9/11 last picks WON! $$$ 欧罗巴 安德莱VS费内巴切
2025-02-21
分享比赛
Fotbal Club FCSB VS PAOK Saloniki
Anderlecht welcome Fenerbahce for this UEFA Europa League Playoffs round 1 second leg clash at Lotto Park early Friday morning Beijing time. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a game of somewhat average quality by this league's standards. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very promising opportunity to increase the fine run of nine of the last 11 picks won! The hosts are a Belgian team, the visitors come from Turkey. I want to highlight that Turkish teams sometimes upset even much bigger teams than themselves at home but usually on the road their level drops quite a lot – more than the bookies often realize.. Fenerbahce are expected to be missing Aydin, Aziz, Diego Carlos, Djiku, Kapacak, Livakovic, Mercan, Oosterwolde, Rodrigo Becao, Saint-Maximin, Soyuncu and Yusek. As for Anderlecht, Ashimeru, Dolberg, Edozie, Stroeykens and Verschaeren are questionable. Fenerbahce won the first leg 3-0 at home last week. However, the final score is highly misleading! Indeed, Anderlect even recorded more goal attempts – 15-13 to be precise! The hosts had just one more shot on goal and both teams had the same number of shots off target. The expected numbers were 1.53-0.73. This means that Fenerbahce can lose the second leg by a margin of two goals and still qualify. I expect them to be pretty defensive here – mainly concentrating on protecting the lead (on aggregate). Taking this important factor, the substantial home advantage into account – with the expected lineups – Anderlecht deserve to be solid favourites. Most bookies see them only as very marginal favourites so the Anderlecht +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here. Fenerbahce are in 2nd place in the Turkish Super Lig with 57 points in their pocket, six points behind Galatasaray. Fenerbahce's number of expected points (xPTS) is, however, smaller. They have scored 60 goals and have conceded 23 goals in 23 matches. Their number of expected goals per game is "only" 1.78 and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 1.12. Anderlecht are in 4th place with 45 points to their account in the Jupiler Pro League and have a fine score difference of 45:23.
In their last match Anderlecht defeated Charleroi 1-0 away from home – as underdogs on the betting market at the time of kickoff. Before losing to Fenerbahce Anderlecht were strong, beating Antwerp 2-0 at home. They recorded many more goal attempts, shots on target, corner kicks and big scoring changes. Let's remember that Antwerp are a dangerous team, currently in 5th place in the standings. On the 6th of this month Anderlecht took a 2-2 draw on the road against the same opponent. It was a Belgian Cup semi-final 2nd leg clash. Anderlecht were pretty clear underdogs in this game on the betting market. They qualified 3-2 on aggregate. Fenerbahce have won several games in a row and have performed well but have also had some luck on their side recently. In their last game they beat Kasimpasa 3-1 at home as big underdogs according to the bookies. Both teams, however, had 13 goal attempts and the hosts recorded just one more shot on goal and big scoring chances. The xG numbers were 1.43-1.34. Before beating Anderlecht, Fenerbahce defeated Alanyaspor 2-0 away from home. However, the hosts had 53% ball possession and recorded many more goal attempts (12-8) and shots off target – 5-1. Both teams had three big scoring chances. The xG numbers were 1.52-1.56. In the Europa League league phase Anderlecht finished in 10th place with 14 points and a score difference of 14:12. Fenerbahce were the last (24th) team to qualify for the Playoffs, taking only 10 points. Their score difference was not great - 9:11 to be precise.
GOOD LUCK!
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FCSB足球俱乐部VS PAOK萨洛尼卡
北京时间周五凌晨，安德莱赫特欢迎费内巴切参加欧联杯季后赛第一轮第二回合的比赛。足球迷和我们这些认真的、渴望利润的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的中等质量的比赛。最重要的是，我和我的粉丝还有另一个非常有希望的机会来增加过去11个选秀权中9个的良好运行！东道主是比利时队，客队来自土耳其。我想强调的是，土耳其球队有时会在主场击败比他们强大得多的球队，但通常在客场他们的水平会下降很多——比博彩公司经常意识到的要多得多。费内巴切预计将失去艾丁、阿齐兹、迭戈·卡洛斯、吉库、卡帕恰克、利瓦科维奇、梅尔坎、奥斯特沃尔德、罗德里戈·贝高、圣马克西姆、索云库和尤塞克。至于安德莱赫特，阿什梅鲁、多尔伯格、埃多齐、施特莱肯斯和弗舍伦都是有问题的。费内巴切上周在主场以3比0赢得首回合比赛。然而，最终的分数是非常误导人的！事实上，安德莱特的进球次数甚至更多——准确地说是15次13次！主队只多射门一次，两队射门次数相同。预期数字为1.53-0.73。这意味着费内巴切可能在第二回合输掉两球，但仍然可以出线。我预计他们在这里会很有防御性——主要集中在保护领先优势（总比分）上。考虑到这一重要因素，再加上主场优势，再加上预期的阵容，安德莱赫特理应成为大热门。大多数博彩公司认为他们只是一个非常小的热门，所以安德莱赫特+0.5个进球的赔率显然是明智的赌注。费内巴切目前在土超联赛中积57分排名第二，落后加拉塔萨雷6分。然而，费内巴切的期望点数（xPTS）要小一些。他们在23场比赛中进了60球，丢了23球。他们每场比赛的预期进球数“只有”1.78个，他们的预期进球数（xGA）是1.12个。安德莱赫特目前在Jupiler职业联赛中积45分，排名第四，两队的分差为45:23。
在安德莱赫特的上一场比赛中，他们在客场1-0击败了沙勒罗瓦——在开球时，他们在博彩市场上处于劣势。在输给费内巴切之前，安德莱赫特很强大，在主场2:0击败了安特卫普。他们记录了更多的进球尝试、射正、角球和重大的得分变化。让我们记住安特卫普是一支危险的球队，目前在积分榜上排名第五。本月6日，安德莱赫特客场2-2战平了同样的对手。这是比利时杯半决赛第二回合的比赛。安德莱赫特在这场比赛中在博彩市场上明显处于劣势。他们总比分3比2晋级。费内巴切已经连续赢了几场比赛，并且表现得很好，但最近他们也有一些运气。在他们的上一场比赛中，他们在主场3-1击败了Kasimpasa，根据博彩公司的说法，他们是大输家。然而，两队都有13次射门尝试，东道主只多了一次射门和进球机会。xG值为1.43 ~ 1.34。在击败安德莱赫特之前，费内巴切在客场2-0击败了阿兰斯波尔。然而，主队有53%的控球率，并且有更多的射门次数（12-8）和射偏（5-1）。两支球队都有三次重要的得分机会。xG值为1.52 ~ 1.56。在欧联杯联赛阶段，安德莱赫特以14分和14:12的分差排名第10。费内巴切是最后一支（第24支）进入季后赛的球队，只得到10分。他们的比分差距并不大，确切地说是9:11。
好运！
