外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Bologna VS AC Milan



Bologna host AC Milan for this Serie A round 8 battle at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara in Bologna early Friday morning Beijing time. However, in reality, both teams have played 25 matches so far. This is the 4th-best league in the world. Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry football bettors can expect a match of much better than average quality by this league's standards here... Most importantly, my fans and I have yet another excellent betting opportunity to extend the streaks of last 9/10 picks won betting on this league. Bologna are currently in 8th place in the standings. They have taken a pretty good 41 points. Bologna has a score difference of 38:31 but have been slightly unlucky in terms of expected goals (xG), expected goals allowed (xGA) and expected points (xPTS). I want to highlight that they lost some very important players after the excellent last season. Early season the expectedly struggled but have improved in recent months. They have been excellent at home, losing just one of the 12 Serie A games in front of their enthusiastic fans. Their score difference at home is excellent – 20:11 to be precise. AC Milan, on the other hand, have lost 4/5 their last away games. Most bookies see this game more or less as a coin toss – offering both teams odds of around 2.70 to win.. I disagree and with the current lineups see Bologna as moderate favourites here. Milan, too, have grabbed 41 points but their number of xPTS is a bit bigger though..


Bologna have been in fine form this year, losing only one of their last 11 games. This defeat came in their most recent match – on the road 0-2 to Parma. However, Bologna had 74% ball possession and recorded 12 more goal attempts than Parma in this game. Indeed, the final score is somewhat misleading.. Before this, Bologna were strong, beating Torino 3-2 at home. They generated 1.13 more in xG than the visitors and had a great 23 goal attempts and many more big scoring chances – 6-3 to be precise. On the 9th of this month Bologna had to settle for a goalless draw with Lecce on the road. However, Bologna generated 0.54 more in xG in this surprisingly defensive game.. AC Milan have won one of their last four matches. In their last game they were priced around 1.90 to defeat Torino away from home but lost 1-2. However, Milan were the better team on the pitch in this game. Before this they were eliminated by Feyenoord 1-2 on aggregate in the UEFA Champions League. This was surely a huge blow to the Milan players as the Italians were clear favourites to qualify. The second leg in Milano – on the 18th of this month, was a disappointing 1-1 draw. Milan's Theo Hernandez was sent of in the 51st minute though.. Their last away win came on the 8th of February 2-0 over a poor team, Empoli. This win does not really excite me ahead of this tricky game against a much better team than Empoli are..




GOOD LUCK!



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博洛尼亚VS AC米兰



北京时间周五凌晨,意甲第8轮比赛将在博洛尼亚雷纳托达拉球场举行,届时博洛尼亚将迎战AC米兰。但实际上,两队迄今为止已经打了25场比赛。这是世界上第四好的联赛。以联赛的标准来看,足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的足球投注者可以期待一场比平均水平高得多的比赛。最重要的是,我和我的球迷还有另一个绝佳的投注机会,可以延续过去9/10次选秀获胜的连胜纪录。博洛尼亚目前在积分榜上排名第八。他们拿到了相当不错的41分。博洛尼亚有38:31的比分差距,但在预期进球数(xG)、预期失球数(xGA)和预期积分(xPTS)方面有点不走运。我想强调的是,在上赛季表现出色之后,他们失去了一些非常重要的球员。赛季初,他们表现不佳,但最近几个月有所好转。他们在主场表现出色,在热情的球迷面前,12场意甲比赛只输了一场。他们在主场的比分差距很大,准确地说是20:11。另一方面,AC米兰在最近的客场比赛中输掉了4/5。大多数博彩公司把这场比赛或多或少地看作是一场掷硬币的比赛——双方获胜的赔率都在2.70左右。我不同意目前的阵容,我认为博洛尼亚是最受欢迎的球队。米兰也拿到了41分,但他们的得分要高一些。


博洛尼亚今年状态不错,最近11场比赛只输了一场。这场失利发生在他们最近的一场比赛中——客场0-2负于帕尔马。然而,博洛尼亚在本场比赛中控球率为74%,进球次数比帕尔马多12次。的确,最后的分数多少有些误导人……在此之前,博洛尼亚很强大,在主场3-2击败了都灵。他们在上一场比赛中比客队多创造了1.13个进球,有23次出色的进球尝试和更多的进球机会——准确地说,是6比3。本月9日,博洛尼亚不得不在客场0比0战平莱切。然而,在这场令人惊讶的防守比赛中,博洛尼亚在xG上多创造了0.54个进球。AC米兰队在最近四场比赛中赢了一场。在上一场客场击败都灵的比赛中,他们的定价在1.90左右,但以1比2输掉了比赛。然而,米兰在这场比赛中表现得更好。在此之前,他们在欧洲冠军联赛中以总比分1-2被费耶诺德淘汰。这对米兰球员来说无疑是一个巨大的打击,因为意大利人显然是出线的大热门。本月18日在米兰的第二回合比赛,双方以1比1战平,令人失望。米兰的西奥·埃尔南德斯在第51分钟被罚出场。他们上一场客场胜利是在2月8日2比0战胜一支实力不强的球队恩波利。面对比恩波利强得多的球队,这场胜利并没有让我感到兴奋。




好运!

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