An interesting game to bet on!
2025-03-13
分享比赛
An interesting game to bet on!
2025-03-13
分享比赛
解读理由
Stoke City VS Blackburn Rovers
Stoke welcome Blackburn in lock horns in this Championship round 37 battle early Thursday morning Beijing time. This is the second-highest tier of English football. League One is clearly the best second tier on the planet! Football enthusiasts and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of slightly better than average level by this league's standards here.. Most importantly, we have yet another interesting betting opportunity. Last season Stoke were better than Blackburn – finishing in 17th place. Blackburn, on the other hand, came quite close to being relegated. Indeed, they ended up in 19th/24 place. The worst three teams did relegate and Blackburn (53 points) took only three points more than Birmingham who finished in 20th place. Yes, Blackburn have improved from last season and are currently in 9th place with 52 points to their account. Their score difference is 41:37. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 45.32. Stoke are in 20th place with 36 points and have arguably been worse than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis.. They have scored 36 goals but their number of xG is 42.21. Their defence has not been very solid – silly individual defensive mistakes have been too common. They have conceded 50 goals. Their midfielders should be more active in defending.. However, they can improve in all areas of the game!
In terms of players' estimated total market value they are slightly the bigger team here – according to a well-respected source, Transfermarkt.com. The visitors will be without Batth, Beck, Hedges, Leonard, Pickering, Weimann and Wharton. As for the hosts, Gibson, Gooch, Sidibe and Wilson-Esbrand are out. With the expected lineups - in front of their loud fans – Stoke should have a fine chance of taking at least a point here! We will take the Stoke +0.5 goals handicap option. Neither team have won any of their last three games. In their last game Blackburn faced Derby on the road, losing 1-3 as favourites on the betting market. The hosts had only one more big scoring chance and had just 31% ball possession but still generated 0.65 more in xG. Stoke lost to in-form Coventry in their last game 2-3 away from home as very clear underdogs on the betting market. Indeed, Stoke could even have won the game as they had more shots on goal, shots off target and especially big chances – 5-1 to be precise! The xG numbers were - very surprisingly - 2.34-0.65 in Stoke's favour! Before this Stoke faced Watford at home and there were no goals scored in this defensive and somewhat boring game. Stoke recorded more goal attempts and shots in goal though.. The xG numbers were 0.57-0.58.
GOOD LUCK!
斯托克城VS布莱克本
北京时间周四凌晨,斯托克城将迎来布莱克本的第37轮激战。这是英国足球的第二高级别联赛。英甲联赛显然是这个星球上最好的第二梯队!足球爱好者和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场比这个联赛的平均水平略好一点的比赛。最重要的是,我们还有另一个有趣的下注机会。上赛季斯托克城比布莱克本强,排在第17位。另一方面,布莱克本差一点就降级了。事实上,他们最终排在第19 /24位。排名最差的三支球队最终降级,布莱克本(53分)只比排名第20的伯明翰多了3分。是的,布莱克本比上赛季有所进步,目前以52分排名第九。他们的比分差是41:37。然而,他们的预期进球数(xGA)是45.32。斯托克城以36分排在第20位,可以说比我在季前赛的深入分析中预期的还要糟糕。他们进了36个球,但是他们的进球数是42.21个。他们的防守不是很稳固——愚蠢的个人防守失误太常见了。他们丢了50个球。他们的中场应该更积极地防守。然而,他们可以在游戏的各个方面都有所提高!
根据知名网站Transfermarkt.com的数据,就球员的总市场价值而言,他们略高于其他球队。访客将没有巴斯、贝克、赫奇斯、伦纳德、皮克林、魏曼和沃顿。至于主持人,吉布森、古奇、西迪贝和威尔逊-埃斯布兰德已经出局。有了预期的阵容——在他们喧闹的球迷面前——斯托克城应该有一个很好的机会在这里至少拿一分!我们将选择斯托克城+0.5个进球障碍。这两支球队最近三场比赛都没有赢过一场。布莱克本上一场客场面对德比,在博彩市场上以1-3输掉了比赛。主队只多了一次进球机会,控球率也只有31%,但在xG上仍多出0.65%。斯托克城在上一场客场2-3负于状态良好的考文垂,在博彩市场上显然处于劣势。事实上,斯托克城甚至可以赢得比赛,因为他们有更多的射门,射偏,尤其是大机会——准确地说是5比1 !令人惊讶的是,斯托克城的xG数据是2.34-0.65 !在此之前,斯托克城主场迎战沃特福德,在这场防守和有点无聊的比赛中没有进球。不过斯托克城的进球次数和射门次数更多……xG值为0.57 ~ 0.58。
好运!