Bayern gives no mercy? 欧冠 凯尔特人VS拜仁
2025-02-12
分享比赛
Rough estimations:
1X2 Winning probabilities: 10% - 15% - 75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals: 75/25
Celtic’s progression to the knockout stage was not a huge surprise, as their group stage fixture list was relatively favorable. Their toughest opponents were Dortmund, Atalanta, RB Leipzig, and Aston Villa—none of whom rank among Europe’s top ten in terms of squad strength, perhaps bar Atalanta who are massively good at times! Celtic suffered heavy defeats against Dortmund (1–7 away) and Aston Villa (2–4), while they managed a miraculous 0–0 draw against Atalanta despite an expected goals (xG) difference of more than two goals in Atalanta’s favor. While Celtic strengthened their attack in the winter transfer window by bringing back star winger Jota, progressing from this round would still be a massive shock.
Bayern Munich is one of the most realistic contenders to win the Champions League. They had a couple of poor performances in the group stage, with losses to Feyenoord and Barcelona costing them an automatic quarterfinal spot. However, Vincent Kompany’s squad posted the best xG difference of the group stage - about +14 xG - though mostly helped in part by easy home matches against Dinamo Zagreb and Slovan Bratislava. Also the easy matches count, and this is one of them!
Celtic will receive enormous support from their home crowd, and the atmosphere at Celtic Park will be electric. Bayern has a massive Bundesliga top-of-the-table clash away against Leverkusen this weekend, but Kompany is still expected to field his best lineup, and it has to be remembered that Bayern has 8 points gap in the Bundesliga and the title is theirs. The enormous quality gap makes Bayern the clear favorite, with a nearly 75% chance of winning even on the road.
Harry Kane? Yes, he will score a goal or two. Or three. He is the man that Celtic coach is most of afraid of, and why not:
"has scored 21 goals in 19 Bundesliga matches, averaging 1.23 goals per 90 minutes. His total goal contributions, including assists, amount to 27 for the season, reflecting his significant impact on Bayern's attacking prowess."
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
粗略的估计:
获胜概率：10% - 15% - 75%
超过/低于2.5个进球：75/25
凯尔特人晋级淘汰赛并不令人意外，因为他们的小组赛名单相对有利。他们最强硬的对手是多特蒙德，亚特兰大，RB莱比锡和阿斯顿维拉，他们没有一个在阵容实力方面排名欧洲前十，也许除了亚特兰大，他们有时非常出色！凯尔特人在客场1-7负于多特蒙德和2-4负于阿斯顿维拉的比赛中遭遇惨败，尽管亚特兰大的预期进球数（xG）相差超过两球，但他们还是奇迹般地0-0战平了亚特兰大。虽然凯尔特人在冬季转会窗引进了明星边锋约塔，加强了他们的进攻，但从这一轮晋级仍然是一个巨大的冲击。
拜仁慕尼黑是最有可能赢得欧冠冠军的球队之一。他们在小组赛中表现不佳，先后输给费耶诺德和巴塞罗那，无缘四分之一决赛。然而，文森特·孔帕尼的球队在小组赛中打出了最好的xG差——大约+ 14xg——尽管这主要得益于主场对阵萨格勒布迪纳摩和布拉迪斯拉发的轻松比赛。此外，简单的匹配计数，这是其中之一！
凯尔特人将得到主场球迷的大力支持，凯尔特公园的气氛也将充满激情。本周末，拜仁将在德甲积分榜上迎战勒沃库森，但孔帕尼仍然希望派出他最好的阵容，而且必须记住，拜仁在德甲联赛中有8分的差距，冠军是他们的。巨大的实力差距使拜仁成为最受欢迎的球队，即使在客场也有近75%的获胜机会。
哈利凯恩?是的，他会进一两个球。或三个。他是凯尔特人教练最害怕的人，为什么不呢？
在19场德甲比赛中打入21球，平均每90分钟打入1.23球。包括助攻在内，本赛季他总共贡献了27个进球，这反映了他对拜仁进攻能力的巨大影响。”
