A FINE game to bet on! $$$ 挪超 布兰VS特罗姆瑟
2025-04-06
分享比赛
Brann VS Tromso IL
Tromso challenge Brann in this Eliteserien round a battle at Brann Stadion in Bergen Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the highest level of Norwegian football. The quality of this league is pretty good by European standards. It is, as a whole, slightly better than the Swedish Allsvenskan and a bit worse than the Danish Superliga. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors can expect a match of better than average level by this leagues standards here. Most importantly we have another lucrative betting chance here. Yes, last season was undoubtedly a big disappointment for Tromso.. They finished only in 13th/16 place with 33 points to their account. Yes, they performed worse than I would have expected but were also unlucky in quite a few games.. Indeed, their number of expected points (xPTS) was bigger than 33. They scored 34 goals and conceded 44 goals. They are not among the best teams in this league in terms of pure class but can certainly improve from last season – perhaps significantly. Brann exceeded expectations last season, finishing in 2nd place with 59 points – that was three points less than the champions Bodo/Glimt managed to take. Let's remember that Brann's number of xPTS was much smaller than 59! I also need to mention that according to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, Brann are the bigger team here – but not by a wide margin! Indeed, their players have an estimated total market value of some 21 million euros. However, some 23 million would be a more realistic number.. The Tromso squad is valued at an estimated approximately 17 million. This is, in my expert opinion, more or less correct.. Yes, the hosts have an edge over Tromso in all areas of the game but current odds of around 1.65 are still way too low. We will place a bet on Tromso with the +1.5 goals handicap!
Brann were terrible in the opening round, losing to Fredrikstad 0-3 away from home as pretty clear favourites on the betting market, priced around 2.15 to win. Yes, they did have a high 72% ball possession – they love to keep the ball but are sometimes not capable of converting this into high goal expectancy/goals.. Indeed, they generated only 0.44 in expected goals (xG) – much less than the hosts! Yes, the final score does flatter Fredrikstad but they did record more total shots and shots on goal. Yes, Brann can improve but even a big raise in their level would not mean that they are able to beat Tromso here.. Tromso have taken three consecutive wins. They were terrific in the opening round – despite beating Haugesund only 1-0 at home. They recorded 11 more total shots, six more shots on target and six more corner kicks than the visitors. Tromso defended very well – allowing the visitors no big scoring chances – recording four themselves. The xG numbers were 2.55-0.37. Before this they comfortably beat HamKam 2-0 at home. It was a friendly game.
GOOD LUCK!
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布兰恩VS特罗姆瑟
北京时间周日晚上，特罗姆瑟在卑尔根的布兰恩体育场与布兰恩进行了这场精英赛。这是挪威足球的最高水平。以欧洲的标准来看，这个联赛的水平是相当不错的。总的来说，它比瑞典的阿尔斯温斯坎联赛略好，比丹麦的超级联赛略差。按照联赛的标准，足球爱好者和我们这些严肃的投注者可以期待一场高于平均水平的比赛。最重要的是，我们又有了一个赚钱的机会。是的，上个赛季无疑是特罗姆瑟的一大失望。他们以33分的成绩仅排在第13 /16位。是的，他们的表现比我预期的要差，但在很多比赛中也不走运。事实上，他们的期望值（xPTS）大于33。他们进了34球，丢了44球。就纯粹的水平而言，他们并不是联盟中最好的球队之一，但肯定能比上赛季有所提高——也许是显著的。布兰恩上赛季超出了预期，以59分排名第二，比冠军博多/格里姆特少了3分。让我们记住，Brann的xPTS数量远小于59！我还需要提到的是，根据Transfermarkt.com这个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源，拜仁是这里更大的球队——但差距并不大！事实上，他们的球员估计总市值约为2100万欧元。然而，2300万是一个更现实的数字。特罗姆瑟队的估价约为1700万欧元。在我看来，这或多或少是正确的。是的，东道主在比赛的各个方面都比特罗姆瑟有优势，但目前1.65左右的赔率仍然太低了。我们将以+1.5个进球的赔率打赌特罗姆瑟！
布兰恩在首场比赛中表现糟糕，客场0-3输给腓特烈斯塔德，在博彩市场上是很明显的热门，胜率在2.15左右。是的，他们的控球率高达72%——他们喜欢控球，但有时无法将其转化为高期望进球。事实上，他们的预期进球数（xG）仅为0.44，远低于东道主！是的，最终的比分确实让腓特烈斯塔感到高兴，但他们的射门次数和射门次数确实更多。是的，布朗可以提高，但即使他们的水平大幅提高，也不意味着他们能够在这里击败特罗姆瑟。特罗姆瑟已经取得了三连胜。他们在首场比赛中表现出色，尽管在主场仅以1-0击败豪格松。他们比客队多射门11次，射正6次，踢角球6次。特罗姆瑟防守很好，没有给客队任何进球的机会，他们自己进了四球。xG值为2.55 ~ 0.37。在此之前，他们在主场以2-0轻松击败了汉姆卡姆。这是一场友谊赛。
好运！
