外籍分析师
英国亚马逊员工,常年现场看各级别联赛,非常熟悉球队,有十多年经验盈利丰厚。
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In my opinion Mainz have really strong chances to make good result in today's match up.

Both clubs at the moment in totally different places. Both clubs are in totally different mood and both teams clubs at the moment going in totally different direction.

Stuttgart still have big squad problems in every formation. Their best striker and top scorers from previous season Kalajdzic (16 goals) is unavailable, key midfielder Coulibaly is suspended and key central midfielder Kemp probably still is not fit enough to play today. It's a huge blow for the team and once again should have very bad impact on their performance today. Defensive formation don't have consistency at all - only two teams in whole league conceded more goal than Stuttgart. They have problems even with long-distance shots as they conceded already 5 such goals (the highest number in Bundesliga). On the other hand in last 10 matches only once they scored more than one goal. In these circumstances I'm not surprised they failed to win in last 6 matches in a row. Morale in team must be on very low level. For the first time since they came back to the Bundesliga they are in relegation zone, they recorded only one win in last 11 league matches and for sure players confidence is not sky high before today's game.

Bo Svensson is Mainz legend and since he came to the club in the middle of the previous season, they are looking totally different. His results looks really impressive because so far he works on the same level as other former Mainz famous coaches like Tuchel (Chelsea) or Klopp (Liverpool). Future looks bright for him and for the club. With him on the bench Mainz played 6 matches against teams from relegation zone and they never lost. In current season they won both such matches. Guests looks fantastic at the back - they have second-best defensive formation in whole league, only Freiburg conceded less goals so far. On the other hand they have very dangerous duo upfront - Burkardt is in great form, he scored 5 goals in last 5 matches. Only Lewandowski (Bundesliga best player) scored more goals during that period. Onisiwo scored only one goal so far (according to the expected goals scored model he should score 4.1), but he already produced 5 assists. Their cooperation looks great. Mainz coming here full of confidence as they didn't lost in last 4 matches in a row and they have all required tools to continue that streak today.

Mainz don't have bad record at this stadium- they won 3 of last 6 matches here and they should make big troubles for Stuttgart today as well. For me +0 AH looks like big value bet.

本译文使用有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

两家俱乐部目前都在完全不同的地方。两家俱乐部的情绪完全不同,两家俱乐部目前的发展方向也完全不同。

斯图加特的每个阵容都有很大的问题。他们上个赛季的最佳射手和最佳射手卡拉季奇(16粒进球)不能上场,关键中场库利巴利被禁赛,关键中场坎普今天可能仍不能上场。这对球队来说是一个巨大的打击,并且会再次对他们今天的表现产生非常坏的影响。防守阵型一点都不稳定——全联盟只有两支球队的失球比斯图加特多。他们甚至在远距离射门上也有问题,因为他们已经丢了5个这样的球(德甲最高)。另一方面,在最近的10场比赛中,他们只有一次进球超过一个。在这种情况下,他们连输6场比赛,我一点也不惊讶。团队的士气一定很低。自从他们回到德甲后,他们第一次进入了降级区,他们在过去的11场联赛中只赢了一场,毫无疑问,在今天的比赛之前,球员们的信心并不高。

博·斯文森是美因茨的传奇,自从他在上个赛季中期来到俱乐部,他们看起来完全不同。他的成绩看起来非常令人印象深刻,因为到目前为止,他的工作水平与其他前美因茨著名教练一样,如图切尔(切尔西)或克洛普(利物浦)。他和俱乐部的前途一片光明。在他坐在板凳上的情况下,美因茨与降级区球队打了6场比赛,他们从未输过。在本赛季,他们赢得了这两场比赛。客队的后防线看起来棒极了——他们的防守阵容在全联盟中排名第二,只有弗莱堡目前失球较少。另一方面,他们有非常危险的锋线组合——波卡特状态很好,他在最近的5场比赛中进了5球。只有莱万多夫斯基(德甲最佳球员)在那段时间打进了更多的球。到目前为止,奥尼西沃只进了一个球(根据预期进球模型,他应该得4.1分),但他已经有5次助攻。他们的合作看起来很棒。美因茨满怀信心来到这里,因为他们在过去的四场比赛中都没有输掉,他们今天都需要一些工具来保持这种连胜。

美因茨在这个球场的战绩不错——他们在过去的6场比赛中赢了3场,他们今天也会给斯图加特带来很大的麻烦。

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