Tense night in Prague! 🇨🇿 世预赛 捷克VS克罗地亚
2025-10-09
分享比赛
I have a good feeling about this one, even if it’s not going to be as easy as some might expect. Croatia visit Prague knowing a win puts one foot firmly in the 2026 World Cup, and while the Czech Republic are still a tough opponent—especially at home and with their pride on the line—there are just too many signs pointing towards Croatia being able to edge this.
I’m going with Croatia to win this, but covering the draw because there’s always that uncomfortable risk in games like these. The home side will be desperate to make up for the humiliation they suffered in Osijek, that brutal 5-1 from June still stinging for players and press alike. And I expect a much tighter contest this time, mostly because Czechia can't afford another collapse. The Eden Arena will be sold out, noisy, and trying to push them to something special—but there’s a huge difference between motivation and execution, and right now, Croatia just operate on a different level.
Ivan Hašek has been talking about intensity and set pieces all week, which makes sense given how short they are on real attacking talent. Without Patrik Schick and Adam Hložek, this Czech side doesn’t have the same punch in the final third. They’ll rely on Tomáš Chorý to do a lot of heavy lifting, quite literally, as a big presence up top, but it’s a massive drop-off. And though Souček, Provod, and Coufal give them leadership and legs, I still think the overall quality gap is too much. Add in the late reshuffling in goal, where Matěj Kovář is now suddenly the number one due to injuries, and it’s hard not to feel like Czechia are entering this undercooked.
Croatia, meanwhile, arrive fully focused. Dalić is treating this as his 100th game in charge, and there’s absolutely no sign of letting up. This squad, even in transition, is stacked with experience and winners. Modrić is fit and flying at Milan, and when he’s in the mood, Croatia rarely falter. Next to him, there’s a solid mix of profiles—Majer, Pašalić, maybe even Sučić off the bench. That midfield controls tempo and rhythm better than almost any other team in this group.
Yes, there are some questions at right-back with Stanišić injured and Juranović not at full fitness, but Kristijan Jakić can do the job. It’s not ideal, but it’s manageable. The rest of the backline looks solid, with Gvardiol expected to lead again, and Livaković should stay in goal despite doubts about his club form. Croatia have only conceded once in four games—hard to argue with that.
I also really like how Croatia’s attack is shaping up. Kramarić is always a threat in these qualifiers, and Budimir gives them a physical focal point. If Perišić can find some of that trademark chaos on the left wing, it could be a long night for the Czech fullbacks.
In terms of tactics, I see Croatia trying to take control early, slowing things down and suffocating Czechia’s energy with possession. The hosts will come out fired up, but without genuine firepower, I don’t see them sustaining it. If Croatia can avoid silly fouls around their own box—Souček and Krejčí will be hunting for headers at every dead ball—they should grow into the match and start to create space.
Ultimately, even a draw would be enough for Croatia to maintain control of the group, but this team smells blood. Dalić knows how valuable a win here would be, not just for the standings but to kill off any tension before the final stretch. I don’t think it’ll be a repeat of Osijek, but I do trust Croatia to get it done, even if it’s just by the narrowest of margins.
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
我有一种很好的感觉，即使它不会像一些人想象的那么容易。克罗地亚做客布拉格，他们知道只要一场胜利，就能稳稳地进入2026年世界杯。尽管捷克仍然是一个难以对付的对手——尤其是在主场，而且他们的骄傲还在赛场上——但有太多迹象表明克罗地亚能够险胜。
我支持克罗地亚队赢得这场比赛，但也会支持平局，因为在这样的比赛中总会有令人不安的风险。主队将不顾一切地弥补他们在奥西耶克遭受的耻辱，六月份残酷的5比1仍然刺痛着球员和媒体。我预计这次的竞争会更加激烈，主要是因为捷克承受不起再次崩溃。伊甸园竞技场将会门票售罄，喧闹，并试图将他们推向一些特别的东西-但动机和执行之间存在巨大差异，而现在，克罗地亚只是在不同的水平上运作。
Ivan Hašek整个星期都在谈论强度和定位球，考虑到他们缺乏真正的进攻天赋，这是有道理的。没有了帕特里克·希克和亚当Hložek，这支捷克队在决赛中没有了同样的冲击力。他们将依靠Tomáš Chorý做很多繁重的工作，毫不夸张地说，作为一个大的存在，但这是一个巨大的下降。尽管sou<e:1> ek， Provod和Coufal给了他们领导和支持，但我仍然认为整体质量差距太大。再加上最近的进球重组，由于伤病，马特雷耶Kovář现在突然成为了头号门将，很难不让人觉得捷克人进入了这个不成熟的阶段。
与此同时，克罗地亚全力以赴。达利奇认为这是他执教的第100场比赛，而且绝对没有松懈的迹象。这支球队，即使在过渡阶段，也充满了经验和胜利者。莫德里奇在米兰状态良好，当他心情好的时候，克罗地亚很少动摇。在他旁边，有一个坚实的组合-马吉尔，Pašalić，甚至可能是替补的苏<e:1>伊奇。他们的中场比这个小组的其他任何球队都能更好地控制节奏和节奏。
是的，右后卫的位置有一些问题，Stanišić受伤了，尤拉诺维奇也没有完全康复，但是克里斯蒂安·亚基奇可以胜任这个工作。虽然不理想，但还可以控制。后防线的其他部分看起来很稳定，格瓦迪奥尔有望再次领先，而利瓦科维奇应该会留在球门，尽管他在俱乐部的状态受到质疑。克罗地亚在四场比赛中只丢了一次球——这很难争辩。
我也很喜欢克罗地亚队的进攻。在这些预选赛中，克拉马里奇总是一个威胁，而布迪米尔给了他们一个身体上的焦点。如果Perišić能在左翼找到一些标志性的混乱，这对捷克后卫来说将是一个漫长的夜晚。
在战术方面，我看到克罗地亚试图尽早控制局面，放慢节奏，并通过控球窒息捷克队的能量。东道主会火力全开，但如果没有真正的火力，我不认为他们能维持下去。如果克罗地亚能在自己的禁区内避免愚蠢的犯规，sou<s:1> ek和Krejčí将在每个死球处寻找头球——他们应该在比赛中成长，并开始创造空间。
最终，即使平局也足以让克罗地亚保持对小组的控制，但这支球队闻到了血腥味。达利奇知道在这里赢得一场胜利是多么有价值，不仅仅是为了排名，也是为了在最后阶段之前消除任何紧张情绪。我不认为这将是奥西耶克的重演，但我相信克罗地亚会完成它，即使它只是以最微弱的优势。
