外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
  • 2

    分享数量

  • 17

    粉丝

解读理由

FC Kairat Almaty VS Celtic FC



Kairat Almaty challenge Celtic in this UEFA Champions League qualification final round 2nd leg clash at Almaty Central Stadium in Almaty very early Wednesday morning Beijing time. This is the best of UEFA's three international club competitions. Football fans and us serious football bettors can expect a match of quite mediocre quality level by this league's 4rd qualification round standards here! Most importantly we have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity! Indeed, we have won a whopping six picks in a row betting on the Champions League! Kairat are a Kazakh club, the visitors come from Scotland. Celtic, once again, won the Scottish Premiership last season, taking a total of 92 points. However, their number of expected points (xPTS) was smaller. Even so, they were and still are, the best club in Scotland. They scored 112 goals and allowed 26 goals but their number of expected goals (xG) per game was "only" 2.01. Their number of goals against (xGA) per match was 0.87. They did qualify for the Champions League Playoffs last season, being eliminated by Bayern Munich. However, they had some luck on their side in quite a few Champions League league stage games. I do not expect them to achieve similar success this season.. Kairat are the champions of Kazakhstan and have a fine chance of winning the Premier League once again this season. In this league teams have played 20-22 games and Kairat have taken 43 points and have a score difference of +24.


Celtic have played only three games in their domestic league so they are most probably not at their best yet. Even so, they are - by pure class - significantly better than Kairat. Both teams are missing a few players here. With the expected line-ups Celtic, of course, deserve to be the favourites even in Kazakhstan but I do not agree with the odds of around 1.55 on the away win  - offered by the bookmakers! We will take the Kairat +1.5 goals handicap with a strong chance of winning! However, Celtic have a 55% chance of winning in the 90 minutes of play..  There will be over 20 000 very loud fans at Almaty Central Stadium in Almaty, near the Chinese border - at an altitude of some 700m above sea-level.  Indeed, the flight from Scotland to Almaty is long and tiring. The home advantage Kazakh teams have had in international matches in the past - and Kairat have here - is huge. At home, Kairat have not allowed a single goal in the Champions League Qualification this season. Indeed, they beat a dangerous Slovenian club, O. Ljubljana 2-0, swept past KuPS 5-0 and beat Slovan Bratislava 1-0. Against KuPS they were totally dominant in the first half - and could have been leading 5-0 at halftime.. Yes, KuPS are a pretty lowly Finnish team but Bratislava played in the Champions League league stage last season! Celtic were priced around 1.10-1.13 to win the first leg but it was a goalless draw! Their odds were - based on the events on the pitch - much too low! Yes, Celtic did have 75% ball possession but lacked speed and creativity in offense. Both teams had only one big scoring chance! The xG numbers were 0.63-0.61. Celtic did record three more total shots though. I was impressed with the way Kairat defended - as a team - shutting down the Celtic offense! I emphasize that Kairat are definitely a much better team than the list of players would suggest! Before the 1st leg in Glasgow Kairat were somewhat unlucky to lose to Yelimay Semey 2-3 at home but I am pretty sure their focus was on the Celtic game.. They did record many more total shots than the Yelimay Semey. Celtic have won all three games in the Scottish Premiership but have still not looked as strong as they did last season.. I stress that this league, except for Celtic and Rangers, is not of great level at all..




GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

阿拉木图卡拉特VS凯尔特人



北京时间周三凌晨,在阿拉木图中央体育场举行的欧冠资格赛最后一轮第二回合比赛中,卡拉特对阵凯尔特人。这是欧足联三届国际俱乐部比赛中最好的一届。足球迷和我们这些认真的足球投注者可以期待一场以联赛第4轮资格赛标准来看的相当平庸的比赛!最重要的是,我们还有一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!事实上,我们已经连续6次赢得了欧冠的选秀权!卡拉特是一家哈萨克俱乐部,游客来自苏格兰。凯尔特人上赛季再一次以92分的成绩夺得了苏格兰联赛冠军。然而,他们的期望值(xPTS)要小一些。即便如此,他们仍然是苏格兰最好的俱乐部。他们进了112球,丢了26球,但场均预期进球数(xG)“只有”2.01个。他们的场均进球数为0.87。他们在上个赛季被拜仁慕尼黑淘汰后进入了欧冠季后赛。然而,他们在几场欧冠阶段比赛中运气不错。我不指望他们本赛季能取得同样的成功。卡拉特是哈萨克斯坦的冠军,本赛季他们很有可能再次赢得英超冠军。在这个联赛中,球队已经打了20-22场比赛,卡拉特得到了43分,得分差为+24。


凯尔特人在国内联赛只打了三场比赛,所以他们很可能还没有达到最佳状态。即便如此,就纯粹的阶级而言,他们也明显优于卡拉特。两队都少了几个队员。根据预期的阵容,凯尔特人当然应该是最受欢迎的,即使在哈萨克斯坦,但我不同意大约1.55的客场胜利赔率-由博彩公司提供!我们将以卡拉特+1.5个进球的优势取胜!然而,凯尔特人在90分钟的比赛中有55%的获胜机会。在靠近中国边境的阿拉木图中央体育场,将有超过2万名非常响亮的球迷,这里海拔约700米。的确,从苏格兰到阿拉木图的航程既长又累。哈萨克队在过去的国际比赛中拥有的主场优势是巨大的,卡拉特队在这里也是如此。在主场,卡拉特本赛季在欧冠资格赛中没有失球。事实上,他们以2比0击败了危险的斯洛文尼亚俱乐部卢布尔雅那(O. Ljubljana),以5比0横扫了up,并以1比0击败了斯洛文尼亚的布拉迪斯拉发(Bratislava)。对阵伊普斯,他们在上半场完全占据统治地位——半场结束时他们本可以5-0领先。是的,up是一支相当低级的芬兰球队,但布拉迪斯拉发上赛季参加了欧冠联赛!凯尔特人首回合的胜率在1.10-1.13左右,但结果是一场0比0的平局!他们的赔率——基于球场上的事件——太低了!是的,凯尔特人确实有75%的控球率,但在进攻端缺乏速度和创造力。两支球队都只有一次得分的机会!xG值为0.63 ~ 0.61。尽管如此,凯尔特人还是多投了三次。卡拉特的防守方式给我留下了深刻的印象——作为一个团队——他们压制了凯尔特人的进攻!我要强调的是,卡拉特绝对是一支比球员名单所显示的要好得多的球队!在首回合对阵格拉斯哥之前,卡拉特在主场2-3不敌塞梅有点不幸,但我很确定他们的注意力都放在了对凯尔特人的比赛上。他们的总射门次数确实比耶利梅·塞米多。凯尔特人在苏格兰联赛中赢得了全部三场比赛,但看起来仍然没有上赛季那么强大。我要强调的是这个联赛,除了凯尔特人和流浪者,其他球队的水平都不高。




好运!

观点仅代表作者本人,不代表本站立场。
作者在平台、组织、网站等发表的言论,意见,倾向等都只是作者本人的观点,和平台,组织网站等第三方没有关系。