Lage has done miracles! 欧冠 摩纳哥VS本菲卡
2025-02-12
分享比赛
Let us take a look at Lage's stats so far of the season, he came back to Benfica in September:
Monaco has a rather long list of absentees, is it the key tonight in this first leg?
Rough estimations:
1X2 winning probabilities35% - 30% - 35%,
over/under 2.5 goals 60/40 %
Monaco performed largely as expected in the group stage and secured a place in the knockout rounds by finishing 17th. During the January transfer window, the team acquired Sturm Graz's star striker Mika Biereth, who was immediately registered in Monaco's UCL squad. Biereth has scored four goals in his first four Ligue 1 matches. In the group stage, he netted twice for Sturm Graz.
Benfica's progression to the knockout rounds was on the line in the final matchday, but a 2–0 away victory over Juventus secured their spot in style. The win was fully deserved based on the match events. In the previous round, Bruno Lage's side was close to defeating Barcelona at home but lost 4–5 due to a stoppage-time goal. Overall, Benfica has left a very strong impression under Lage’s management, and he has done very well also earlier.
The teams already faced each other in the group stage, where Monaco hosted a match that ended in a 2–3 defeat. Monaco entered that game as a slight favorite according to the odds, but Benfica dominated the expected goals (xG) statistics, although they played over half an hour with a numerical advantage. This match is expected to be another close and high-scoring encounter. Or would be under some other circumstances, but it is a crucial stage, yet just the first leg so perhaps Lage will approach this more carefully to keep the situation in their own hands at home in Lissabon?
To be honest this is the match that I am the least confident today. Goals, no goals, risk, or no risk. The good thing is that we can cover also the low-scoring draw with this choice.
Good luck!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
让我们来看看拉赫本赛季到目前为止的数据，他是在9月份回到本菲卡的：
摩纳哥的缺阵名单很长，这是今晚首回合比赛的关键吗？
粗略的估计:
1X2获胜概率35% - 30% - 35%，
超过/低于2.5个进球60% / 40%
摩纳哥在小组赛中的表现与预期基本一致，以第17名的成绩晋级淘汰赛。在一月份的转会窗口，球队得到了斯特姆格拉茨的明星前锋米卡·比雷斯，他立即被摩纳哥的欧冠球队注册。比雷斯在他的前四场法甲比赛中打入4球。在小组赛中，他为格拉茨队梅开二度。
在最后一个比赛日，本菲卡晋级淘汰赛的命运岌岌可危，但在客场2-0战胜尤文图斯的比赛中，本菲卡优雅地锁定了出线位置。从比赛情况来看，这场胜利是完全应得的。在上一轮比赛中，布鲁诺·拉赫的球队差点在主场击败巴塞罗那，但由于补时阶段的一个进球，他们以4比5输掉了比赛。总的来说，在拉赫的执教下，本菲卡给人留下了非常深刻的印象，他在早些时候也做得很好。
这两支球队在小组赛中已经交手过，摩纳哥主场的比赛以2-3落败。根据赔率，摩纳哥在那场比赛中被认为是最受欢迎的，但本菲卡在预期进球数（xG）数据上占据了主导地位，尽管他们在半小时的比赛中占据了数字优势。这场比赛预计将是又一场势均力敌的高得分比赛。或者是在其他情况下，但这是一个关键阶段，但只是第一回合，所以也许拉格会更小心地处理这个问题，把局势掌握在自己的手中。
老实说，这是我今天最没有信心的一场比赛。目标，没有目标，风险，或者没有风险。好的是，我们也可以覆盖低分平局与这个选择。
好运！
