Who will win in today's big derby game?! 西甲 莱万特vs巴伦西亚
2021-12-20
分享比赛
In my opinion Valencia have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up. They should be able to avoid loss. +0 AH looks like very good bet here. Valencia have strong chances to win, but this handicap line is safe and really valuable. Valencia deserves to be much bigger favorite here.
It's a special match for both teams as this is derby game. Levante currently don't have good streak against Valencia as they failed to win in 7 of last 8 La Liga matches against them. Levante have poor record in derby matches in La Liga against teams from Valencian Community-only one win in last 10 such matches. On the other hand Valencia won 4 of last 5 this type of games. They have good mental advantage.
I see huge difference between both clubs in terms of form, atmosphere, ambitions and quality.
Since start of the season Valencia is extremely consistent team and is very hard to beat them. They lost only 4 matches so far, only against strong Spanish teams: at home against Real Madrid and on away against Betis, Barcelona and Sevilla. On the other hand Levante is still without a single win in current La Liga season (17 matches been played). They are on last position in league table, already 7 points behind safe place. Atmosphere in team must very bad. 9 days ago they played on away against Espanyol - they were able to had a lead twice, but at the end they lost that game 3:4. In addition to that they lost in Cup after penalties against lower league Alcoyano. Their confidence for sure is very low. Looks like they are strong candidate to be relegated at the end of the season. On the other hand Valencia flying sky high. They went unbeaten in last 8 matches in a row in all competitions. In league table they are only 2 points behind place in European Cups and for sure they wants to go with momentum today.
Today we will see one of the best offensive formation in whole league (Valencia) and the worst defense (Levante). Valencia have 4.4 shots on target per game, only three teams in whole are better in that department. Valencia scored more than one goal in 6 of last 8 matches in all competitions (last 4 consecutive games). Levante don't have any stability at the back - they conceded 7 goals in last two matches, against average Espanyol and lower league Alcoyano. They conceded 32 goals in 17 La Liga matches so far and this is the worst result in whole league.
Difference in squad quality is very visible. Levante best player in current season according to the ratings is central midfielder Campana (10 matches, 16€ mln market value). Best scorer is 34 years old Morales (5 goals in 17 matches, 6€ mln market value). Best assistant is De Frutos (4 assist in 15 matches, 6mln market value). The biggest star, striker Roger is without good form. Valencia biggest star, central midfielder Carlos Soler (30mln €) is in great form, according to the ratings he is in top8 players of La Liga in current season. Valencia have in squad other high quality players in good form like left defender Gaya (32mln €) or striker Guedes (22mln €). Central defender Diakhaby caught up fire - he received Man of the match award in last two matches in a row. Right defender Piccini made great come back after long break. Valencia have in-form players at every part of the pitch and they have all required tools to expose today all weaknesses of out-of-form Levante.
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
在我看来，瓦伦西亚有很好的机会在今天的比赛中至少得一分。他们应该能够避免损失。+0 AH看起来很好。瓦伦西亚有很强的获胜机会，但这条障碍线是安全的，而且真的很有价值。巴伦西亚在这里理应更受欢迎。
这对两队来说都是一场特殊的比赛，因为这是一场德比战。莱万特目前在对阵瓦伦西亚的比赛中表现不佳，他们在最近8场西甲比赛中有7场失利。莱万特在西甲德比战中对阵瓦伦西亚社区的战绩很差——在过去的10场比赛中只有一场胜利。另一方面，瓦伦西亚赢了最近5场这种类型的比赛中的4场。他们有很好的心理优势。
我看到了两家俱乐部在形式、气氛、雄心和质量方面的巨大差异。
自从赛季开始，瓦伦西亚是一支非常稳定的球队，很难击败他们。到目前为止，他们只输了4场比赛，而且都是对阵西班牙强队:主场对阵皇家马德里，客场对阵贝蒂斯、巴塞罗那和塞维利亚。另一方面，莱万特在本赛季西甲联赛(17场比赛)中仍未取得一场胜利。他们现在排在积分榜的最后，已经落后安全位置7分了。球队的气氛一定很糟糕。9天前，他们客场对阵西班牙人——他们曾经两度领先，但最后他们以3:4输掉了那场比赛。除此之外，他们还在杯赛中输给了低级别联赛的阿尔克亚诺队。他们的信心肯定很低。看起来他们很有可能在赛季末被降级。另一方面，巴伦西亚飞得很高。他们在所有比赛中连续8场保持不败。在联赛积分榜上，他们在欧洲杯中只落后2分，当然他们今天也想继续前进。
今天我们将看到全联盟最好的进攻阵容之一(瓦伦西亚)和最差的防守(莱万特)。瓦伦西亚每场比赛有4.4次射正，只有三支球队在这方面做得更好。瓦伦西亚在最近的8场比赛中有6场进球超过1球(连续4场比赛)。莱万特的后防线没有任何稳定性——他们在过去的两场比赛中输给了普通的西班牙人和低级联赛的阿尔卡亚诺队，丢了7个球。到目前为止，他们在17场西甲比赛中丢了32个球，这是整个联赛最差的结果。
阵容质量的差异是显而易见的。莱万特本赛季最佳球员是中场坎帕纳(10场比赛，市值1600万欧元)。最佳射手是34岁的莫拉莱斯(17场比赛进5球，市值600万欧元)。最佳助理球员是De Frutos(15场4次助攻，600万市场价值)。最耀眼的球星，前锋罗杰状态不佳。瓦伦西亚最大的球星，中场球员卡洛斯·索莱尔(3000万欧元)状态很好，根据他在本赛季西甲排名前8。瓦伦西亚的阵容中还有其他状态良好的高质量球员，比如左后卫盖亚(3200万欧元)或前锋古德斯(2200万欧元)。中后卫迪亚哈比的表现非常抢眼，他连续两场比赛都获得了最佳球员的称号。右后卫皮奇尼在长时间的休息后出色的回归。瓦伦西亚在球场的每个角落都有状态良好的球员，他们都需要一些工具来揭露莱万特的弱点。
