外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Saint Johnstone VS Ross County



St. Johnstone host Ross County for this Scottish Premiership round 28 battle at McDiarmid Park early Thursday morning Beijing time. The level of this league is, as a whole, mediocre, by European standards. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a game of lower than average quality by this league's standards. Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another very promising opportunity to make more profit betting on this league! St. Johnstone are having an even worse season than expected. Indeed, they are currently in last place in the last (12th) place in the league table. They have grabbed a very lame 21 points. They have netted the ball 30 times and have conceded a very high 53 goals. It is hard to mention anything positive about their play.. Their attacks are often too slow and predictable – resulting in the opponent having the time needed to organize the defence. Their defence has a somewhat poor structure and silly defensive mistakes have been common. Ross County are, in all honesty, nothing special as a team. They have, however, grabbed 11 points more than the hosts. The Ross County offence does lack some individual skill and they, too, have scored 30 goals in this league. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is 33.12. Their defence has not been great but it is still more solid than that of the hosts! Ross County have allowed 48 goals.


The bookies have made yet another mistake with their odds, offering the hosts odds of around 2.30 to send the visitors home empty-handed. With the expected lineups – taking the mediocre home advantage into account – I see this game as a coin toss without a favourite. The visitors +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here! Let's keep in mind that St. Johnstone have won only 3/13 games at home in this league this season. The hosts have lost two of their most recent games. In their last match they lost to Hearts 1-2 at home. The visitors recorded more goal attempts, shots on goal and shots off target. They also generated 0.64 more in xG. Before this St. Johnstone were defeated by Kilmarnock. The hosts took a 3-1 win and deserved the three points. They generated 0.69 more in xG than St. Johnstone. The visitors' performance was, however, not terrible as a whole but they were – once again – quite imbalanced on the pitch for most of the 90 minutes.. Ross County had a lame run some 3-7 weeks ago but have now won two games in a row. They were excellent in their last match, beating Dundee FC 3-1 at home. The hosts recorded a strong 20 goal attempts and recorded many more shots on goal – 10-2 to be precise. They also had two more big scoring chances. They also generated more in xG. Before this Ross County crushed Motherwell 3-0 away from home. They recorded eight shots on goal – allowing the hosts only three and zero big scoring chances. Yes, the final score does flatter Ross County but I still liked their performance. The out-of-form Motherwell were a quite big disappointment in this match. 



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

圣约翰斯通VS罗斯县



北京时间周四凌晨,苏格兰超级联赛第28轮将在麦克迪尔米德公园球场进行,主场是圣约翰斯通,主场是罗斯郡。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的整体水平是平庸的。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场低于联赛平均水平的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的球迷又有了一个非常有希望的机会,可以在这个联赛上赚更多的钱!圣约翰斯通的这个赛季比预期的还要糟糕。事实上,他们目前在积分榜上排名最后(第12位)。他们只得了可怜的21分。他们打进了30次球,丢了53个球。很难对他们的比赛提出任何积极的评价。他们的进攻往往过于缓慢和可预测——导致对手有足够的时间来组织防守。他们的防守结构有些糟糕,愚蠢的防守失误很常见。说实话,罗斯郡的球队没什么特别的。然而,他们比东道主多拿了11分。罗斯郡的进攻确实缺乏一些个人技巧,他们也在联赛中打进了30个进球。然而,他们的预期进球数(xG)是33.12。他们的防守不是很好,但仍然比东道主更坚固!罗斯郡丢了48个球。


博彩公司在赔率上又犯了一个错误,给东道主提供了2.30左右的赔率,让客队空手而归。考虑到预期的阵容-考虑到平庸的主场优势-我认为这场比赛是一个没有最爱的硬币投掷。客队+0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的选择!让我们记住圣约翰斯通本赛季在主场只赢了3/13场比赛。东道主在最近的比赛中输掉了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们在主场1-2输给了红心。客队的进球次数、射正次数和射偏次数都有所增加。他们在xG中也多产生了0.64个。在此之前,圣约翰斯通被基尔马诺克击败。主队以3:1取胜,理应得到三分。他们在xG的产出比圣约翰斯通多0.69。然而,客队的表现总体上并不糟糕,但他们在90分钟的大部分时间里都很不平衡。罗斯郡队在大约3-7周前表现不佳,但现在已经连续赢了两场比赛。他们在上一场比赛中表现出色,在主场3-1击败了邓迪FC。东道主记录了20次强劲的进球尝试,并且记录了更多的射门——准确地说是10比2。他们还有两次进球的机会。他们在xG中也产生了更多。在此之前,罗斯郡客场3-0击败了马瑟韦尔。他们有8次射正球门,只给东道主3次机会,而且没有一个进球机会。是的,最后的比分确实让罗斯郡的人高兴,但我还是喜欢他们的表现。状态不佳的马瑟韦尔队在这场比赛中非常令人失望。



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