外籍分析师
芬兰职业体育分析师,已从业20年
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Casa Pia AC VS Vitoria Guimaraes


Casa Pia and Cercle Vitoria Guimaraes lock horns in this Liga Portugal round 16 battle at Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior very late Sunday evening Beijing time. This is the highest level of Portuguese football. The level of this league is high by European standards but it is still, as a whole, definitely much worse than that of the top-4 leagues. A match of somewhat quality is in the cards - by this league's standards. Most importantly, us serious, profit-hungry bettors have yet another very lucrative betting opportunity here! We have won six of the last seven picks betting on this league where the bookmakers make quite a lot of mistakes with their odds! With the expected line-ups, taking the significant home advantage into account, the Casa Pia +0.5 goals handicap is the professional bettor's choice here. The bookies odds offer odds of only around 2.50 on the away win. Vitoria Guimaraes have lost four of the seven away games in this league this season. Their score difference is poor - 4:9 to be precise - in these seven matches! Indeed, they are often much too passive on the road. Vitoria Guimaraes have won only one of the


Casa Pia are in 15th place and have unarguably been a disappointment so far this season. However, they can definitely improve. They have grabbed 13 points but their number of expected points (xPTS) is bigger. They have scored 16 goals and have conceded 29 goals. However, their number of expected goals (xGA) is "only" 23.77. The visitors are in 8th place with 21 points and a score difference of 16:21. However, their number of xGA is 22.88. They have won only one of their last four games - losing two of their most recent matches. In their last game they welcomed Sporting CP, losing 1-4. The opposition was of high-quality but I was still not impressed with Guimaraes' performance. The visitors generated 2.02 more in expected goals (xG). Before this they lost to a very poor team (rock-bottom at the moment, AFS, 0-1 at home as big favourites. It was a Taca de Portugal (cup) clash. Casa Pia have lost one of their last three games. In their last match they beat Tondela 2-1 away from home as underdogs on the betting market. They had 54% ball possession and recorded more total shots and shots on goal. Tondela had more big scoring chances though. Before this they were unlucky to lose to Torreense 1-2 at home in Taca de Portugal. Indeed, Casa Pia recorded nine more total shots and many more shots on goal and corner kicks!



GOOD LUCK!



该文章通过有道机器翻译,仅供参考:

卡萨皮亚VS维多利亚吉马良斯


北京时间周日晚,在葡萄牙联赛16强的比赛中,皮亚之家和维多利亚吉马良斯队将在Estádio市政足球俱乐部主场交战。这是葡萄牙足球的最高水平。按照欧洲的标准,这个联赛的水平是很高的,但作为一个整体,它仍然比前四强联赛差得多。按照这个联盟的标准,一场有质量的比赛是有可能的。最重要的是,我们这些认真的、渴望利润的赌徒在这里又有了一个非常有利可图的赌博机会!我们赢了过去七次联赛中的六次,在这个联赛中,博彩公司在赔率上犯了很多错误!考虑到预期的阵容,考虑到主场优势,卡萨皮亚+0.5的进球障碍是专业投注者在这里的选择。博彩公司开出的客场获胜的赔率只有2.50左右。维多利亚吉马良斯本赛季在联赛的7场客场比赛中输掉了4场。在这七场比赛中,他们的比分差距很小——准确地说是4:9 !事实上,他们在路上往往太被动了。维多利亚·吉马良斯只赢过一次


Casa Pia排在第15位,毫无疑问本赛季到目前为止是令人失望的。然而,他们肯定可以改进。他们拿到了13分,但他们的期望积分(xPTS)更大。他们进了16球丢了29球。然而,他们的预期目标数量(xGA)“只有”23.77。客队积21分,分差为16:21,排名第8。而它们的xGA数为22.88。他们在最近的四场比赛中只赢了一场,在最近的比赛中输了两场。在上一场比赛中,他们以1比4输掉了比赛。对手的实力很强,但我仍然对吉马良斯的表现印象不深。客队的预期进球(xG)多出2.02个。在此之前,他们输给了一支非常弱的球队(目前垫底的AFS,主场0-1被认为是大热门)。这是一场葡萄牙杯比赛。卡萨皮亚在最近三场比赛中输了一场。在上一场比赛中,他们客场2-1击败了通德拉,在博彩市场上处于劣势。他们有54%的控球率,射门次数和射正次数都更多。不过唐德拉有更多的得分机会。在此之前,他们不幸在葡萄牙塔卡主场1-2输给了托伦斯。事实上,卡萨·皮亚总共射门9次,还有更多的射门和角球!



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