More WINNERS? $$$ 英冠 加的夫城VS谢周三
2025-03-29
分享比赛
Cardiff City VS Sheffield Wednesday
Cardiff and Sheffield Wednesday lock horns in this Championship round 39 battle at Cardiff City Stadium late Saturday evening Beijing time. This is the second-highest tier of English football. The Championship is clearly the best second tier on the planet. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of somewhat mediocre quality by this league's standards here. Last season Cardiff were much better than Sheffield W. Indeed, they finished in 12th place with 62 points to their account. Sheffield W were close to being relegated, finishing in 20th/24 place – with only 53 points in their pocket. Their score difference was terrible – 44:68 to be precise. Yes, they have been better this season – currently occupying 12th place. They have grabbed a decent 51 points and have scored 53 goals and have conceded 59 goals. Their number of expected goals (xG) is 48.99 and their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 57.61. The teams who finish in 3-6th place will play in the Promotion Playoffs at the end of the season. Yes, mathematically Sheffield W do have a chance to make it to the top-6 but this is massively improbable! They are, realistically speaking, safe from relegation and I expect them to simply "enjoy themselves" in the last eight matches. At home they will surely give their best - and play with the optimal squad, but on the road their head coach might well rotate the squad, offering young, talented players a chance to prove their skills. Cardiff have undoubtedly been worse than I expected in my in-depth preseason analysis. I have adjusted my power rating accordingly. The bookies, on the other hand, are undervaluing them.. With the expected lineups, taking the substantial home advantage into account, I see them having a very good chance of taking at least a point here! Indeed, we will take the Cardiff +0.5 goals handicap option. They should be extremely motivated here as they are not safe from relegation – yet. Cardiff are in 21th/24 place with 38 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) is higher. Their score difference is 42:62. Their number of xG is 48.64 and number of xGA is 53.45. Let's remember that according to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, Cardiff are the bigger team here – by a decent margin. Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 49 million euros. The Sheffield W squad is valued at an estimated 37 million. Both numbers are, in my expert opinion, more or less correct.
Both teams have taken two wins and suffered four defeats in the last six games. In their last match Cardiff were priced around 4.30 to beat Blackburn on the road. They, however, took all three points through a fine 2-1 win – mainly thanks to very solid defending. They recorded two more shots on goal and goal attempts. Moreover, they allowed the hosts only 0.54 in xG. Before this they lost to Luton 1-2 at home. However, their performance - as a whole – was okay. They had close to 60% ball possession and recorded many more total shots. Both teams had four shots on goal. The xG numbers were 0.81-0.86. Sheffield W were quite lame in their last match, losing to Sheffield United 0-1 at home. They were the favourites on the betting market in this game. Yes, they could easily have taken a point but most of their attacks were too slow and lacked creativity. Sheffield W recorded only three shots on target. Before this they beat Norwich 3-2 on the road but either team could have emerged victorious. The hosts had more big scoring chances but the visitors recorded two more shots on goal.
GOOD LUCK!
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周三卡迪夫城VS谢菲尔德
北京时间周六晚，卡迪夫和谢菲尔德星期三将在卡迪夫城体育场举行的第39轮英冠大战中展开较量。这是英国足球的第二高级别联赛。冠军赛显然是这个星球上最好的二级赛事。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的投注者可以期待一场以这个联盟的标准来看有点平庸的比赛。上个赛季，卡迪夫比谢菲尔德w强得多。事实上，他们以62分排名第12。谢菲尔德W队差一点就降级了，仅以53分的积分排在第20 /24位。他们的比分差太大了——准确地说是44:68。是的，他们本赛季表现更好了，目前排名第12位。他们拿到了51分，进了53个球，丢了59个球。他们的预期进球数（xG）是48.99，他们的预期进球数（xGA）是57.61。排在第3-6名的球队将在本赛季结束后参加附加赛。是的，从数学上讲，谢菲尔德W确实有机会进入前六，但这是极不可能的！从现实的角度来说，他们不会降级，我希望他们在最后的八场比赛中“享受自己”。在主场，他们肯定会发挥出最好的水平，并与最优秀的阵容一起比赛，但在客场，他们的主教练可能会轮换阵容，给年轻有天赋的球员一个证明自己技能的机会。毫无疑问，卡迪夫的表现比我在季前赛的深度分析中预期的要差。我已经相应地调整了我的功率等级。另一方面，博彩公司低估了它们的价值。考虑到预期的阵容，考虑到主场的优势，我认为他们很有可能在这里拿到至少一分！事实上，我们将采取加的夫+0.5个进球障碍选项。他们在这里应该非常有动力，因为他们还没有保级。卡迪夫以38分排在第21 /24位。但是，它们的期望值（xPTS）更高。他们的比分差是42:62。它们的xG数为48.64，xGA数为53.45。让我们记住，根据Transfermarkt.com，一个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源，卡迪夫是这里更大的球队——以相当大的差距。事实上，他们的球员估计总市值约为4900万欧元。谢菲尔德W队的身价估计为3700万英镑。在我看来，这两个数字或多或少是正确的。
在过去的六场比赛中，两队都取得了两胜四负的战绩。在上一场比赛中，卡迪夫击败布莱克本的价格在4.30左右。然而，他们以一场2-1的完美胜利拿到了全部三分，这主要得益于他们坚实的防守。他们又记录了两次射门和射门尝试。此外，他们只允许主机在xG中使用0.54。在此之前，他们在主场1-2输给了卢顿。然而，他们的表现——作为一个整体——还不错。他们的控球率接近60%，总射门次数也更多。两队都有四次射门。xG值为0.81 ~ 0.86。谢菲尔德W队在上一场比赛中表现很差，主场0-1输给了谢菲尔德联队。在这场比赛中，他们是博彩市场上的大热门。是的，他们本可以很容易地拿到一分，但他们的大多数进攻都太慢了，缺乏创造力。谢菲尔德队只有3次射正。在此之前，他们客场3-2击败诺维奇，但两队都有可能获胜。主队有更多的进球机会，但客队又有两次射门。
好运！
