14/18 last picks WON in this league! $$$
2026-01-23
分享比赛
Lincoln City VS Burton
Burton challenge Lincoln in this League One round 28 at LNER stadium in Lincoln early Friday morning Beijing time. However, in reality Lincoln have played 26 games and Burton 25 games in this league so far. It is the third tier of English football. This is clearly the best 3rd tier on the planet. We have a game of somewhat mediocre quality by this league's standards in the cards here. Most importantly us serious-football bettors and football fans have yet another very interesting betting opportunity here! We have won an impressive 14 of the 18 last picks betting on League One! Lincoln have won the last two games between these two teams. The teams last locked horns in September 2025. Lincoln took a 1-0 away win. They recorded one more shot on target - Burton had 65% ball possession though. To a large extent this happened because Lincoln let them have the ball - probably anticipating that Burton would not be able to do much with it. Lincoln are currently in 19th place in this league with a total of 24 teams. They have grabbed only 30 points. I would not be very surprised if they were relegated at the end of season.. Burton have scored 26 goals and have allowed 35 goals. However, their number of expected goals against (xGA) is 38.67. Last season they finished in 20th place - and were the "last" team to avoid relegation.
Lincoln ended up in 11th last season - with a pretty good 61 points to their account. This season they have been much better! Indeed, they are in 2nd place with 49 points in their pocket. They have scored a fine 42 goals. Only two teams have scored more goals. Lincoln have allowed only 28 goals. Yes, they have, in honesty, been somewhat lucky in terms of expected goals (xG) and xGA this season. I was hoping for a little higher odds on the home win but we will still place a bet on them. I highlight that Lincoln have not lost any of their last eight games, winning 5/8 of the matches. In their last match they faced Luton on the road, as underdogs on the betting market. Both teams had their chances to win but it was a 2-2 draw in the end. Before this they were priced around 2.25 to beat Peterborough at home. They indeed did, 5-2 was the final score - which does flatter Lincoln though. Burton have lost three of their last five matches. In their most recent game they took a very lucky 3-1 win over Huddersfield at home. Indeed, the visitors had a close to 70% ball possession and recorded many more total shots and big scoring chances. The xG numbers were 1.11-2.19!
GOOD LUCK!
该文章通过有道机器翻译，仅供参考:
林肯城VS伯顿
北京时间周五凌晨，伯顿将在林肯LNER体育场迎战林肯。然而，事实上，到目前为止，林肯在联盟中打了26场比赛，伯顿打了25场比赛。这是英国足球的第三梯队。这显然是世界上最好的三线。以联盟的标准来看，我们的比赛质量有些平庸。最重要的是，我们这些认真的足球投注者和球迷在这里又有了一个非常有趣的投注机会！在过去的18次英甲下注中，我们赢了14次！林肯队在这两队之间的最后两场比赛中都赢了。两队上一次交锋是在2025年9月。林肯队客场1-0获胜。他们又射正了一次，不过伯顿有65%的控球率。在很大程度上，这是因为林肯让他们得到了球——可能是预料到伯顿不能用它做很多事情。林肯目前在这个联盟中排名第19位，共有24支球队。他们只拿到了30分。如果他们在赛季结束后降级，我不会感到非常惊讶。伯顿进了26个球，丢了35个球。然而，他们对（xGA）的预期进球数是38.67。上个赛季，他们排在第20位，是“最后”一支保级球队。
林肯队上赛季以61分的好成绩排在第11位。这个赛季他们好多了！事实上，他们以49分的积分排名第二。他们整整进了42个球。只有两支球队进了更多的球。林肯只丢了28个球。是的，老实说，他们在本赛季的预期进球数（总进球数）和总进球数方面还算幸运。我希望主场获胜的赔率高一点，但我们仍然会把赌注押在他们身上。我要强调的是林肯队在过去的八场比赛中没有输过一场，赢了五分之八的比赛。在他们的最后一场比赛中，他们在客场面对卢顿，在博彩市场上处于劣势。两队都有取胜的机会，但最终以2比2战平。在此之前，主场击败彼得伯勒队的价格在2.25左右。他们确实做到了，5-2是最后的比分——这让林肯很高兴。伯顿队最近五场比赛输了三场。在最近的一场比赛中，他们非常幸运地在主场3-1战胜了哈德斯菲尔德。事实上，客队的控球率接近70%，总射门次数和得分机会也更多。xG值是1.11-2.19！
好运！
