芬兰人,有自己投注模型,公开记录的2136场比赛场均盈利率超10%
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81% - 12% - 7%, over/under 3.5 goals 55/45


Tottenham won last time at home against Aston Villa with a stunning 4-1 victory, despite being deservedly a goal down at halftime. During the week in the Europa League against Galatasaray, head coach Ange Postecoglou was content to rotate his players with a wide hand, and the suffered 2-3 defeat could not be attributed to the events of the game, let alone to the preliminary expectations. Defender Micky van de Ven's injury is a loss for Tottenham, but Christian Romero's possible absence would make the shortcomings in the lineup even more noticeable.

Ipswich has to continue hunting for its opening win of the season when the well-controlled home match against rival Leicester turned from the lead to a 1-1 draw due to Kalvin Phillips' dismissal. The "Tractor boys" have shown that they can compete with their straightforward attacking game, but the defense of their own goal has failed in several matches, both in terms of the defensive line and the goalkeeper position. The absence of Phillips, who is suspended, adds to the already accumulated absences for Ipswich.

Ipswich are bottom of the table, both in the actual one but also in the performance-based xG-table:


And they were also clearly weaker than the other relegation candidate Leicester last week, and it seems they are the biggest relegation candidate, especially considering that they have been defensively lucky so far and they should had conceded 5-6 goals more! A weakness teams like Tottenham can exposely in a deadly way.

In their five away games they have conceded 4 goals already 3 times. This could easily be the fourth!


The level difference between the teams is significant. Tottenham is playing a strong season, and its result level does not tell the whole truth about the team's attacking ability. The hosts' chances of success are narrowed a bit by the lineup information and the strain accumulated from the European game, but the visitors also have their shortcomings in the lineup. Tottenham starts the match as a massive 80 percent pre-favorite and with that the expected goal value of the match also hurts until 3.85 goals.



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

81% - 12% - 7%,超过/低于3.5个进球55/45


托特纳姆热刺上一次在主场4-1大胜阿斯顿维拉,尽管半场落后一球是理所应当的。在本周对阵加拉塔萨雷的欧联杯比赛中,主教练波斯特科格卢满足于用宽手轮换球员,2-3的失利不能归因于比赛的事件,更不用说最初的预期了。后卫范德文的受伤对热刺来说是一个损失,但罗梅罗可能缺席将使阵容的不足更加明显。

伊普斯维奇必须继续争取本赛季的首场胜利,在主场对阵对手莱斯特城的比赛中,由于卡尔文·菲利普斯的下场,伊普斯维奇从领先变成了1-1的平局。“拖拉机男孩”已经证明了他们可以用他们直截了当的进攻比赛来竞争,但是在几场比赛中,他们对自己球门的防守失败了,无论是在防线上还是在守门员的位置上。菲利普斯的停赛令伊普斯维奇的缺阵时间又增加了一笔。

Ipswich位于表的底部,无论是在实际表中还是在基于性能的xg表中。


而且他们上周的表现也明显弱于另一支保级候选球队莱斯特城,而且他们似乎是最大的保级候选球队,尤其是考虑到到目前为止他们的防守很幸运,他们本应该多丢5-6个球!像托特纳姆热刺这样的弱队可以以致命的方式暴露出来。

在5场客场比赛中,他们已经3次丢4球。这很可能是第四次!


两队之间的水平差异是显著的。热刺打出了一个强劲的赛季,其结果水平并不能说明球队进攻能力的全部真相。由于阵容信息和欧洲比赛积累的压力,东道主的成功机会有所缩小,但客队在阵容上也有不足之处。托特纳姆热刺以80%的大热门开始比赛,比赛的预期进球数也很低,直到3.85个进球。

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