外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Penafiel VS SCU Torreense



Penafiel and Torreense lock horns in this Liga Portugal 2 round 32 clash at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril in Penafiel early Tuesday morning Beijing time. This is the 2nd tier of Portuguese football. The level of this league – as a whole - is not of decent level by European standards – for a second tier. Football enthusiasts and us serious bettors can expect a game of somwewhat medicore levek by this league's standards here.. There is not much between this teams – in terms of pure class. Indeed, Penafiel are in 10th place with 43 points in their pocket. They have netted the ball a decent 44 times – and have conceded 45 goals in this league so far this season. Torreense are nothing special as a team. Indeed, they have 48 points to their account. They have scored 45 goals and have conceded 38 goals. However, their number of expected goals allowed (xGA) is 45.45.


Let's not forget that according to Transfermarkt.com, a well-known and respected source, Penafiel are the bigger team here – only by a thing margin though.. Neither team have a chance to be promoted to 1st tier – or be relegated. In this situation, with the expected lineups, I expect a somewhat balanced clash – and see Penafiel as marginal favourites. At home, in front of their fans, I expect them to be slightly more motivated than the visitors here. Indeed, the Penafiel +0.5 goals handicap is the obvious smart bet here. No, Penafiel have not been at their best recently, but have also had bad luck in several games lately. They have lost several games in a row but I will not overreact to this defeats. In their last game they were lame, losing to Leixoes 1-3 away from home. However, I want to emphasize that Leixoes played better than usual in this game. Before this Penafiel lost to Feirense lost to Feirense 1-2 at home. However, they recorded many more total shots – 8-5 to be precise. The hosts also had more corner kicks. Both teams had three shots on goal though. Penafiel's J. Miguel was sent off in the 69th minute when the score was 1-2. Without the red card I believe the hosts would have had a pretty good chance of taking at least a point. They were slim underdogs on the betting market at the time of kickoff.. Torreense have won one of their last three games – and two of their last six matches. In their last game they welcome Maritimo – as favourites on the betting market. It was, however, a 2-2 draw in the end. Before this they beat Academico Viseu 2-1 away from home but the games was somewhat balanced as a whole. Either team could have won the game. Both teams had 50% ball possession and had the same number of shots on target – five to be precise..



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

Penafiel VS . SCU torrense



北京时间4月25日凌晨,佩纳菲埃尔和托伦斯将在西甲联赛第32轮的比赛中,在佩纳菲埃尔市政体育场进行较量。这是葡萄牙足球的第二梯队。这个联赛的水平——作为一个整体——以欧洲的标准来看是不体面的——作为一个二线球队。足球爱好者和我们这些认真的投注者可以期待一场以联赛标准衡量的医学水平的比赛。这两支球队之间并没有太大的区别——就纯粹的水平而言。事实上,佩尼亚菲耶尔以43分排名第十。本赛季到目前为止,他们在联赛中有44次进球,丢了45个球。作为一支球队,托伦斯并没有什么特别之处。事实上,他们的账户上有48分。他们进了45球,丢了38球。然而,他们的预期进球数(xGA)是45.45。


我们不要忘记,根据Transfermarkt.com这个知名且受人尊敬的消息来源,佩纳菲耶尔是这里更大的球队——尽管只有一点差距。两支球队都没有机会升到一级联赛,或者降级。在这种情况下,在预期的阵容中,我预计会有一些平衡的冲突-并且认为佩尼亚菲耶尔是边缘热门。在主场,在他们的球迷面前,我希望他们比这里的客队更有动力。事实上,Penafiel +0.5个进球障碍显然是明智的选择。不,佩纳菲耶尔最近状态不佳,但最近几场比赛运气也不好。他们已经连续输了几场比赛,但我不会对这场失利反应过度。他们的上一场比赛很差劲,客场1-3输给了莱克斯。然而,我想强调的是,Leixoes在这场比赛中比平时打得好。在此之前,佩纳菲耶尔主场1-2输给了费伦斯。然而,他们的总射门次数更多——准确地说是8-5。主队也有更多的角球。两队都有三次射门。佩纳菲埃尔的米格尔在第69分钟被罚下,当时比分是1-2。如果没有这张红牌,我相信东道主很有可能拿到至少一分。开球时,他们在博彩市场上处于微弱劣势。托伦斯在最近三场比赛中赢了一场,在最近六场比赛中赢了两场。在他们的最后一场比赛中,他们欢迎马里蒂莫-作为博彩市场上的热门。然而,最终双方以2比2战平。在此之前,他们在客场2-1击败了Academico Viseu,但比赛总体上是平衡的。任何一个队都有可能赢得这场比赛。两支球队都有50%的控球率,射门次数相同——准确地说是5次。



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