It's a very important game for the table 葡超分享 通德拉vs摩雷伦斯
2022-01-03
分享比赛
In my opinion Moreirense have really good chances to make at least one point in today's match up.
In overall I see Moreirense as a better team than Tondela in all departments. Guests finished last 3 consecutive seasons in top8. They don't lost many key players in pre-season so potential is still there. Fabio Pacheco (best player in last season ), Martins (best scorer) or Yan (best assistant) are still in the team. Tondela weren't able to finish any of last seasons even in top10.
Looks like both teams in current going to be involved in fight to avoid relegation. Both teams with 12 points on their accounts, but Moreirense is outside relegation zone because of better goals balance. Despite the same number of points, Moreirense plays football on much higher level in current season.
So far Tondela scored 19 goals, but according to the expected goals scored model they should score only 14.2! On the other hand Moreirense played better than their results shows - they scored 15 goals, but they should score 17.6. They conceded 24 goals so far, but according to the expected goals conceded model they should concede only 18.5. It's huge difference.
Moreirense in current season lost 7 of 15 matches, but for me that doesn't looks so bad because they already lost against top Portuguese teams (Braga, Porto, Benfica and Sporting). On the other hand Tondela recorded already 11 losses in 15 matches and they have the worst defensive formation in whole league with 32 goals conceded. Very hard to trust them.
Tondela lost last 4 league matches in a row and conceded 11 goals in the process. For sure morale in team is on very low level. On the other hand Moreirense in last round won at home against 5th Estoril and without any shadow of doubt that was huge boost of confidence for them. That was first league win for Moreirense coach. They wants to go with momentum today.
It's not the longest trip for guests. It's less than 2 hours drive by car from Moreirense to Tondela.
Moreirense coach Lito Vidigal said: "It's a tough game, against a team that is strong and aggressive at home. But I can't see football in any other way, every game is likely to win. That's the message I've been giving. With more time and more work I was more convinced than I would say this. At this moment, we have to believe very much that if we have the posture we had in the last game, we have the possibility of winning. We want to add the second consecutive victory, if possible to continue what we did in the previous game, with the goal at zero. Even with little time to work I feel the team's growth. The team is still not as we want, only time will allow us to acquire that evolution, so I believe we can win in Tondela."
I see guests as a better team, in better form and with bigger ability to achieve good result today. I don't see Tondela as a favorite here.
本译文使用有道机器翻译，仅供参考：
在我看来，莫瑞伦斯在今天的比赛中有很好的机会至少得一分。
总的来说，我认为莫瑞伦斯在所有部门都比通德拉更好。客人连续3个赛季都在前8名。他们没有在季前赛中失去很多关键球员，所以潜力仍然存在。上赛季最佳球员法比奥-帕切科、最佳射手马丁斯和最佳助理球员阎彦祖仍然在队里。在过去的赛季中，Tondela甚至没有进入前十。
看起来目前两支球队都在为保级而战。两支球队都得到了12分，但莫里伦斯因为进球平衡而处于降级区之外。尽管得分相同，莫里伦斯在本赛季踢得更高。
到目前为止，通德拉进了19个球，但根据预期进球模型，他们应该只进了14.2!另一方面，莫里伦斯队的表现比他们的表现要好——他们进了15个球，但他们应该得17.6分。到目前为止，他们共失24球，但根据预期失球模型，他们应该只失18.5球。这是巨大的差异。
莫雷伦斯在本赛季的15场比赛中输掉了7场，但对我来说这并不糟糕，因为他们已经输掉了葡萄牙顶级球队(布拉加、波尔图、本菲卡和里斯本竞技)。另一方面，彤德拉已经在15场比赛中输掉了11场，他们的防守阵型是全联盟最差的，共丢了32个球。很难相信他们。
在过去的4场联赛中，通德拉连败，丢了11个球。可以肯定的是，团队的士气非常低。另一方面，莫瑞伦斯在上一轮主场战胜了第五埃斯托利尔，毫无疑问，这极大地提升了他们的信心。这是莫伦斯教练的第一场联赛胜利。他们想要今天的势头。
对客人来说，这不是最长的旅程。从Moreirense到Tondela不到2小时的车程。
莫里伦斯教练利托·维迪加尔说:“这是一场艰苦的比赛，在主场对阵一支强大而有侵略性的球队。但我不认为足球有其他的方式，每一场比赛都有可能赢。这就是我一直在传达的信息。经过更多的时间和更多的工作，我比我说的更确信。此时此刻，我们必须坚信，如果我们能保持上一场比赛的状态，我们就有获胜的可能。如果可能的话，我们想要继续我们在上一场比赛中所做的，进球为0。即使工作时间很少，我也能感受到团队的成长。车队还没有达到我们想要的状态，只有时间才能让我们获得进化，所以我相信我们能在通德拉取得胜利。”
我认为客人是一个更好的团队，有更好的形式和更大的能力，今天取得好的结果。我不认为唐德拉是最受欢迎的。
