BEST BET 10/10 OF CONFIDENCE 欧洲杯瑞典VS波兰
2021-06-23
分享比赛
Sweden is disappointing me along this Euro 2020. On the first game against Spain they were missing 2 very important players Ibrahimovic and Kulusevski and they were clearly playing for the 0-0. They were "parking the bus" the whole match but even with that approach to the game Spain created many chances but Morata has some problems in finishing, but the clearest chance of the game was from Sweden by Isak. The approach for the 2nd game was different and needed to be as they knew that if they win the match they would be qualified for sure as 4 points is enough to get qualified in this Euro format and now it's official that they are already qualified as Ukraine and Finland ended the group phase with 3 points. Probably Sweden will rest some important players, it doesn't mean that they won't try to win the game, but for sure they are more relaxed and there is no pressure for them as they already celebrated in the Hotel. That's the main reason I am sending this bet, we have 1 team (Sweden) that is already qualified and may rotate some players and another team that really needs to win the game (Poland). I expect Sweden to play as they played against Spain, trying only to defend and to make 1 point and just trying counters using their main reference Isak. I am going to send the probable line-up that played the last games as I don't know where the coach Jan Olof Andersson can make the changes.
Probable line-up: Olsen; Lustig - Lindelof - Danielson - Augustinsson; Olsson - Ekdal - Forsberg - Larsson; Berg and Isak.
Poland is not playing like I expected before the Euro. Paulo Sousa assumed Poland in January of 2021 after amazing works in Basel, Fiorentina and most recently Bordeaux. He made amazing works and that's why I was expecting more from this Poland but I think that this game can change everything. In the first match against Slovakia they didn't have the luck of the game as they reacted really well to Slovakia's goal but then after the red card of Krychowiak all the game changed. Then, against Spain they had that luck they didn't have against Slovakia where Spain created more chances than them and failed 1 penalty by Gerard Moreno and then Morata failed on recharge. They have the best player in the world Robert Lewandowski that will handle the weight on his back and carry the team as he is the player most used to this moments of pressure. They will face a very good team defensively where Lindelof is being the main reference from that defense, but I am pretty sure that Poland will have many chances and Lewandowski is not Morata. They have a big must win for this game as if they don't win they are out of the Euro. The game will be played in Saint Petersburg (Russia) so there is no home factor for any team. A very good new is that Krychowiak is back from suspension after the red card against Slovakia and after not playing against Spain due to suspension.
Probable line-up: Szczesny; Bereszynski - Glik - Bednarek - Jozwiak - Puchacz; Klick - Krychowiak - Zielinski; Swiderski and Robert Lewandowski.
瑞典在欧洲杯上的表现让我很失望。在对阵西班牙的第一场比赛中，他们缺少了两位非常重要的球员伊布和库卢塞夫斯基，他们显然是为平局而战。他们整场比赛都在摆大巴，但即使采用这种方法，西班牙也创造了很多机会，但莫拉塔在终结时遇到了一些问题，但比赛最明显的机会是来自于伊萨克。第二场比赛的方法是不同的，需要是因为他们知道如果他们赢得比赛，他们肯定会获得出线资格，因为 4 分足以出线资格，因为乌克兰和芬兰队以3分结束小组赛。瑞典可能会轮休一些重要的球员，这并不意味着他们不会尝试赢得比赛，但可以肯定的是，他们更放松，没有压力，因为他们已经在庆祝了。这就是我选择波兰的主要原因，瑞典已经有资格并且可能会轮换一些球员，对阵另一支真正需要赢得比赛的球队（波兰）。我预测瑞典可能会采用与西班牙的比赛中相同的策略，只尝试防守并取得 1 分，并尝试使用他们的主要攻击手伊萨克进行反击。不确定教练 Jan Olof Andersson会在哪里进行一些调整。
波兰并没有像预期的那样进行。Paulo Sousa 在巴塞尔、佛罗伦萨和最近的波尔多取得了令人惊叹的成就后，于 2021 年 1 月接管了波兰。他取得了出色的成绩，这就是为什么我对波兰有更多期待，但我认为这场比赛可以改变一切。在对阵斯洛伐克的首场比赛中，他们并没有足够的运气，在克雷乔维亚克吃到红牌之后，整个比赛都发生了变化。然后，在对阵西班牙的比赛中，他们的运气有所恢复，比赛中西班牙创造的机会比他们更多多，而且杰拉德·莫雷诺 (Gerard Moreno) 罚失点球，然后莫拉塔 (Morata) 取得进球。他们拥有世界上最好的球员罗伯特·莱万多夫斯基（Robert Lewandowski），他可以顶住压力并带领球队，因为他是经常会面对压力。他们将在进攻端=面对一支非常出色的球队，而林德洛夫是对手后防核心，但我很确定波兰会有很多机会，莱万多夫斯基不是莫拉塔。他们必须为这场比赛赢得一场胜利，如果无法赢球他们就将退出了欧洲杯。比赛将在圣彼得堡（俄罗斯）进行，因此两队都没有主场优势。一个非常好的新消息是，克里乔维亚克在对阵斯洛伐克的比赛中吃到红牌后，由于停赛而没有对阵西班牙，本场将会复出。
预测波兰不败。
