4/5 last WON in this league! $$$
2025-05-30
分享比赛
Waterford United VS Drogheda United
Waterford welcome Drogheda for this Irish Premier Division round 18 battle at Regional Sports Centre in Waterford very early Saturday morning Beijing time. However, Droghdeda have already played 18 games so far. The level of this league is very low by European standards, it is even worse than for example the Finnish Veikkausliiga. The best Irish players often leave the country at a young age – to build a career abroad, especially in the UK. Football fans and us serious, profit-hungry bettors can expect a game of pretty mediocre quality by this league's standards here.. Drogheda, who are not a very big team in Ireland in terms of players' estimated total market value, fan-base or success in the past have started the season very well. Indeed, they have performed much better than I – or probably any other professional football bettor – would have expected before the season started.. Indeed, they currently occupy the 2nd place, behind perhaps the biggest team in Ireland, Shamrock Rovers. Drogheda have taken a fine 29 points and have betted the ball 23 times. However, their number of expected goals (xG) is bigger - 27.02. Their defence has been (surprisingly) solid, and has no obvious weaknesses. However, under intense, well-organized pressure from the opponent they might struggle.. I want to highlight that Waterford are not expected to play this way here.. The visitors have allowed only 17 goals, just one less than Shamrock. Waterford are in 8h place in the league with a total of 10 clubs. They have a lame 22 points in their pocket. Moreover, they have a weak goal difference of -10. Indeem they have scored only 18 goals – which is the lowest number in this league. Indeed, even the rock-bottom team, Sligo Rovers have netted the ball 22 times! The Waterford defence is far from solid. They have allowed 28 goals but their number of expected goals per game is bigger - 1.92 to be precise. Their midfielders should be much more active in defending..
Most of the biggest bookmakers who accept the biggest bets from customers see this game as a coin toss – a 50/50 game without an actual favourite – offering both teams odds of around 2.70 to win. I disagree! Indeed, based on my strongly data-based expert analysis Drogheda deserve to be solid favourites here. Consequently, we will place a +0.5 goals handicap bet on the visitors. Indeed, Droghdeda have lost only one of their last six games and are undefeated in their last three matches. In their most recent game they beat Bohemians 1-0 at home, as pretty clear underdogs on the betting market. It was a fine defensive effort from Drogheda! Indeed, Bohemians failed to record a single big scoring chance. Drogheda generated 0.21 more in xG but Boeghamines had one more shot on goal. Before this Droghdeda also defended well, taking a point from the reigning champions, Shelbourne, through a goalless draw away from home. Droghdeda had one more shot on target but the hosts recorded one more big scoring chance. Waterford have won one of their last three games. In their last match they played pretty well, better than expected, taking a point from St. Patricks on the road. However, I stress that St. Patricks performed much below their normal level in this game. Before this, Wateford lost to Shamrock 1-3 at home. Waterford took an early lead through P. Amond's 1-0 goal but Shamrock quickly bounced back! They were the much better team on the pitch as a whole. They recorded many more total shots, shots on goal (5-1) and big scoring chances – 2-0. They also generated significantly more in xG – 1.93-0.48 to be precise.
GOOD LUCK!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
沃特福德VS德罗海达
北京时间周六凌晨，沃特福德欢迎德罗海达参加爱尔兰超级联赛第18轮的比赛。然而，到目前为止，Droghdeda已经打了18场比赛。按照欧洲的标准，这个联赛的水平很低，甚至比芬兰的维卡斯利加还差。最好的爱尔兰球员往往在年轻的时候就离开了这个国家——在国外，特别是在英国建立自己的职业生涯。足球迷和我们这些认真的、追求利润的赌徒可以期待一场以联赛标准来看质量相当平庸的比赛。从球员总市值、球迷基础和过去的成功来看，德罗海达在爱尔兰并不是一支非常强大的球队，但他们本赛季的开局非常好。事实上，他们的表现比我——或者任何其他职业足球投注者——在赛季开始前所预期的要好得多。事实上，他们目前排在第二位，仅次于爱尔兰最大的球队三叶草流浪者队。德罗海达被罚了29分，投注了23次球。然而，他们的预期进球数（xG）更大，为27.02。他们的防守（令人惊讶地）稳固，没有明显的弱点。然而，在对手组织严密的压力下，他们可能会挣扎……我想强调的是，沃特福德在这里不会这样踢。客队只丢了17个球，只比三叶草少一个。沃特福德在联赛中排名第8位，总共有10家俱乐部。他们口袋里只有可怜的22分。此外，他们的净胜球差很弱，只有-10。尽管如此，他们只进了18个球，这是联赛中最少的。事实上，即使是排名垫底的斯莱戈流浪者队也有22次进球！沃特福德的防线远不稳固。他们丢了28个球，但是他们的场均预期进球数更大——准确地说是1.92个。他们的中场应该更积极地防守。
大多数接受客户最大投注的大型博彩公司都将这款游戏视为掷硬币游戏——一场50/50的游戏，没有真正的夺冠热门——两支球队的获胜几率都在2.70左右。我不同意!事实上，根据我基于数据的专家分析，德罗海达理应成为最受欢迎的球队。因此，我们将在客队身上下注+0.5个进球。事实上，德罗吉达在过去的六场比赛中只输了一场，并且在最近的三场比赛中保持不败。在最近的一场比赛中，他们在主场1-0击败了波希米亚人队，在博彩市场上，他们显然处于劣势。德罗海达的防守做得很好！事实上，波希米亚人连一个进球机会都没有。德罗海达在上一季又创造了0.21个进球，但博加明斯有一次射门。在此之前，德罗赫达的防守也很好，在客场0 - 0逼平卫冕冠军谢尔本的比赛中，德罗赫达取得了一分。德罗赫迪达还有一次射正，但主队又抓住了一次重要的得分机会。沃特福德最近三场比赛赢了一场。在上一场比赛中，他们打得很好，比预期的要好，在客场从圣帕特里克队那里拿了一分。然而，我要强调的是，圣帕特里克队在这场比赛中的表现远远低于他们的正常水平。在此之前，沃特福德主场1-3不敌三叶草。沃特福德凭借P.阿蒙德1-0的进球早早取得领先，但三叶草很快反弹！他们在球场上整体表现要好得多。他们的射门次数、射正次数（5比1）和进球机会（2比0）都更多。它们在xG（准确地说是1.93-0.48）中也产生了更多。
好运！
