我的球迷和我还有另一个非常有趣的机会来延续4/5的最后一次选择/投注赢得这个联赛的良好势头!今天我将发布更多关于欧足联国际联赛的高质量分析!我想强调的是,根特在比赛的各个方面都比客队有明显的优势!在2023-2024赛季常规赛结束后,他们以47分的好成绩在比利时Jupiler职业联赛A中排名第七。不过他们的期望值(xPTS)更大。我想强调的是,木星职业联赛比挪威精英联赛要好得多。另一方面,莫尔德上赛季仅以51分排名第五,在球员估计总市场价值方面落后于三支较小的球队——布兰恩、特罗姆瑟和维京。Bodo/Glimt再一次赢得了冠军。是的,这个赛季他们打得更好了,但不是很明显……他们以44分排名第三,比博多少了10分。莫尔德有时会在挪威击败强队,但在客场,他们很少能战胜像根特这样的强队。根据德国一家知名且受人尊敬的网站Transfermarkt.com,根特在这里是一支更大的球队——以非常明显的优势!事实上,他们的球员估计总市值约为6800万欧元,这仍然太低了!莫尔德的阵容价值约3300万英镑,这或多或少是正确的。如果莫尔德赢得这场比赛,我会有点惊讶。博彩公司又犯了一个错误,他们强烈反对我的观点——给根特的赔率略高于2.00,让博多空手而归……根据我基于数据的专家分析,根特应该是最受欢迎的,有57%的获胜机会!


根特在国内赛季开局不错,目前以18分的积分排名第三。他们共打进18球,丢了10球。他们在比赛中没有任何巨大的优势或弱点。是的,莫尔德是一支组织良好的球队,但根特也是,比利时人在个人技术方面有明显的优势。在他们的上一场比赛中,他们表现得很好,从一个强大的球队Royale Union SG那里拿了一分,作为一个大的不被看好的球队,他们的价格在6.00左右。没有进球。根特有55%的控球率,但主队还有一次射门。xG值为1.02 ~ 0.77。在东部联赛的首轮,他们在伦敦以2比4输给了切尔西。毕竟,切尔西是这个星球上最好的联赛中排名前六的球队。切尔西绝对配得上胜利,但根特的表现,尤其是进攻端,还不错。他们有9次射门,射门命中率1.36。在联盟杯的首轮比赛中,莫尔德击败了北爱尔兰球队拉恩,并以3-0轻松取胜,被定价在1.10英镑左右。然而,拉恩队在这场比赛中远未达到最佳状态。莫尔德本场比赛的xG值是1.99,而拉恩只有0.21。在他们的最后一场比赛中,莫尔德非常令人失望,在主场0-1输给了桑德福德,博彩公司的价格在1.25左右!莫尔德有更多的射门尝试,但桑德约德又射门一次。在此之前,莫尔德在客场2-1击败了排名垫底的利尔斯特罗姆队,但整体上没有给我留下深刻的印象。当然,他们在博彩市场上是最受欢迎的,但利莱斯特罗姆甚至还有两次进球尝试——8比6!



好运!


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