Market moving in good direction or no?
2021-07-03
分享比赛
It's a late call from me, but odds on hosts - 1.5 AH raised too much and now I see excellent value on this option. Odds raised by 0.15 in last an hour and I don't agree with that trend.
Brazil is obviously clear favorite of today's match up and they should be able to make comfortable win with at least 2 goals margin.
Match going to be played in Rio de Janeiro. Brazil plays at home and this is huge advantage for them, as well big motivation to show up at home soil.
I'm not convinced by Chile at all in this tournament. They won only against very poor Bolivia 1:0 in this tournament so far. Freshness for sure is not on Chile side. They played all 4 matches with almost the same line up. Their players looked worse and worse match by match. In last two matches they had big problems with creativity and twice their expected goals scored number were below 0.99. In overall their performance against Paraguay (they lost 0:2) was on extremely low level.
On the other hand Brazil had comfortable group situation and they had option to give a rest for key players. Today we will see the strongest possible line up with freshness. Brazil so far looks fantastic at both sides of the pitch - they scored 10 goals in 4 matches, but they should more (expected goals scored: 12.43). They are extremely solid at the back - only 2 goals conceded.
I see big problems for Chile to score here something, but I see at least 2 goals for Brazil. Their freshness should make difference, especially in last part of the match.
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
这是一个临场的选择，主队- 1.5的指数太高了，现在我看到了这个选项的极好的价值。在过去的一小时内几率提高了0.15我不同意这种趋势。
巴西显然是今天比赛的热门，他们应该能够轻松取胜，至少两个球的差距。
比赛将在里约热内卢举行。巴西队在主场比赛，这对他们来说是巨大的优势，也是他们在本土表现的动力。
在这次比赛中，我一点也不相信智利队。到目前为止，他们在这场比赛中只以1:0战胜了非常可怜的玻利维亚。鲜味肯定不在智利这一边。他们用几乎相同的阵容打了4场比赛。他们的球员一场比一场差。在过去的两场比赛中，他们在创造性方面有很大的问题，两倍于他们预期的进球数低于0.99。总的来说，他们对巴拉圭的表现(0:2输掉)非常低。
另一方面，巴西队在小组赛中表现不错，他们可以选择让关键球员休息。今天我们将看到最强的可能是新鲜度。到目前为止，巴西在球场上看起来都很棒——他们在4场比赛中进了10球，但他们应该会更多(预期进球:12.43)。他们的后防线非常稳固——只丢了2球。
我认为智利要在这里进球是很困难的，但我认为巴西至少要进两球。他们体力优势会产生影响，特别是在比赛的最后阶段。
